Algeria vs Nigeria Prediction & Picks - AFCON

Africa - AFCON

Algeria
1/10/26 11:00
Nigeria

Prediction:

 

Over 2.5 Goals

+140
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 by Bradley Gibbs in AFCON Picks

After Friday’s two games, the last two quarter-finals of the African Cup of Nations will take place, starting with Algeria vs Nigeria, which gets underway at 11:00 AM for those watching on Eastern Time. Having cruised through the groups, winning three out of three, the Algerians didn’t exactly make light work of beating D.R. Congo during the Round of 16. They failed to score in regulation time, just about getting over the line in extra time, courtesy of a 119th minute goal from substitute Adil Boulbina, who netted for the first time at this prestigious tournament. 

It wasn’t close-cut for the Nigerians, who absolutely demolished Mozambique, winning by four goals to zero, flying through to the last eight in decisive fashion. The Super Eagles look super strong and should fancy themselves to go deep into the tournament.

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Algeria vs Nigeria Form

Algeria and Nigeria Latest Matches

Algeria
Algeria Latest matches
W D W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Jan 6, 2026 - AFCON

Algeria
1 :  0
DR Congo

Dec 31, 2025 - AFCON

Equatorial Guinea
1 :  3
Algeria

Dec 28, 2025 - AFCON

Algeria
1 :  0
Burkina Faso

Dec 24, 2025 - AFCON

Algeria
3 :  0
Sudan

Dec 12, 2025 - Arab Cup

Algeria
1 :  1
United Arab Emirates

Dec 9, 2025 - Arab Cup

Algeria
2 :  0
Iraq
D W D W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.17 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

Jan 6, 2026 - AFCON

Algeria
1 :  0
DR Congo

Dec 28, 2025 - AFCON

Algeria
1 :  0
Burkina Faso

Dec 24, 2025 - AFCON

Algeria
3 :  0
Sudan

Dec 12, 2025 - Arab Cup

Algeria
1 :  1
United Arab Emirates

Dec 9, 2025 - Arab Cup

Algeria
2 :  0
Iraq

Dec 3, 2025 - Arab Cup

Algeria
0 :  0
Sudan
D D W W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Dec 31, 2025 - AFCON

Equatorial Guinea
1 :  3
Algeria

Dec 6, 2025 - Arab Cup

Bahrain
1 :  5
Algeria

Nov 18, 2025 - International Friendlies

Saudi Arabia
0 :  2
Algeria

Oct 9, 2025 - World Cup

Somalia
0 :  3
Algeria

Sep 8, 2025 - World Cup

Guinea
0 :  0
Algeria

Aug 23, 2025 - African Nations Championship

Sudan
1 :  1
Algeria
Nigeria
Nigeria Latest matches
D L W W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Jan 5, 2026 - AFCON

Nigeria
4 :  0
Mozambique

Dec 30, 2025 - AFCON

Uganda
1 :  3
Nigeria

Dec 27, 2025 - AFCON

Nigeria
3 :  2
Tunisia

Dec 23, 2025 - AFCON

Nigeria
2 :  1
Tanzania

Dec 16, 2025 - International Friendlies

Egypt
2 :  1
Nigeria

Nov 16, 2025 - World Cup

Nigeria
1 :  1
DR Congo
W W D W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
3 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Jan 5, 2026 - AFCON

Nigeria
4 :  0
Mozambique

Dec 27, 2025 - AFCON

Nigeria
3 :  2
Tunisia

Dec 23, 2025 - AFCON

Nigeria
2 :  1
Tanzania

Nov 16, 2025 - World Cup

Nigeria
1 :  1
DR Congo

Nov 13, 2025 - World Cup

Nigeria
4 :  1
Gabon

Oct 14, 2025 - World Cup

Nigeria
4 :  0
Benin
L L D W L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Dec 30, 2025 - AFCON

Uganda
1 :  3
Nigeria

Dec 16, 2025 - International Friendlies

Egypt
2 :  1
Nigeria

Oct 10, 2025 - World Cup

Lesotho
1 :  2
Nigeria

Sep 9, 2025 - World Cup

South Africa
1 :  1
Nigeria

Aug 12, 2025 - African Nations Championship

Sudan
4 :  0
Nigeria

Aug 5, 2025 - African Nations Championship

Senegal
1 :  0
Nigeria

Algeria against Nigeria : Head to Head (H2H)

Algeria

50 %

Draw

0 %

Nigeria

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.5
Total goals
100%
BTTS
1.5
Goals scored (Team 1)
2
Goals scored (Team 2)
100%
Over 2.5
0%
Under 2.5

Jul 14, 2019 - AFCON

Algeria
2 :  1
Nigeria

Nov 12, 2016 - World Cup

Nigeria
3 :  1
Algeria

Algeria - Nigeria: Form Analysis

All in all, the Algerians have been consistent since arriving in Morocco. Vladimir Petkovic’s men know how to take the sting out of games, they can dominate the ball, while with players like Riyadh Mahrez, Fares Chaibi, Mohamed Amoura and the exciting Ibrahim Maza, they have no shortage of offensive quality. If the Nigerians are too cavalier, the Fennec Foxes will make them pay, that’s for sure. 

If the Nigerians are too cavalier, the Fennec Foxes will make them pay, that’s for sure. 

From a Nigerian point of view, it’s been explosive stuff. The Super Eagles flexed their muscles during the groups, winning three out of three in offensive style, scoring a total of eight goals. They too have lots of forward quality and are seemingly happy to go toe-to-toe with any team, which makes any game involving Eric Chelle’s men an entertaining one. The question is, will they be tight enough at the back against a very decent Algeria offense?

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Algeria against Nigeria Lineups: Starting 11

Algeria

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

23
L. Zidane
25
R. Belghali
2
A. Mandi
21
R. Bensebaini
15
R. Ait-Nouri
7
R. Mahrez
6
R. Zerrouki
14
H. Boudaoui
17
F. Chaibi
22
I. Maza
18
M. Amoura
22
A. Adams
9
V. Osimhen
7
A. Lookman
17
A. Iwobi
4
W. Ndidi
8
F. Onyeka
13
O. Bruno
21
C. Bassey
6
S. Ajayi
2
B. Osayi-Samuel
23
S. Nwabali

Formation : 4 - 3 - 1 - 2

Nigeria

Algeria & Nigeria Squad Analysis

The Algerians will continue to be without the services of Houssem Aouar, who has not yet featured in Morocco due to a groin problem. Jaouen Hadjam featured as a substitute twice during the group stages, but has since suffered an ankle injury and is not likely to be involved, while there are also serious doubts over the fitness of Ismael Bennacer, who was forced off early last time out. 

Jaouen Hadjam featured as a substitute twice during the group stages, but has since suffered an ankle injury and is not likely to be involved

Forward Cyrel Dessers traveled with the Nigeria squad to Morocco, but is yet to feature thanks to an injury problem. The Panathinaikos player is not expected to return here. Other than that, Eric Chelle has a fully fit squad to choose from and is unlikely to make many changes.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Algeria
CD Huachipato Nigeria
Top Goalscorer
Algeria R. Mahrez (3 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Nigeria V. Osimhen (4 Goals)
Best assists
Algeria H. Boudaoui (2 Assists)
Algeria A. Hadj Moussa (2 Assists)
Best assists
Nigeria A. Lookman (4 Assists)

Algeria - Nigeria Key Points

  1. At this tournament so far, the Algerians have scored an average of 2.00 goals per game.
  2. Since arriving in Morocco, the Nigerians have scored an average of 3.00 goals per game.
  3. Four goals were scored when the Nigerians last took to the field in Morocco.
  4. Three or more goals have been scored in each of Nigeria's four games at this tournament.
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Our Algeria vs Nigeria Prediction

It's reasonable to assume that most of the quarter-finals will be cagey affairs, but if there is one game that could easily explode into high-scoring life, then it's probably this one. The Nigerians have taken a very cavalier approach, which has resulted in some open and high-scoring games. Given that each of their four games at the tournament so far have contained at least three goals, 'Over 2.5 Goals' looks generously priced as far as I'm concerned. 

We know that both teams boast a serious amount of quality, and given that Eric Chelle's men are highly unlikely to sit back, this shouid be a game that provides no shortage of scoring opportunities, and I'm just not sure that the early odds reflect this accurately enough. 

Our Algeria vs Nigeria Pick: Over 2.5 Goals.

Prediction:

 

Over 2.5 Goals

+140
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Algeria vs Nigeria - Other Interesting Picks

Algeria to Score Over 1.5 Goals

Odds +220

The Nigerians have taken a seriously offensive approach, which could pay dividends in Marrakech, though it's far from difficult to see the Super Eagles coming unstuck at the back. The Algerians have lots of offensive quality, so much so that they look a little generously priced to notch a couple of goals against what is a very open team, one that conceded three goals against lesser teams during the group stages. 

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Algeria vs Nigeria match : Frequently asked questions

This game will take place at Stade de Marrakech, located in the Moroccan city of Marrakech.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Algeria vs Nigeria Picks