Arsenal vs Atletico Madrid Prediction & Picks - Champions League
Europe - Champions League
New customers only | Commercial content | 21+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Bradley Gibbs | in Champions League Picks
The time is now for both Atletico Madrid and Arsenal. One of these two teams will soon be through to the final of the UEFA Champions League, the most prestigious club competition on planet earth. Can the Gunners build on what was a positive first-leg effort in the Spanish capital and reach a first UCL final since 2006?
Diego Simeone is much more used to reaching one of soccer’s biggest games than Mikel Arteta, having taken Atleti to the UCL final in both 2014 and 2016. Having tied on home soil, the visitors now have the task of getting it done in London, which won’t be easy, especially as the hosts will be feeling confident following what was a commanding performance in front of their own fans at the weekend.
The first leg was a tight and cagey affair, with neither side dominating, with both goals coming from the spot. We can expect more of the same at Emirates Stadium.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
Arsenal vs Atletico Madrid Form
Arsenal and Atletico Madrid Latest Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
May 2, 2026 - Premier League
Apr 29, 2026 - Champions League
Apr 25, 2026 - Premier League
Apr 19, 2026 - Premier League
Apr 15, 2026 - Champions League
Apr 11, 2026 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
May 2, 2026 - Premier League
Apr 25, 2026 - Premier League
Apr 15, 2026 - Champions League
Apr 11, 2026 - Premier League
Mar 22, 2026 - Carabao Cup
Mar 17, 2026 - Champions League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Apr 29, 2026 - Champions League
Apr 19, 2026 - Premier League
Apr 7, 2026 - Champions League
Apr 4, 2026 - FA Cup
Mar 11, 2026 - Champions League
Mar 7, 2026 - FA Cup
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
May 2, 2026 - LaLiga
Apr 29, 2026 - Champions League
Apr 25, 2026 - LaLiga
Apr 22, 2026 - LaLiga
Apr 18, 2026 - Copa del Rey
Apr 14, 2026 - Champions League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Apr 29, 2026 - Champions League
Apr 25, 2026 - LaLiga
Apr 18, 2026 - Copa del Rey
Apr 14, 2026 - Champions League
Apr 4, 2026 - LaLiga
Mar 14, 2026 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
May 2, 2026 - LaLiga
Apr 22, 2026 - LaLiga
Apr 11, 2026 - LaLiga
Apr 8, 2026 - Champions League
Mar 22, 2026 - LaLiga
Mar 18, 2026 - Champions League
Arsenal against Atletico Madrid : Head to Head (H2H)
20 %
60 %
20 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
Apr 29, 2026 - Champions League
Oct 21, 2025 - Champions League
Jul 26, 2018 - International Champions Cup
May 3, 2018 - Europa League
Apr 26, 2018 - Europa League
Arsenal - Atletico Madrid: Form Analysis
Tuesday’s visitors also returned to winning ways at the weekend, defeating Valencia by two goals to zero on the road, winning in typical Atleti style. They’ll now be hoping to repeat those antics in North London, though this will likely be a much tougher task. Generally speaking, the visitors haven’t been too strong on their travels in recent weeks, losing two of their last three, while in all competitions, they’ve lost five of their last seven away games, including in North London against Tottenham.
Generally speaking, the visitors haven’t been too strong on their travels in recent weeks, losing two of their last three, while in all competitions, they’ve lost five of their last seven away games, including in North London against Tottenham.
For the Gunners, home is clearly where the heart is, so much so that Arteta’s men will surely fancy themselves to get over the line here. But for the slightest of blips around a month ago, the Arsenal boys have been very strong at home, winning nine of their last 12 home games in all competitions.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
Arsenal against Atletico Madrid Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Substitutes
T. Setford
K. Arrizabalaga
DefenderP. Hincapie
C. Mosquera
MidfielderM. Zubimendi
M. Odegaard
M. Dowman
C. Norgaard
ForwardG. Jesus
G. Martinelli
K. Havertz
N. Madueke
J. Musso
DefenderC. Lenglet
N. Molina
J. Gimenez
J. Bonar
MidfielderO. Vargas
J. Cardoso
A. Baena
R. Martinez Moya
J. Diaz
ForwardT. Almada
A. Sorloth
Missing players
K. Hein
DefenderJ. Timber
MidfielderM. Merino
N. Gonzalez
P. Barrios
Arsenal & Atletico Madrid Squad Analysis
The hosts will continue to be without Mikel Merino, who has not yet recovered from injury, while Kai Havertz, who has missed large portions of the last two seasons, is once again missing. Jurrien Timber is another absentee for Mikel Arteta to contend with, though the Spaniard certainly has quality options at his disposal. Having been subbed at half-time at the weekend, likely to preserve freshness, Bukayo Saka could start, while Martin Zubimendi is expected to be recalled to the starting XI.
Key man and club legend Antoine Griezmann was used as a sub at the weekend, but he too should be in from the start on Tuesday.
Somewhat wisely, Diego Simeone made several changes for Atleti’s trip to Valencia on Saturday, resting the likes of Julian Alvarez, Ademola Lookman, Marcos Llorente and Jan Oblak, all of whom are expected to return to the starting XI. Key man and club legend Antoine Griezmann was used as a sub at the weekend, but he too should be in from the start on Tuesday.
Most goals and assists
Arsenal
Atletico Madrid
G. Martinelli
(6 Goals)
J. Alvarez
(10 Goals)
L. Trossard
(5 Assists)
J. Alvarez
(4 Assists)
, 
A. Lookman
(4 Assists)
Arsenal - Atletico Madrid Key Points
- No Atletico player has taken more shots than Julian Alvarez in all competitions this season.
- In the UCL this season, Julian Alvarez averages 1.69 shots on target per 90 minutes.
- During the first leg, Julian Alvarez took six shots, registering two on target.
- Julian Alvarez has registered at least one shot on target in each of his last eight appearances for Atletico.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
Our Arsenal vs Atletico Madrid Prediction
A hugely active offensive player, Julian Alvarez was certainly proactive in his approach during the first leg, shooting no less than six times, working David Raya in the Arsenal goal twice. On the break at Emirates Stadium, the Argentine will be a clear threat, and we know he won't hesitate in going for goal. Consider this in conjunction with his rather strong shooting stats and odds of -133 look very generous indeed.
Our Arsenal vs Atletico Pick: Julian Alvarez 1+ Shots on Target.
Arsenal vs Atletico Madrid - Other Interesting Picks
Atletico Madrid to Win
Arsenal vs Atletico Madrid match : Frequently asked questions
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
