Andrey Rublev vs Lorenzo Sonego Prediction & Picks - ATP Toronto

ATP - ATP Toronto

ATP 11 Russia
Andrey Rublev
8/1/25 12:30
ATP 38 Italy
Lorenzo Sonego

Prediction:

 

Andrey Rublev will win 2-0

+100
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 by Lou Aguila | in ATP Toronto Picks

Andrey Rublev of Russia will duel with Lorenzo Sonego of Italy in Friday's third round of the 2025 Canadian Open.

Rublev advanced to the third round with a surgical win over Hugo Gaston of France 6-2 6-3. Rublev imposed his dominance from the get-go, winning 77 percent of his first serves and capturing four breakpoints with 27 return points. The victory should bolster the Russians’ confidence a week after crashing out in the second round of the Washington Open at the hands of Learner Tien 5-7, 2-6.

Sonego couldn’t be happier returning to the hard court. The Italian needed only 16 games to dispatch Bu Yunchaokete of China 6-1 6-4 in the second round of the 2025 Canadian Open. Sonego, who reached his first Grand Slam quarterfinals at the Australian Open, showcased his evolving hard-court game, capturing 79 percent of his first serves and 4 breakpoints.

Andrey Rublev vs Lorenzo Sonego Form

Andrey Rublev and Lorenzo Sonego Latest Matches

Andrey Rublev Latest matches
L W W L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jul 30, 2025 - ATP Toronto

Andrey Rublev
2 :  0
Hugo Gaston

Jul 23, 2025 - ATP Washington Citi Open

Learner Tien
2 :  0
Andrey Rublev

Jul 19, 2025 - ATP Los Cabos Open

Andrey Rublev
1 :  2
Aleksandar Kovacevic

Jul 17, 2025 - ATP Los Cabos Open

Andrey Rublev
2 :  1
Emilio Nava

Jul 16, 2025 - ATP Los Cabos Open

Andrey Rublev
2 :  0
Alex Hernandez

Jul 6, 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Andrey Rublev
1 :  3
Carlos Alcaraz
Lorenzo Sonego Latest matches
W W W L L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jul 30, 2025 - ATP Toronto

Yunchaokete Bu
0 :  2
Lorenzo Sonego

Jul 23, 2025 - ATP Washington Citi Open

Matteo Arnaldi
2 :  0
Lorenzo Sonego

Jul 7, 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Ben Shelton
3 :  1
Lorenzo Sonego

Jul 5, 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Brandon Nakashima
2 :  3
Lorenzo Sonego

Jul 3, 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Lorenzo Sonego
3 :  1
Nikoloz Basilashvili

Jul 1, 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Jaime Faria
0 :  3
Lorenzo Sonego

Andrey Rublev against Lorenzo Sonego : Head to Head (H2H)

Andrey Rublev

50 %

Lorenzo Sonego

50 %

Nov 5, 2024 - Moselle Open

Andrey Rublev
2 :  0
Lorenzo Sonego

Jun 2, 2023 - ATP French Open

Lorenzo Sonego
3 :  2
Andrey Rublev

May 15, 2021 - ATP Italian Open

Lorenzo Sonego
2 :  1
Andrey Rublev

Nov 1, 2020 - ATP Vienna

Lorenzo Sonego
0 :  2
Andrey Rublev
Compare Andrey Rublev and Lorenzo Sonego with our comparison tool.

Andrey Rublev - Lorenzo Sonego Key Points

  1. Lorenzo Sonego defeated Bu Yunchaokete 6-1, 6-4 in the second round of the 2025 Canadian Open.
  2. Lorenzo Sonego reached his first Grand Slam quarterfinal at the 2025 Australian Open.
  3. Andrey Rublev defeated Hugo Gaston 6-2, 6-3 in the second round of the 2025 Canadian Open.
  4. Andrey Rublev is 8-7 in hard-court matches in 2025.

Our Andrey Rublev vs Lorenzo Sonego Prediction

Andrey Rublev is spectacular in his win over Hugo Gaston. The question now is, can he sustain his fine play into the next round? I believe Rublev can produce the same performance quality in his matchup with Sonego, against whom he has a 3-2 head-to-head lead. I think Rublev can beat Sonego in straight sets like he did in the two hard-court wins against the Italian.

Sonego is a formidable opponent because of his experience and ability to produce upset wins when he catches fire. However, he has been too inconsistent this season for me to trust. By the way, Sonego has lost all his 10 matches against the ATP top-20 players this season.

Our betting prediction for Lorenzo Sonego vs. Andrey Rublev: Andrey Rublev 2-0.

Prediction:

 

Andrey Rublev will win 2-0

+100
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Andrey Rublev vs Lorenzo Sonego Picks