Allan Nascimento vs Mitch Raposo Prediction & Picks - UFC Fight Night
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by Stephen Abiola | in UFC Picks
The UFC action will continue this Saturday with Allan Nascimento (22-6-0) and Mitch Raposo (10-3-0) clashing in the Flyweight division on Saturday night. Nascimento joined the franchise in August 2018, losing his first fight against Ulanbekov via a split decision. However, he has since bounced back to win his last four fights, the latest being a submission win against Cody Durden. Nascimento will be feeling confident of winning this weekend as the -200 betting favorite.
Like Nascimento, Mitch Raposo hasn’t had the brightest start to his UFC career since joining the franchise in October 2021. He has lost two of his last three assignments, with his latest fight ending in a decision win over Azat Maksum. Despite his 1-2 record, Nascimento has shown that he can compete in the division, with his two losses coming via split decisions. The American will undoubtedly fancy his chances of causing an upset this weekend.
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Allan Nascimento - Mitch Raposo Key Points
- The fight didn’t go the distance in two of the last three Nascimento bouts.
- Nascimento is 5-1 in his last six fights all-time.
- The fight didn’t go the distance in five of the last eight Raposo bouts.
- Raposo lost two of his last three bouts.
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Our Allan Nascimento vs Mitch Raposo Prediction
All indicators point towards a win for Nascimento. Standing at 5-foot-8, the Brazilian comes with a 5-inch reach advantage, which could be significant in this battle. He has put together one of the hottest streaks in the division, with two of his four wins coming via choked submissions. However, the experienced fighter will have to play smart to take Raposo to the ground and choke him out. The American boasts an impressive takedown defense average of 61%. Raposo can also be dangerous on his feet, having secured three KO wins in his last six assignments. Still, he hasn’t done enough to convince us that he can win this weekend. Nascimento should win via submission in Round 2 or 3.
Our prediction for Allan Nascimento vs Mitch Raposo: The fight not going the distance.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
