Aryna Sabalenka vs Elise Mertens Prediction & Picks - WTA Wimbledon Championships

WTA - WTA Wimbledon Championships

WTA 1 Belarus
Aryna Sabalenka
7/6/25 09:40
WTA 23 Belgium
Elise Mertens

Prediction:

 

Aryna Sabalenka -4.5 Games

-135
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 by Lou Aguila in Tennis Picks

Aryna Sabalenka of Belarus will take on her former doubles partner Elise Mertens of Belgium in the fourth round of the 2025 Wimbledon Open on Sunday.

As expected, Sabalenka reached the round of 32 of Wimbledon Open still scatheless after posting three consecutive straight-set victories. Although Sabalenka had to fend off spirited challenges from Emma Raducanu 7-6(4) 6-4 and Marie Bouzkova 7-6(6) 6-4 in the last two rounds, it’s clear as this point that Sabalenka hasn’t faced a formidable opponent at Wimbledon.

Mertens advanced to the fourth round with an upset over Elina Svitolina of Ukraine 6-1 7-6(4). After coming from behind to beat Ann Li 6-7(5) 6-1 6-2, Mertens banked on a strong start to take the first set in seven games. Mertens also anticipated a huge fightback from Svitolina in the second set, this time, showcasing the mental fortitude to grind it out in the tiebreaker.

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Aryna Sabalenka vs Elise Mertens Form

Aryna Sabalenka and Elise Mertens Latest Matches

Aryna Sabalenka Latest matches
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Jul 4, 2025 - WTA Wimbledon Championships

Aryna Sabalenka
2 :  0
Emma Raducanu

Jul 2, 2025 - WTA Wimbledon Championships

Aryna Sabalenka
2 :  0
Marie Bouzkova

Jun 30, 2025 - WTA Wimbledon Championships

Aryna Sabalenka
2 :  0
Carson Branstine

Jun 21, 2025 - WTA Berlin Open

Aryna Sabalenka
0 :  2
Marketa Vondrousova

Jun 20, 2025 - WTA Berlin Open

Aryna Sabalenka
2 :  1
Elena Rybakina

Jun 18, 2025 - WTA Berlin Open

Aryna Sabalenka
2 :  0
Rebeka Masarova
Elise Mertens Latest matches
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Jul 4, 2025 - WTA Wimbledon Championships

Elise Mertens
2 :  0
Elina Svitolina

Jul 2, 2025 - WTA Wimbledon Championships

Elise Mertens
2 :  1
Ann Li

Jun 30, 2025 - WTA Wimbledon Championships

Elise Mertens
2 :  0
Linda Fruhvirtova

Jun 22, 2025 - WTA Bad Homburg Open

Elina Svitolina
2 :  0
Elise Mertens

Jun 15, 2025 - WTA Libema Open

Elena-Gabriela Ruse
0 :  2
Elise Mertens

Jun 14, 2025 - WTA Libema Open

Elise Mertens
2 :  1
Ekaterina Alexandrova

Aryna Sabalenka against Elise Mertens : Head to Head (H2H)

Aryna Sabalenka

100 %

Elise Mertens

0 %

Apr 27, 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open

Aryna Sabalenka
2 :  1
Elise Mertens

Apr 19, 2025 - WTA Stuttgart Open

Aryna Sabalenka
2 :  0
Elise Mertens

Sep 1, 2024 - WTA US Open

Elise Mertens
0 :  2
Aryna Sabalenka

Jan 20, 2023 - WTA Australian Open

Aryna Sabalenka
2 :  0
Elise Mertens
Compare Aryna Sabalenka and Elise Mertens with our comparison tool.

Aryna Sabalenka - Elise Mertens Key Points

  1. Elise Mertens defeated Elina Svitolina 6-1 7-6(4) in the third round of the 2025 Wimbledon Open.
  2. Elise Mertens is 2-10 vs. Aryna Sabalenka.
  3. Aryna Sabalenka defeated Emma Raducanu 7-6(4) 6-4 in the third round of the 2025 Wimbledon Open.
  4. Aryna Sabalenka is 39-20 on grass.
Up to $250 to bet on Aryna Sabalenka - Elise Mertens! 

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Our Aryna Sabalenka vs Elise Mertens Prediction

Why should you pick Aryna Sabalenka to cover -4.5 Games? (Win $100 on a $135 Bet) – After being taken to a tiebreaker in the last two matches, Aryna Sabalenka now understands what she must do in her upcoming match against Mertens. Taking the first set with the fewest games possible should be a priority for Sabalenka if she wants to send a message to the remaining competitors in this tournament. I think Sabalenka can put together a dominant result against Mertens since she has consistently obliterated the Belgian in hard-court matches. Of course, Mertens can turn it up with the skills and experience she has in her disposal. But right now, the chances of seeing someone upset Sabalenka at this stage of the tournament are still bleak since only a handful of players on the WTA Tour have a real shot of slaying the world’s No.1.

Our betting prediction for Elise Mertens vs. Aryna Sabalenka: Aryna Sabalenka -4.5 games.

Prediction:

 

Aryna Sabalenka -4.5 Games

-135
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Aryna Sabalenka vs Elise Mertens Picks
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