Argentina vs Cape Verde Isl. Prediction & Picks - World Cup

World - World Cup

Argentina
7/3/26 18:00
Cape Verde Isl.

Prediction:

 

Argentina to Win & Over 2.5 Goals

-135
$200 offered for betting!

New customers only | Commercial content | 21+ age limit | T&Cs apply

 by Bradley Gibbs | in World Cup Picks

The world champions will be in knockout action for the first time at the 2026 World Cup on Friday, when Argentina and Cape Verde will lock horns in what is very much a David-vs-Goliath battle in Miami. 

The Argentines have definitely been handed a kind draw here. They’re up against a team that is severely lacking in experience at this level, facing players who have never played a World Cup knockout match before. The African islanders have already defied the odds, and they will be looking to cause what would be the biggest upset in World Cup history, but let’s  be real, this is a huge opportunity for the South Americans to advance, an opportunity that they should take without fuss. 

From a betting point of view, the best option is ‘Argentina to Win & Over 2.5 Goals’ at odds of -135.

Up to $200 to bet on Argentina - Cape Verde Isl.! 

Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings

Argentina vs Cape Verde Isl. Form

Argentina and Cape Verde Isl. Latest Matches

Argentina
Argentina Latest matches
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
17% BTTS
3 Goals scored
0.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Jun 27, 2026 - World Cup

Jordan
1 :  3
Argentina

Jun 22, 2026 - World Cup

Argentina
2 :  0
Austria

Jun 16, 2026 - World Cup

Argentina
3 :  0
Algeria

Jun 9, 2026 - International Friendlies

Argentina
3 :  0
Iceland

Jun 6, 2026 - International Friendlies

Argentina
2 :  0
Honduras

Mar 31, 2026 - International Friendlies

Argentina
5 :  0
Zambia
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
17% BTTS
2.83 Goals scored
0.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Jun 22, 2026 - World Cup

Argentina
2 :  0
Austria

Jun 16, 2026 - World Cup

Argentina
3 :  0
Algeria

Jun 9, 2026 - International Friendlies

Argentina
3 :  0
Iceland

Jun 6, 2026 - International Friendlies

Argentina
2 :  0
Honduras

Mar 31, 2026 - International Friendlies

Argentina
5 :  0
Zambia

Mar 27, 2026 - International Friendlies

Argentina
2 :  1
Mauritania
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
17% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Jun 27, 2026 - World Cup

Jordan
1 :  3
Argentina

Nov 14, 2025 - International Friendlies

Angola
0 :  2
Argentina

Oct 14, 2025 - International Friendlies

Puerto Rico
0 :  6
Argentina

Sep 9, 2025 - World Cup

Ecuador
1 :  0
Argentina

Jun 5, 2025 - World Cup

Chile
0 :  1
Argentina

Mar 21, 2025 - World Cup

Uruguay
0 :  1
Argentina
Cape Verde Isl.
Cape Verde Isl. Latest matches
D W W D D D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Jun 26, 2026 - World Cup

Cape Verde Isl.
0 :  0
Saudi Arabia

Jun 21, 2026 - World Cup

Uruguay
2 :  2
Cape Verde Isl.

Jun 15, 2026 - World Cup

Spain
0 :  0
Cape Verde Isl.

Jun 6, 2026 - International Friendlies

Cape Verde Isl.
3 :  0
Bermuda

May 31, 2026 - International Friendlies

Cape Verde Isl.
3 :  0
Serbia

Mar 29, 2026 - FIFA Series

Cape Verde Isl.
1 :  1
Finland
D D D W W D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Jun 26, 2026 - World Cup

Cape Verde Isl.
0 :  0
Saudi Arabia

Jun 6, 2026 - International Friendlies

Cape Verde Isl.
3 :  0
Bermuda

May 31, 2026 - International Friendlies

Cape Verde Isl.
3 :  0
Serbia

Mar 29, 2026 - FIFA Series

Cape Verde Isl.
1 :  1
Finland

Nov 17, 2025 - International Friendlies

Cape Verde Isl.
1 :  1
Egypt

Nov 13, 2025 - International Friendlies

Cape Verde Isl.
0 :  0
Iran
D W D L D D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Jun 21, 2026 - World Cup

Uruguay
2 :  2
Cape Verde Isl.

Jun 15, 2026 - World Cup

Spain
0 :  0
Cape Verde Isl.

Mar 26, 2026 - FIFA Series

Chile
4 :  2
Cape Verde Isl.

Oct 8, 2025 - World Cup

Libya
3 :  3
Cape Verde Isl.

Sep 4, 2025 - World Cup

Mauritius
0 :  2
Cape Verde Isl.

Jun 8, 2025 - International Friendlies

Georgia
1 :  1
Cape Verde Isl.

Argentina - Cape Verde Isl.: Form Analysis

Lionel Scaloni’s men were never going to struggle having been put into a group with Austria, Algeria and Jordan, and struggle they did not. The world champions made a fast start, with the magical Lionel Messi lighting the Argentinian touch paper by scoring a hat-trick during the first round of group games. The greatest to ever do it then added two more goals as his team eased beyond Austria, making it two wins from two, before easily beating Jordan and advancing thanks to three victories on the spin. 

The greatest to ever do it then added two more goals as his team eased beyond Austria, making it two wins from two, before easily beating Jordan and advancing thanks to three victories on the spin. 

Unlike the Argentines, the Cape Verdeans were not expected to thrive at this tournament. In fact, they were expected by almost everyone to flounder and exit having finished bottom of a group containing both Spain and Uruguay. However, the minnows massively outperformed expectations the first time out, tying with the Spanish, keeping a clean sheet in the process, before holding Uruguay to a tie too. Finally, a tie against the Saudis was enough for the African islanders to make it through, despite being given little chance just a few weeks ago.

Up to $200 to bet on Argentina - Cape Verde Isl.! 

Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings

Argentina vs Cape Verde Isl. Picks

Cape Verde Isl. v Argentina last Lineups

Argentina

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

23
E. Martinez
17
G. Simeone
19
N. Otamendi
2
M. Senesi
3
N. Tagliafico
18
N. Paz
5
L. Paredes
14
E. Palacios
11
G. Lo Celso
9
J. Alvarez
22
L. Martinez
17
W. Semedo
19
D. Livramento
20
R. Mendes
10
J. Monteiro
14
D. Duarte
6
K. Pina
8
Joao Paulo
3
D. Borges
4
P. Lopes
24
W. Pina
1
Vozinha

Formation : 4 - 1 - 2 - 3

Cape Verde Isl.

Substitutes

Argentina
Argentina
Goalkeeper

G. Rulli

J. Musso

Defender

G. Montiel

L. Martinez

F. Medina

N. Molina

C. Romero

Midfielder

A. Mac Allister

R. De Paul

N. Gonzalez

V. Barco

E. Fernandez

Forward

L. Messi

T. Almada

J. Lopez

Cape Verde Isl.
Cape Verde Isl.
Goalkeeper

M. Rosa

C. Dos Santos

Defender

K. Pires

L. Costa

Stopira

S. Moreira

Midfielder

Y. Semedo

H. Varela

N. Da Costa

G. Rodrigues

L. Duarte

J. Cabral

Forward

G. Benchimol

Missing players

Argentina
Argentina
Cape Verde Isl.
Cape Verde Isl.
Midfielder

T. Arcanjo

Argentina & Cape Verde Isl. Squad Analysis

Lionel Scaloni did make a few changes ahead of the game against Jordan, resting the likes of Enzo Fernadez, Rodrigo de Paul, Cristian Romero, while both Lionel Messi and Alexis Mac Allister only featured as subs. All of those players are now expected to return to the starting XI, meaning that Nico Paz, Giovani Lo Celso, Exequiel Palacios, Giuliano Simeone and Nicolas Otamendi will all drop back to the bench. 

Helio Varela has made positive impacts as a substitute at this tournament, especially when scoring against Uruguay, and will once again be used as an alternative weapon. 

Cape Verde head coach Bubista was without key player Sidny Lopes Cabral last time out. The Benfica defender was suspended following two yellow cards but he’s not eligible to play and will return to the starting XI. Helio Varela has made positive impacts as a substitute at this tournament, especially when scoring against Uruguay, and will once again be used as an alternative weapon. 

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Argentina
CD Huachipato Cape Verde Isl.
Top Goalscorer
Argentina L. Messi (6 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
K. Pina (1 Goals) H. Varela (1 Goals)
Best assists
Argentina R. De Paul (1 Assists)
Argentina N. Gonzalez (1 Assists)
Argentina F. Medina (1 Assists)
Best assists

Argentina - Cape Verde Isl. Key Points

  1. The Argentinians have won three out of three at the tournament so far.
  2. At this World Cup, at least three goals have been scored in each of Argentina's two games against much lower-ranked opponents.
  3. Three or more goals have been scored in three of Argentina's last four games in general.
  4. The Argentinians have won each of their last ten games.
Up to $200 to bet on Argentina - Cape Verde Isl.! 

Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings

Our Argentina vs Cape Verde Isl. Prediction

An Argentinian victory is clearly on the cards. Many neutrals would love to see the Cape Verde fairytale continue, but sadly, this is where the road ends for the African islanders, who have absolutely been a worthy addition to the tournament. 

The world champions have shown how easily they can step on the gas against inferior opposition at this tournament, so much so that they should be priced less generously to win a game that contains a minimum of three goals. 

Our Argentina vs Cape Verde Pick: Argentina to Win & Over 2.5 Goals. 

Prediction:

 

Argentina to Win & Over 2.5 Goals

-135
$200 offered for betting!

Argentina vs Cape Verde Isl. - Other Interesting Picks

Argentina to Win

Odds -500
If searching for value is not your thing, then betting on the Argentine win is going to be hard to resist. There’s a huge gap in quality here, one that should be evident from the off, and regardless of what the Cape Verde players have already achieved, there’s little chance of them progressing beyond this first knockout game. The world champions have far too much in the locker to waste this opportunity.
$200 offered for betting!

A 2026 WC Welcome Bonus for Argentina vs Cape Verde Isl.!

DraftKings WC Bonus

Looking to place a bet on Argentina vs Cape Verde Isl.? For this World Cup match and throughout the World Cup, DraftKings will treat you to an exclusive offer: $200 in bonus bets, no promo code needed! Take advantage while you still can!

$200 in bonus bets for Argentina vs Cape Verde Isl.!

Argentina vs Cape Verde Isl. match : Frequently asked questions

The World Cup match between Argentina and Cape Verde is scheduled for 07/03/2026 at 6:00 pm ET in Miami.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.