Arthur Fery vs Alex De Minaur Prediction & Picks - ATP Cincinnati Open

ATP - ATP Cincinnati Open

ATP 37 Great Britain
Arthur Fery
8/17/26 12:10
ATP 8 Australia
Alex De Minaur

Prediction:

 

Arthur Fery +4.5 Games

-130
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 by Lou Aguila in ATP Cincinnati Open Picks

Arthur Fery will take on Alex De Minaur in the third round of the 2026 Cincinnati Open.

The Wimbledon Open semifinalist is coming into his first match with the Aussie with a significant +4.5-game head start in the spread market.

Current Form:

After early-round exits in Washington and Montreal, Alex De Minaur seeks a morale-boosting run in Cincinnati ahead of the US Open. De Minaur opened his campaign with a three-set win over Quentin Halys 1-6, 6-3, 7-6. De Minaur is 11-7 on the hard court in 2026.

Arthur Fery kicks off his North American hard-court season with a hard-earned win over James Duckworth 6-4, 2-6, 7-6. The Wimbledon Open semifinalist displayed nerves of steel to outlast Duckworth in a thrilling third-set tiebreaker. Fery is 9-4 on the hard court in 2026.

The Matchup: This is the first time Fery will test his mettle against De Minaur on the ATP Tour.

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Arthur Fery vs Alex De Minaur Form

Arthur Fery and Alex De Minaur Latest Matches

Arthur Fery Latest matches
W W W W L W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Aug 15, 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Arthur Fery
2 :  1
James Duckworth

Jul 10, 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Arthur Fery
0 :  3
Alexander Zverev

Jul 8, 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Flavio Cobolli
0 :  3
Arthur Fery

Jul 6, 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Grigor Dimitrov
2 :  3
Arthur Fery

Jul 4, 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Zizou Bergs
2 :  3
Arthur Fery

Jul 2, 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Arthur Fery
3 :  1
Otto Virtanen
Alex De Minaur Latest matches
W W L W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Aug 15, 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Quentin Halys
1 :  2
Alex De Minaur

Aug 6, 2026 - ATP National Bank Open

Cameron Norrie
2 :  1
Alex De Minaur

Aug 4, 2026 - ATP National Bank Open

James Duckworth
0 :  2
Alex De Minaur

Jul 31, 2026 - ATP Washington Citi Open

Alex De Minaur
0 :  2
Brandon Nakashima

Jul 30, 2026 - ATP Washington Citi Open

Alex De Minaur
2 :  0
Cruz Hewitt

Jul 29, 2026 - ATP Washington Citi Open

Alex De Minaur
2 :  1
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Arthur Fery vs Alex De Minaur Picks

Arthur Fery - Alex De Minaur Key Points

  1. Arthur Fery reached the semifinals of the 2026 Wimbledon Open.
  2. Arthur Fery is 9-4 on the hard court in 2026.
  3. Alex De Minaur is 11-7 on the hard courts in 2026.
  4. Alex De Minaur is 2-2 vs. top-10 players in 2026.
Up to $250 to bet on Arthur Fery - Alex De Minaur! 

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Our Arthur Fery vs Alex De Minaur Prediction

Key Stats: Arthur Fery owns a 69.4 percent win rate on hard court in 2026. In 11 hard-court matches this year, Fery has won 69.1 percent of his first serves and converted 41.5 percent of break points.

On the other hand, De Minaur only won 67 percent of his first serves and dropped 8 service games in 2 matches in Montreal. He converted just 8 of 21 break chances in the tournament.

What to Expect: De Minaur will probably win this match, but a +4.5-game cushion should be enough for Fery to cover the spread. Fery’s court coverage and tenacious play style should trouble De Minaur, who has been wobbly in the past two months.

Fearless Forecast: Alex De Minaur wins 7-6, 6-4

Our betting prediction for Alex De Minaur vs. Arthur Fery: Arthur Fery +4.5 games

Prediction:

 

Arthur Fery +4.5 Games

-130
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.