Arthur Fils vs Alex De Minaur Prediction & Picks - ATP Cincinnati Open
ATP - ATP Cincinnati Open
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by Lou Aguila in ATP Cincinnati Open Picks
Alex De Minaur emerges as an attractive +140 underdog ahead of his fourth clash with Arthur Fils in the fourth round of the 2026 Cincinnati Open.
De Minaur is 2-1 head-to-head against Fils and has beaten the Frenchman in straight sets in Rotterdam earlier this year.
Current Form:
Arthur Fils eyes back-to-back ATP 1000 quarterfinal trips as he takes on a top-10 caliber player in the fourth round. The Frenchman is coming off a gritty three-set victory over Jiri Lehecka 6-1, 7-6, 6-3 in the third round. Fils is 16-5 on the hard court and 28-10 overall in 2026.
Alex De Minaur also moved on to the round of 16 with a tough second-round win over Arthur Fery, 7-5, 7-6. The No. 8-ranked De Minaur is trying to put together a prolific run in Cincinnati following early exits in Washington and Montreal.
The Matchup: Listed as a +140 underdog, De Minaur is 2-1 vs. Fils and has won their last two meetings.
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Arthur Fils vs Alex De Minaur Form
Arthur Fils and Alex De Minaur Latest Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Aug 17, 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open
Aug 15, 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open
Aug 11, 2026 - ATP National Bank Open
Aug 8, 2026 - ATP National Bank Open
Aug 6, 2026 - ATP National Bank Open
Aug 5, 2026 - ATP National Bank Open
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Aug 17, 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open
Aug 15, 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open
Aug 6, 2026 - ATP National Bank Open
Aug 4, 2026 - ATP National Bank Open
Jul 31, 2026 - ATP Washington Citi Open
Jul 30, 2026 - ATP Washington Citi Open
Arthur Fils against Alex De Minaur : Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
Feb 10, 2026 - ATP Rotterdam
Jul 8, 2024 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
Apr 18, 2024 - ATP Barcelona
Arthur Fils - Alex De Minaur Key Points
- Arthur Fils is 16-5 on the hard court in 2026.
- Arthur Fils is 2-5 vs. top-10 players in 2026.
- Alex De Minaur is 12-7 on the hard courts in 2026.
- Alex De Minaur is 15-11 vs. top-50 players in 2026.
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Our Arthur Fils vs Alex De Minaur Prediction
Key Stats: De Minaur has won 70 percent of his first serves and converted 58 percent of 24 breakpoints across three head-to-head matches against Fils.
What to Expect: Fils might be the favorite, but De Minaur has more than a puncher’s chance of winning this duel if he brings his A-game.
No doubt the Aussie has been shaky in this North American hard-court season, but writing him off in this marquee matchup with Fils would be a grave mistake.
Fearless Forecast: De Minaur shows his class in a 6-4, 4-6, 7-6 win
Fearless Forecast: Alex De Minaur vs. Arthur Fils: Alex De Minaur will win
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.