Alexander Bublik vs Alex De Minaur Prediction & Picks - Rolex Paris Masters

ATP - Rolex Paris Masters

ATP 16 Kazachstan
Alexander Bublik
10/31/25 10:10
ATP 6 Australia
Alex De Minaur

Prediction:

 

Alexander Bublik +1.5 Sets

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 by Lou Aguila in Rolex Paris Masters Picks

Alexandre Bublik opened as a +122 underdog ahead of his fifth career meeting with Alex De Minaur in the quarterfinals of the 2025 Paris Masters on Friday.

Current Form:

Bublik earned his second career ATP 1000 quarterfinal stint after upsetting world No.4 Taylor Fritz 7-6, 6-2. Bublik’s career-best season added another chapter with his third ATP top-5 win this year. The Kazakh is now 7-3 in indoor play this year after racking up three strong wins in this tournament. Aside from Fritz, Bublik eliminated Alexei Popyrin and Corentin Moutet in straight sets.

De Minaur is through to his 12th quarterfinal appearance this year with a resounding 6-2, 6-2 win over Karen Khachanov of Russia. The Aussie played impeccable tennis from start to finish, holding 100 percent of his serves and converting four breakpoints. De Minaur is now 12-2 in indoor matches in 2025.

Alexander Bublik vs Alex De Minaur Form

Alexander Bublik and Alex De Minaur Latest Matches

Alexander Bublik Latest matches
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Oct 30, 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters

Taylor Fritz
0 :  2
Alexander Bublik

Oct 29, 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters

Corentin Moutet
0 :  2
Alexander Bublik

Oct 27, 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters

Alexei Popyrin
0 :  2
Alexander Bublik

Oct 24, 2025 - ATP Vienna

Jannik Sinner
2 :  0
Alexander Bublik

Oct 23, 2025 - ATP Vienna

Francisco Cerundolo
0 :  2
Alexander Bublik

Oct 20, 2025 - ATP Vienna

Alejandro Tabilo
0 :  2
Alexander Bublik
Alex De Minaur Latest matches
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Oct 30, 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters

Karen Khachanov
0 :  2
Alex De Minaur

Oct 29, 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters

Gabriel Diallo
1 :  2
Alex De Minaur

Oct 25, 2025 - ATP Vienna

Jannik Sinner
2 :  0
Alex De Minaur

Oct 24, 2025 - ATP Vienna

Alex De Minaur
2 :  0
Matteo Berrettini

Oct 22, 2025 - ATP Vienna

Alex De Minaur
2 :  0
Filip Misolic

Oct 20, 2025 - ATP Vienna

Alex De Minaur
2 :  0
Jurij Rodionov

Alexander Bublik against Alex De Minaur : Head to Head (H2H)

Alexander Bublik

33 %

Alex De Minaur

67 %

May 29, 2025 - ATP French Open

Alex De Minaur
2 :  3
Alexander Bublik

Mar 10, 2024 - ATP Indian Wells

Alexander Bublik
0 :  2
Alex De Minaur

Jan 13, 2021 - Antalya, Turkey

Alexander Bublik
- :  -
Alex De Minaur
Compare Alexander Bublik and Alex De Minaur with our comparison tool.

Alexander Bublik - Alex De Minaur Key Points

  1. Alex De Minaur defeated Karen Khachanov 6-2, 6-2 in the third round of the 2025 Paris Masters.
  2. Alex De Minaur is 12-2 in indoor matches in 2025.
  3. Alexander Bublik is 7-3 in indoor matches in 2025.
  4. Alexander Bublik defeated Taylor Fritz 7-6, 6-2 in the third round of the 2025 Paris Masters.

Our Alexander Bublik vs Alex De Minaur Prediction

Fearless Forecast: There’s no doubt Alex De Minaur is the favorite in this upcoming matchup with Bublik, as he carries a much superior 12-2 record in indoor play this year and a 3-1 head-to-head edge over the Kazakh. However, Bublik’s consistent performance this year on the Tour should make him a legit upset threat for De Minaur, who is eager to avenge his five-set loss to the Kazakh at the French Open early this year. And remember, De Minaur is only 7-12 against the ATP top-20 this year, so he’s not really that invincible coming into this match. Meanwhile, Bublik is 5-5 against the ATP top-10 and 6-3 in quarterfinal matches this year.

Our betting prediction for Alex De Minaur vs. Alexander Bublik: Alexander Bublik +1.5 Sets

Prediction:

 

Alexander Bublik +1.5 Sets

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Alexander Bublik vs Alex De Minaur Picks