Aryna Sabalenka vs Ekaterina Alexandrova Prediction & Picks - WTA National Bank Open
WTA - WTA National Bank Open
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by Lou Aguila | in Tennis Picks
Ekaterina Alexandrova will try to cover +5.5 games against old rival, Aryna Sabalenka, in the fourth round of the 2026 Canadian Open.
Current Form:
Aryna Sabalenka is in her ultra-dominant form in the first two matches in Toronto. Sabalenka blasted Moyuka Uchijima 6-3, 6-3 in the second round and Zhang Shuai 6-3, 6-4 in the third round. The world’s No.1 is 25-1 on the hard court.
After ending her losing streak against Camila Osorio, Ekaterina Alexandrova gutted out a three-set win over Talia Gibson 5-7, 6-1, 6-3. Alexandrova attacked Gibson’s second serve, scoring 22 points off that serve to secure five breakpoints. Alexandrova is 7-9 on the hard court in 2026.
The Matchup: Sabalenka is 5-4 against Alexandrova. The Belarusian won their last meeting 6-4, 6-4 at the Berlin Ladies Open.
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Aryna Sabalenka vs Ekaterina Alexandrova Form
Aryna Sabalenka and Ekaterina Alexandrova Latest Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Aug 6, 2026 - WTA National Bank Open
Aug 4, 2026 - WTA National Bank Open
Jul 5, 2026 - WTA Wimbledon Championships
Jul 3, 2026 - WTA Wimbledon Championships
Jul 1, 2026 - WTA Wimbledon Championships
Jun 29, 2026 - WTA Wimbledon Championships
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Aug 6, 2026 - WTA National Bank Open
Aug 4, 2026 - WTA National Bank Open
Jul 3, 2026 - WTA Wimbledon Championships
Jul 1, 2026 - WTA Wimbledon Championships
Jun 29, 2026 - WTA Wimbledon Championships
Jun 25, 2026 - WTA Bad Homburg Open
Aryna Sabalenka against Ekaterina Alexandrova : Head to Head (H2H)
75 %
25 %
Jun 17, 2026 - WTA Berlin Open
Feb 11, 2025 - WTA Doha
Aug 31, 2024 - WTA US Open
Jul 10, 2023 - WTA Wimbledon Championships
Aryna Sabalenka - Ekaterina Alexandrova Key Points
- Aryna Sabalenka is 5-4 vs. Ekaterina Alexandrova in their head-to-head series.
- Aryna Sabalenka is 25-1 on the hard court in 2026.
- Ekaterina Alexandrova is 7-9 on the hard courts in 2026.
- Ekaterina Alexandrova has 10 wins against top-5 players.
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Our Aryna Sabalenka vs Ekaterina Alexandrova Prediction
The Difference Maker: Alexandrova has won 9 sets against Sabalenka across 9 head-to-head matches. The Russian is one of the few players who can hold her ground against the overpowering Sabalenka, making this a tough outing for the current world’s No.1.
to Expect: Alexandrova pushes Sabalenka to the limit again on the hard court. Their last two meetings on the surface went the distance with Alexandrova coming away with a three-set win in their last faceoff on a hard court.
Sabalenka still bags the win, but Alexandrova easily covers the spread with a +5.5-game cushion.
Fearless Forecast: Aryna Sabalenka wins 6-4, 4-6, 7-5
Our betting prediction for Aryna Sabalenka vs. Ekaterina Alexandrova: Ekaterina Alexandrova +5.5 games
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
