Alexander Zverev vs Tommy Paul Prediction & Picks - ATP Cincinnati Open

ATP - ATP Cincinnati Open

Alexander Zverev Germany
Alexander Zverev ATP 2
8/19/26 14:00
Tommy Paul USA
Tommy Paul ATP 18

Prediction:

 

Tommy Paul +1.5 Set Handicap

-125
$150 offered for betting!

New customers only | Commercial content | 21+ age limit | T&Cs apply

 by Bradley Gibbs | in ATP Cincinnati Open Picks

There's a very interesting match taking place at the ATP event in Cincinnati on Wednesday, when Alexander Zverev and Tommy Paul meet for the fourth time as professionals. The German, who is ranked above his opponent, will be searching for just a second win against the American. 

Given that he's the current world number three, and given that he delivered his best hard-court effort since the end of the grass-court season last time out, Alexander Zverev does deserve to be the favorite here. However. he hasn't quite done enough to warrant such strong favoritism. Tommy Paul can compete with top players, his record against the German shows that, and since he's never lost to Zverev in straight sets, he's worth betting on to, at the very least, win one set when the pair clash on Wednesday. 

Up to $150 to bet on Alexander Zverev - Tommy Paul! 

Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings

Alexander Zverev vs Tommy Paul Form

Alexander Zverev and Tommy Paul Latest Matches

Alexander Zverev Latest matches
W W L L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Aug 17, 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Alexander Zverev
2 :  0
Terence Atmane

Aug 15, 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Alexander Zverev
2 :  1
Cameron Norrie

Aug 5, 2026 - ATP National Bank Open

Alexander Zverev
1 :  2
Tallon Griekspoor

Jul 12, 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Jannik Sinner
3 :  1
Alexander Zverev

Jul 10, 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Arthur Fery
0 :  3
Alexander Zverev

Jul 8, 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Taylor Fritz
0 :  3
Alexander Zverev
Tommy Paul Latest matches
L L W L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Aug 17, 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Tommy Paul
2 :  1
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo

Aug 15, 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Tommy Paul
2 :  1
Hubert Hurkacz

Aug 7, 2026 - ATP National Bank Open

Learner Tien
2 :  0
Tommy Paul

Aug 5, 2026 - ATP National Bank Open

Valentin Royer
0 :  2
Tommy Paul

Jul 28, 2026 - ATP Washington Citi Open

Kamil Majchrzak
2 :  0
Tommy Paul

Jul 3, 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Hubert Hurkacz
3 :  1
Tommy Paul

Alexander Zverev against Tommy Paul : Head to Head (H2H)

Alexander Zverev

100 %

Tommy Paul

0 %

Jan 20, 2025 - ATP Australian Open

Tommy Paul
1 :  3
Alexander Zverev
Alexander Zverev vs Tommy Paul Picks

Alexander Zverev - Tommy Paul Key Points

  1. Alexander Zverev has only won one of his three hard-court matches (since the end of the grass-court season) in straight sets.
  2. When the pair last met on a hard court, Tommy Paul avoided a straight-set defeat.
  3. Tommy Paul has won two of his previous three hard-court matches against Alexander Zverev.
  4. Tommy Paul has never lost to Alexander Zverev in straight sets.
Up to $150 to bet on Alexander Zverev - Tommy Paul! 

Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings

Our Alexander Zverev vs Tommy Paul Prediction

Alexander Zverev did win when these two players last met, but he failed to do so in straight sets, while winning in straight sets is something he's never managed to do against Tommy Paul, who has won two of the previous three renewals of this match. Such a fact points towards the American outperforming his odds here. 

Moreover, Zverev has twice recently either dropped a set or lost to a lower-ranked player on this surface, making 'Tommy Paul +1.5 Set Handicap' look quite leniently priced at -125. 

Our Alexander Zverev vs Tommy Paul Pick: Tommy Paul +1.5 Set Handicap.

Prediction:

 

Tommy Paul +1.5 Set Handicap

-125
$150 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.