Aryna Sabalenka vs Iva Jovic Prediction & Picks - WTA Australian Open
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by Lou Aguila | in Tennis Picks
American rising star Iva Jovic is out to test her mettle against world No.1 Aryna Sabalenka in the quarterfinals of the 2026 Australian Open on Tuesday.
Recommended Pick: Aryna Sabalenka -5.5 Games
Potential Payout:$205 for every $105
Current Form:
Jovic improved to 11-2 in the season after annihilating Yulia Putintseva of Kazakhstan 6-0, 6-1 in the fourth round of the 2026 Australian Open. The American teen star once again dominated on all fronts, holding all except one of 7 service games and breaking the Kazakh 6 times. Jovic has become a formidable returner this season, boasting a 56.7 percent break-point success rate.
Sabalenka moved three matches away from reclaiming the Australian Open title after fending off a resilient challenge from another rising star, Victoria Mboko of Canada, 6-1, 7-6. Sabalenka overpowered Mboko in the first set before showing the mental fortitude to tame down a fight back from the Canadian in the second frame. Sabalenka, who has yet to drop a set at the 2026 Australian Open, is winning 65 percent of her first balls and has converted 17 of 35 breakpoints in this tournament.
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Aryna Sabalenka vs Iva Jovic Form
Aryna Sabalenka and Iva Jovic Latest Matches
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
Jan 24, 2026 - WTA Australian Open
Jan 22, 2026 - WTA Australian Open
Jan 20, 2026 - WTA Australian Open
Jan 18, 2026 - WTA Australian Open
Jan 11, 2026 - WTA Brisbane
Jan 9, 2026 - WTA Brisbane
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Jan 24, 2026 - WTA Australian Open
Jan 23, 2026 - WTA Australian Open
Jan 21, 2026 - WTA Australian Open
Jan 19, 2026 - WTA Australian Open
Jan 16, 2026 - Hobart International
Jan 16, 2026 - Hobart International
Aryna Sabalenka - Iva Jovic Key Points
- Aryna Sabalenka has yet to drop a set at the 2026 Australian Open.
- Aryna Sabalenka has saved 48.6 percent of the break-points at the 2026 Australian Open.
- Iva Jovic reached the quarterfinals of a Grand Slam for the first time.
- Iva Jovic has converted 56.4 percent of the break-points at the 2026 Australian Open.
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Our Aryna Sabalenka vs Iva Jovic Prediction
Fearless Forecast: Aryna Sabalenka squashes Iva Jovic 6-2, 6-4
Reason: Sabalenka will not be denied. I picked her to cover the -5.5 game spread, not only because of her sublime performance against Mboko, but I still don’t trust Jovic in high-leverage matches. Jovic is 11-2 in the season, but she absorbed those two losses when the stakes were high. Jovic lost to Elina Svitolina 6-7, 2-6 in the semifinal of the ASB Classic and then to Elisabetta Cocciaretto 4-6, 4-6 in the final of the Hobart International. Meanwhile, there’s Sabalenka hungry to get back to the finals to reclaim the crown she lost to Madison Keys last year. Jovic certainly has the potential to become a power player on the tour in the coming years, but she’s still not there yet mentally to challenge the elite at this big stage.
Our betting prediction for Aryna Sabalenka vs. Iva Jovic: Aryna Sabalenka -5.5 Games
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
