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by Lou Aguila | in ATP Toronto Picks
Andrey Rublev of Russia will duel with Lorenzo Sonego of Italy in Friday's third round of the 2025 Canadian Open.
Rublev advanced to the third round with a surgical win over Hugo Gaston of France 6-2 6-3. Rublev imposed his dominance from the get-go, winning 77 percent of his first serves and capturing four breakpoints with 27 return points. The victory should bolster the Russians’ confidence a week after crashing out in the second round of the Washington Open at the hands of Learner Tien 5-7, 2-6.
Sonego couldn’t be happier returning to the hard court. The Italian needed only 16 games to dispatch Bu Yunchaokete of China 6-1 6-4 in the second round of the 2025 Canadian Open. Sonego, who reached his first Grand Slam quarterfinals at the Australian Open, showcased his evolving hard-court game, capturing 79 percent of his first serves and 4 breakpoints.
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Andrey Rublev vs Lorenzo Sonego Form
Andrey Rublev and Lorenzo Sonego Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Jul 30, 2025 - ATP Toronto
Jul 23, 2025 - ATP Washington Citi Open
Jul 19, 2025 - ATP Los Cabos Open
Jul 17, 2025 - ATP Los Cabos Open
Jul 16, 2025 - ATP Los Cabos Open
Jul 6, 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Jul 30, 2025 - ATP Toronto
Jul 23, 2025 - ATP Washington Citi Open
Jul 7, 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
Jul 5, 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
Jul 3, 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
Jul 1, 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
Andrey Rublev against Lorenzo Sonego : Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
Nov 5, 2024 - Moselle Open
Jun 2, 2023 - ATP French Open
May 15, 2021 - ATP Italian Open
Nov 1, 2020 - ATP Vienna
Andrey Rublev - Lorenzo Sonego Key Points
- Lorenzo Sonego defeated Bu Yunchaokete 6-1, 6-4 in the second round of the 2025 Canadian Open.
- Lorenzo Sonego reached his first Grand Slam quarterfinal at the 2025 Australian Open.
- Andrey Rublev defeated Hugo Gaston 6-2, 6-3 in the second round of the 2025 Canadian Open.
- Andrey Rublev is 8-7 in hard-court matches in 2025.
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Our Andrey Rublev vs Lorenzo Sonego Prediction
Andrey Rublev is spectacular in his win over Hugo Gaston. The question now is, can he sustain his fine play into the next round? I believe Rublev can produce the same performance quality in his matchup with Sonego, against whom he has a 3-2 head-to-head lead. I think Rublev can beat Sonego in straight sets like he did in the two hard-court wins against the Italian.
Sonego is a formidable opponent because of his experience and ability to produce upset wins when he catches fire. However, he has been too inconsistent this season for me to trust. By the way, Sonego has lost all his 10 matches against the ATP top-20 players this season.
Our betting prediction for Lorenzo Sonego vs. Andrey Rublev: Andrey Rublev 2-0.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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