Arnold Allen vs Melquaziel Costa Prediction & Picks - UFC Fight Night
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by Stephen Abiola | in UFC Picks
Arnold Allen (20-4-0) versus Melquaziel Costa (26-7-0) is a UFC Featherweight clash on Saturday night at Meta APEX in Las Vegas. Arnold “Almighty” Allen will be under pressure to deliver victory or risk slipping further down the pecking order in the division. The 32-year-old English fighter is currently ranked seventh in the division and is coming off a decision loss to Jean Silver at UFC 324. He’ll be the -163 betting favorite on Saturday.
Unlike Allen, who is experiencing a rough patch, Melquaziel Costa is on an exciting winning streak. Costa is coming off a thrilling KO/TKO win over Dan Igne in February this year after connecting his spinning back kick. This was his second KO/TKO victory, having defeated Morgan Charriere in December 2025. The 29-year-old Brazilian is quickly becoming one of the most dangerous finishers in the division.
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Arnold Allen - Melquaziel Costa Key Points
- Arnold Allen is 11-3 in his last 14 UFC bouts.
- The fight went the distance in the last four Arnold Allen bouts.
- The total rounds went over 2.5 in seven of the last nine Arnold Allen bouts.
- The total rounds went over 2.5 in three of the last six Melquaziel bouts.
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Our Arnold Allen vs Melquaziel Costa Prediction
This UFC main event fight promises to be a close contest between the under-pressure Allen and the young and hungry Costa. Allen will know that he isn’t getting any younger and quickly needs to improve his recent form to get a title shot in the future. The good news for him is that he’s the more experienced fighter and has already faced some of the best names in the business. We expect Allen to use his pace to move around the case and avoid Costa’s dangerous strikes. “The Dalmatian” is a deadly finisher with a 9-2 KO/TKO record and 8-2 submissions. Still, Allen is smart enough to outrun Costa and eke out a decision win.
Our prediction for Arnold Allen vs Melquaziel Costa: Arnold Allen on the moneyline.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
