Alexander Zverev vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction & Picks - ATP Cincinnati Open

Prediction published on 8/16/25, 2:50 PM  by Lou Aguila in ATP Cincinnati Open Picks

Alexander Zverev is 6-5 against Carlos Alcaraz in their head-to-head series.

Will the +175 moneyline underdog Zverev deliver the perfect game to upset the No.2 player in the world? Or will Carlitos continue to get the better of the German in high-stakes matches?

Zverev arranged a semifinal showdown with the world’s No.2 Carlos Alcaraz after dismantling reigning Canadian Open champion Ben Shelton 6-2, 6-2. Shelton walked into his fourth career matchup with Zverev, riding an enormous momentum after racking up nine wins in a row. However, Zverev delivered his best performance in this tournament, winning all his service games and converting 4 of 11 breakpoints. Zverev won 81 percent of his first serves while firing five aces to stay undefeated against the fast-rising American.

Meanwhile, Alcaraz had to dig deep from his bag of tricks to stave off a strong challenge from Andrey Rublev in their thrilling quarterfinal duel, 6-3, 4-6, 7-5. Ranked No.2 in the world, Alcaraz fired 11 aces and won 40 points on his first serves to concede two games against Rublev. The Spaniard also captured four breakpoints, which allowed him to secure the edge against the feisty Russian. Alcaraz is 14-4 on the hard court in 2025.