Aryna Sabalenka vs Jasmine Paolini Prediction & Picks - WTA Finals

WTA - WTA Finals

WTA 1 Belarus
Aryna Sabalenka
11/2/25 09:00
WTA 8 Italy
Jasmine Paolini

Prediction:

 

Aryna Sabalenka -4.5 Games

-108
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 by Lou Aguila | in Tennis Picks

Aryna Sabalenka of Belarus will open her WTA Tour Finals campaign against Jasmine Paolini of Italy on Sunday.

Current Form:

Sabalenka will be gunning for her first WTA Tour Finals title of her career after coming up short in the final in 2022. Sabalenka qualified for this year’s season-finale tournament after winning a bunch of WTA 1000 events and the US Open championship last August. She continues to hold the No.1 spot in the world rankings after accumulating 9870 points in the year.

Paolini caught the last bus to Riyadh after reaching the semifinals at the 2025 Ningbo Open. The Italian will be making her second WTA Tour Finals appearance after failing to make it out of the round robin in her debut last year. Paolini has compiled a 46-18 record this season, including a 3-0 slate in indoor play.

Aryna Sabalenka vs Jasmine Paolini Form

Aryna Sabalenka and Jasmine Paolini Latest Matches

Aryna Sabalenka Latest matches
W W W W W L
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Oct 11, 2025 - WTA Wuhan Open

Aryna Sabalenka
1 :  2
Jessica Pegula

Oct 10, 2025 - WTA Wuhan Open

Aryna Sabalenka
2 :  0
Elena Rybakina

Oct 9, 2025 - WTA Wuhan Open

Aryna Sabalenka
2 :  0
Liudmila Samsonova

Oct 8, 2025 - WTA Wuhan Open

Aryna Sabalenka
2 :  1
Rebecca Sramkova

Sep 6, 2025 - WTA US Open

Aryna Sabalenka
2 :  0
Amanda Anisimova

Sep 4, 2025 - WTA US Open

Aryna Sabalenka
2 :  1
Jessica Pegula
Jasmine Paolini Latest matches
W W L W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Oct 18, 2025 - Ningbo Open

Elena Rybakina
2 :  0
Jasmine Paolini

Oct 17, 2025 - Ningbo Open

Belinda Bencic
1 :  2
Jasmine Paolini

Oct 16, 2025 - Ningbo Open

Veronika Kudermetova
0 :  2
Jasmine Paolini

Oct 11, 2025 - WTA Wuhan Open

Coco Gauff
2 :  0
Jasmine Paolini

Oct 10, 2025 - WTA Wuhan Open

Jasmine Paolini
2 :  0
Iga Swiatek

Oct 9, 2025 - WTA Wuhan Open

Jasmine Paolini
abort
Clara Tauson

Aryna Sabalenka against Jasmine Paolini : Head to Head (H2H)

Aryna Sabalenka

100 %

Jasmine Paolini

0 %

Apr 20, 2025 - WTA Stuttgart Open

Aryna Sabalenka
2 :  0
Jasmine Paolini

Mar 27, 2025 - WTA Miami

Aryna Sabalenka
2 :  0
Jasmine Paolini

Nov 4, 2024 - WTA Finals

Aryna Sabalenka
2 :  0
Jasmine Paolini

Oct 5, 2023 - WTA China Open

Aryna Sabalenka
2 :  0
Jasmine Paolini
Compare Aryna Sabalenka and Jasmine Paolini with our comparison tool.

Aryna Sabalenka - Jasmine Paolini Key Points

  1. Jasmine Paolini will be making her second WTA Tour Finals appearance.
  2. Jasmine Paolini is 3-0 in indoor play in 2025.
  3. Aryna Sabalenka reached the WTA Tour Final championship match in 2022.
  4. Aryna Sabalenka is 5-2 vs. Jasmine Paolini.

Our Aryna Sabalenka vs Jasmine Paolini Prediction

Fearless Forecast: Aryna Sabalenka will win this 6-3, 6-4 to cover the -4.5 game spread (-108). Sabalenka is expected to go all out as she tries to capture the title that has evaded her for so long. Sabalenka has beaten Paolini in their last four meetings, without dropping a single set. The last time these two played each other in a hard-court tournament, Sabalenka obliterated Paolini 6-2, 6-2 in the semifinals of the 2025 Miami Open.

Our betting prediction for Jasmine Paolini vs. Aryna Sabalenka: Aryna Sabalenka -4.5 Games.

Prediction:

 

Aryna Sabalenka -4.5 Games

-108
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Aryna Sabalenka vs Jasmine Paolini Picks