ATP - ATP Toronto
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by Lou Aguila | in ATP Toronto Picks
Andrey Rublev of Russia will vie for a place in the third round of the 2025 National Bank Open against Hugo Gaston of France on Wednesday in Toronto, Canada.
Rublev begins a fresh campaign in Toronto after absorbing a second-round loss to Learner Tien in the second round of the Mubadala Citi Open in Washington a week ago. The former world’s No.5 is 7-7 in hard-court matches this year but won his lone ATP title in 2025 in a hard-court tournament at the Qatar Open in February.
Gaston moved on to the second round with a come-from-behind win over Mattia Bellucci 3-6 6-4 2-0 ret. After competing in several clay-court tournaments across Europe in the past three weeks, Gaston struggled to adapt to the court conditions in his first hard-court match since his campaign at the 2025 Miami Open in late March. Gaston eventually regained his composure and started winning crucial rallies in the second and third sets. Gaston seemed to be on the verge of a runaway win in the third before Bellucci retired after the second game.
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Andrey Rublev vs Hugo Gaston Form
Andrey Rublev and Hugo Gaston Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Jul 23, 2025 - ATP Washington Citi Open
Jul 19, 2025 - ATP Los Cabos Open
Jul 17, 2025 - ATP Los Cabos Open
Jul 16, 2025 - ATP Los Cabos Open
Jul 6, 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
Jul 4, 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Jul 28, 2025 - ATP Toronto
Jul 21, 2025 - ATP Kitzbuhel Open
Jul 17, 2025 - ATP Bastad Open
Jul 15, 2025 - ATP Bastad Open
Jul 8, 2025 - Iasi, Romania, Qualifying
Jul 1, 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
Andrey Rublev - Hugo Gaston Key Points
- Andrey Rublev finished runner-up to Alexie Popyrin at the 2024 National Bank Open.
- Andrey Rublev is 7-7 in hard-court matches in 2025.
- Hugo Gaston defeated Mattia Bellucci 3-6 6-4 2-0 ret in the first round of the 2025 National Bank Open.
- Hugo Gaston is 9-7 in hard-court matches in 2025.
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Our Andrey Rublev vs Hugo Gaston Prediction
I got Andrey Rublev winning by at least six games over Hugo Gaston on Wednesday. Despite coming off a second-round exit in Washington and a subpar 7-7 record in hard-court matches in 2025, Rublev remains a strong contender in this tournament, where he was a finalist last year.
The Russian had also performed decently with a semifinal finish at the 2025 Los Cabos Open and won his only title this year in a high-level hard-court tourney at the Qatar Open. Ranked No. 126th in the world, Gaston is 0-1 against the ATP top-20 this year and 6-11 against these players in his career.
Our betting prediction for Andrey Rublev vs. Hugo Gaston: Andrey Rublev -5.5 Games
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