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by Lou Aguila in Tennis Picks
Amanda Anisimova is 6-3 against the world’s No.1 Aryna Sabalenka in their head-to-head series ahead of Saturday’s US Open championship match in Flushing Meadows, New York.
Will Anismova, a +172 underdog, win her first Grand Slam title just months after her forgetful Wimbledon Open final meltdown?
Current Form:
Anisimova secured her second consecutive Grand Slam final appearance after coming back from a set down to beat Naomi Osaka in the semifinal 6-7(4) 7-6(3) 6-3. Anisimova displayed exceptional mental strength and grit to recover from a devastating tiebreaker loss in the first set and win the match against the four-time Grand Slam champion. With the victory, Anisimova defeated two previous US Open winners in back-to-back matches as she also exacted her revenge on Iga Swiatek 6-4 6-3 in the quarterfinal.
Sabalenka also booked her spot in the US Open women’s singles championship match for a third consecutive year after outlasting Jessica Pegula 4-6 6-3 6-4. Sabalenka dropped the first set, but she came back roaring, firing marvelous winners and simply overpowering Pegula with a barrage of massive forehands. Against Anisimova, Sabalenka gets an opportunity to avenge her loss to the American in the semifinal of the 2025 Wimbledon Open, 6-4 4-6 6-4.
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Aryna Sabalenka vs Amanda Anisimova Form
Aryna Sabalenka and Amanda Anisimova Latest Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Sep 4, 2025 - WTA US Open
Sep 2, 2025 - WTA US Open
Aug 31, 2025 - WTA US Open
Aug 29, 2025 - WTA US Open
Aug 27, 2025 - WTA US Open
Aug 24, 2025 - WTA US Open
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
Sep 4, 2025 - WTA US Open
Sep 3, 2025 - WTA US Open
Sep 1, 2025 - WTA US Open
Aug 30, 2025 - WTA US Open
Aug 28, 2025 - WTA US Open
Aug 26, 2025 - WTA US Open
Aryna Sabalenka against Amanda Anisimova : Head to Head (H2H)
60 %
40 %
Jul 10, 2025 - WTA Wimbledon Championships
Jun 1, 2025 - WTA French Open
Aug 10, 2024 - WTA National Bank Open
Jan 20, 2024 - WTA Australian Open
May 13, 2022 - WTA Rome
Aryna Sabalenka - Amanda Anisimova Key Points
- Amanda Anisimova defeated Naomi Osaka 6-7(4) 7-6(3) 6-3 in the semifinal of the 2025 US Open.
- Amanda Anisimova is 6-3 head-to-head with Aryna Sabalenka
- Aryna Sabalenka defeated Jessica Pegula 4-6 6-3 6-4 in the semifinal of the 2025 US Open.
- Aryna Sabalenka is 31-5 in hard-court matches this year.
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Our Aryna Sabalenka vs Amanda Anisimova Prediction
Fearless Forecast: Amanda Anisimova beat Aryna Sabalenka to win first Grand Slam title, 7-6, 4-6, 7-6.
Again, Anisimova is 6-3 head-to-head against Sabalenka. The last time these two played each other on the hard court, Anisimova demolished the Belarusian 6-4, 6-2 in the quarterfinal of the 2024 Cincinnati Open.
Matchstats has given Sabalenka a 66 percent win probability for this final match, and it’s understandable given her dominance on the surface over the past 3 years. Sabalenka is a whopping 31-5 in hard-court matches this year while parading a career 73 percent win rate on the surface. It’s definitely hard for anyone to top such a formidable record by Sabalenka.
But if there’s one player capable of taming the Belarusian’s big serves and monstrous forehands, it would be Anisimova, who likes to dictate points with her powerful groundstrokes and aggressive baseline play. Moreover, Anisimova has developed a much-improved mental strength, taking her to a whole new level in his career. Anisimova’s grit and never-give-up attitude will be the key to victory in this tough title match with Sabalenka.
Our betting prediction for Amanda Anisimova vs. Aryna Sabalenka: Amanda Anisimova will win.
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