Arsenal vs Manchester City Prediction & Picks - Premier League

England - Premier League

Arsenal
9/21/25 11:30
Manchester City

Prediction:

 

Erling Haaland to score at least 2 goals

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 by Simon Day in Premier League Picks

The biggest game of the Premier League weekend sees second place Arsenal host Manchester City in a blockbuster clash at the Emirates. After finishing in the runners up position in each of the last three seasons, Mikel Arteta will be desperate for his side to go one better this time around. However, last month's defeat at Liverpool has already put the Gunners on the back foot and they cannot afford to drop any more points against their title rivals. 

Pep Guardiola's City rebuild is slowly gathering pace and last weekend's 3-0 defeat of Manchester United was comfortably their best display of the season. Star striker Erling Haaland bagged two goals in that game and looks to be in the form of his life following a relatively disappointing 2024/2025 campaign. If Haaland can continue his remarkable goalscoring form (he has six goals in five games so far this season), then City will have every chance of mounting a serious title bid. 

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Arsenal vs Manchester City Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2
Arsenal
Arsenal
9 4 3 0 1 8
8
Manchester City
Manchester City
6 4 2 0 2 4

Arsenal and Manchester City Latest Matches

Arsenal
Arsenal Latest matches
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
0% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
0.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Sep 16, 2025 - Champions League

Athletic Bilbao
0 :  2
Arsenal

Sep 13, 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
3 :  0
Nottingham Forest

Aug 31, 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
1 :  0
Arsenal

Aug 23, 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
5 :  0
Leeds

Aug 17, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
0 :  1
Arsenal

Aug 9, 2025 - Emirates Cup

Arsenal
3 :  0
Athletic Bilbao
W L L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Sep 13, 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
3 :  0
Nottingham Forest

Aug 23, 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
5 :  0
Leeds

Aug 9, 2025 - Emirates Cup

Arsenal
3 :  0
Athletic Bilbao

Aug 6, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Arsenal
2 :  3
Villarreal

Jul 31, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Arsenal
0 :  1
Tottenham

Jul 27, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Arsenal
3 :  2
Newcastle
L D W W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Sep 16, 2025 - Champions League

Athletic Bilbao
0 :  2
Arsenal

Aug 31, 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
1 :  0
Arsenal

Aug 17, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
0 :  1
Arsenal

May 25, 2025 - Premier League

Southampton
1 :  2
Arsenal

May 11, 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
2 :  2
Arsenal

May 7, 2025 - Champions League

PSG
2 :  1
Arsenal
Manchester City
Manchester City Latest matches
W W L L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
17% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Sep 18, 2025 - Champions League

Manchester City
2 :  0
Napoli

Sep 14, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  0
Manchester United

Aug 31, 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
2 :  1
Manchester City

Aug 23, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
0 :  2
Tottenham

Aug 16, 2025 - Premier League

Wolves
0 :  4
Manchester City

Aug 9, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Palermo
0 :  3
Manchester City
W W L L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
17% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Sep 18, 2025 - Champions League

Manchester City
2 :  0
Napoli

Sep 14, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  0
Manchester United

Aug 23, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
0 :  2
Tottenham

Jun 30, 2025 - Club World Cup

Manchester City
3 :  4
Al Hilal

Jun 22, 2025 - Club World Cup

Manchester City
6 :  0
Al Ain FC

Jun 18, 2025 - Club World Cup

Manchester City
2 :  0
WAC Casablanca
L W W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Aug 31, 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
2 :  1
Manchester City

Aug 16, 2025 - Premier League

Wolves
0 :  4
Manchester City

Aug 9, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Palermo
0 :  3
Manchester City

Jun 26, 2025 - Club World Cup

Juventus
2 :  5
Manchester City

May 25, 2025 - Premier League

Fulham
0 :  2
Manchester City

May 17, 2025 - FA Cup

Crystal Palace
1 :  0
Manchester City

Arsenal against Manchester City : Head to Head (H2H)

Arsenal

33 %

Draw

50 %

Manchester City

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3
Total goals
67%
BTTS
1.67
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.33
Goals scored (Team 2)
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

Feb 2, 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
5 :  1
Manchester City

Sep 22, 2024 - Premier League

Manchester City
2 :  2
Arsenal

Mar 31, 2024 - Premier League

Manchester City
0 :  0
Arsenal

Oct 8, 2023 - Premier League

Arsenal
1 :  0
Manchester City

Aug 6, 2023 - Community Shield

Manchester City
1 :  1
Arsenal

Apr 26, 2023 - Premier League

Manchester City
4 :  1
Arsenal

Arsenal - Manchester City: Form Analysis

Arsenal have looked imperious at times this season, especially at the Emirates, where they have scored eight goals without reply in their opening two games. New signing Viktor Gyökeres has made a fast start to his Gunners career, with three goals in those two victories. With new signings Martin Zubimendi, Eberechi Eze and Noni Madueke also impressing in the early weeks of the season, Arsenal look well-equipped to finally break through and claim their first Premier League title since 2004.

Fantastic week for City

After defeats against Spurs and Brighton, questions were beginning to be asked regarding the wisdom of Pep Guardiola's City rebuild operation. However, comfortable victories over Manchester United and Napoli have resoundingly answered those questions and Guardiola will now be looking for a statement win over one of City's main title rivals. 

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Manchester City v Arsenal last Lineups

Arsenal

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

1
D. Raya
12
J. Timber
6
G. Magalhaes
3
C. Mosquera
33
R. Calafiori
41
D. Rice
36
M. Zubimendi
23
M. Merino
20
N. Madueke
14
V. Gyokeres
10
E. Eze
9
E. Haaland
11
J. Doku
47
P. Foden
4
T. Reijnders
20
B. Silva
16
Rodri
33
N. O'Reilly
24
J. Gvardiol
3
R. Dias
45
A. Khusanov
25
G. Donnarumma

Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1

Manchester City

Missing players

Arsenal
Arsenal
Defender

B. White

Forward

G. Jesus

K. Havertz

Manchester City
Manchester City
Defender

J. Stones

R. Ait Nouri

Midfielder

M. Kovacic

R. Cherki

Forward

O. Marmoush

Arsenal & Manchester City Squad Analysis

Mikel Arteta's main injury problems are in forward areas, as Kai Havertz and Gabriel Jesus are both long term absentees. But with Bakayo Saka back to full fitness, the Gunners' boss still has a huge amount of attacking options at his disposal. Noni Madueke has impressed in his last two starts, whilst Leandro Trossard and Gabriel Martinelli both came off the bench to score against Bilbao in midweek. Arteta is keeping his cards close to his chest regarding his starting eleven for Sunday, but whatever he decides, the Gunners are sure to go into the game with a formidable attacking lineup. 

City missing key players

City will go into Sunday's game without forwards Rayan Cherki and Omar Marmoush, who are both still recovering from recent injuries. Defenders John Stones and Rayan Aït-Nouri are also injury absentees, but Croatian midfielder Mateo Kovačić may be fit enough to make the bench following an Achilles injury suffered over the summer. 

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Arsenal
CD Huachipato Manchester City
Top Goalscorer
Sweden V. Gyokeres (3 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Norway E. Haaland (6 Goals)
Best assists
Italy R. Calafiori (2 Assists)
Belgium L. Trossard (2 Assists)
Best assists
Netherlands T. Reijnders (2 Assists)
Belgium J. Doku (2 Assists)

Arsenal and Manchester City Stats in Premier League

Arsenal
Arsenal
Manchester City
Manchester City
75%
Victories
50%
0%
Draw
0%
25%
Defeats
50%
2.5
Total goals per match
3
2.25
Goals scored per match
2
0.25
Goals conceded per match
1
50%
Over 2.5
75%
50%
Under 2.5
25%
0%
BTTS
25%
75%
No goals conceded
50%

Arsenal - Manchester City Key Points

  1. Erling Haaland has scored 8 goals in his last 3 games
  2. Arsenal have kept just 2 clean sheets in their last 13 games against City
  3. Erling Haaland has scored 4 goals in 6 Premier LEague appearances against Arsenal
  4. Erling Haaland has scored 90 goals in just 101 Premier League games
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Our Arsenal vs Manchester City Prediction

This is an incredibly difficult game to call, so we are steering clear of the moneyline market and instead looking towards Norwegian striker Erling Haaland for some market value. The City hitman has been virtually unplayable in recent weeks and looks on course for another record breaking season. Arsenal are a very strong side defensively, but when Haaland is in this kind of form, the odds of 10.00 on him scoring at least two goals look like excellent value. Our prediction for Arsenal vs Manchester City is: Erling Haaland to score at least 2 goals.

Prediction:

 

Erling Haaland to score at least 2 goals

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$400+ offered for betting!

Arsenal vs Manchester City - Other Interesting Picks

Over 3.5 goals

Odds +200
Erling Haaland, Viktor Gyökeres, Eberechi Eze, Bukayo Saka, Phil Foden et al. The list of attacking players on display at the Emirates on Sunday is truly breathtaking. As such, we would not be surprised to see the game turn into a shootout. That makes the odds of 3.00 on the contest having at least four goals seem very attractive.
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Arsenal vs Manchester City match : Frequently asked questions

Arsenal vs Manchester City kicks off on Sunday 21st September at 4:00 pm BST.
The Arsenal vs Manchester City Premier League game will take place at the Emirates Stadium in North London.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Arsenal vs Manchester City Picks
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