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by Lou Aguila in Tennis Picks
American rising stars Alex Michelsen and Learner Tien will meet in a fascinating first-round duel of the 2025 US Men’s Clay Court Championship on Monday.
After a red-hot start to his 2025 ATP campaign, Michelsen’s momentum has hit a speed bump in the past few weeks, during which he lost four of his last six matches. Michelsen didn’t have a memorable campaign during this year’s Sunshine Double. He retired 10 minutes into his second-round match with Daniil Medvedev due to nose nose-bleeding incident and lost to Camilo Ugo Carabelli 6-7(3) 7-5 6-3 in the second round of the Miami Open.
Tien has dropped his last three matches since reaching the quarterfinal round in Acapulco. The American also experienced a forgettable Sunshine Double campaign, bombing out in the first round of both the Indian Wells Open and Miami Open.
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Alex Michelsen vs Learner Tien Form
Alex Michelsen and Learner Tien Latest Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Mar 21, 2025 - ATP Miami
Mar 9, 2025 - ATP Indian Wells
Mar 7, 2025 - ATP Indian Wells
Feb 26, 2025 - ATP Acapulco Open
Feb 26, 2025 - ATP Acapulco Open
Feb 15, 2025 - ATP Delray Beach Open
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Mar 20, 2025 - ATP Miami
Mar 6, 2025 - ATP Indian Wells
Feb 27, 2025 - ATP Acapulco Open
Feb 26, 2025 - ATP Acapulco Open
Feb 24, 2025 - ATP Acapulco Open
Feb 23, 2025 - ATP Acapulco Open
Alex Michelsen - Learner Tien Key Points
- Alex Michelsen has lost four of his last six matches.
- Alex Michelsen has a 38.1 percent win rate on clay.
- Learner Tien has lost his last three matches.
- Learner Tien has a 42.9 percent win rate on clay.
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Our Alex Michelsen vs Learner Tien Prediction
Although this is technically the first face-off between these two promising Americans on the ATP Tour, they already played each other in the semifinal of the 2024 NextGen Finals. In that match, Tien topped Michelsen in a five-set epic 2-4, 4-2 1-4, 4-0, 4-1. The match featured a race to four games to win a set format, showcasing the caliber of these young competitors. Holding almost identical records in the season, Tien (11-6) and Michelsen (11-8) will likely produce one of the best matches in the first round of this year’s US Men’s Clay Court Championship. At stake in this showdown is more than just a ticket to the next round; it’s also about bragging rights. Expect these players to trade blows and momentum in a potential three-setter. Our betting prediction for Alex Michelsen vs. Learner Tien: Over 22.5 Games
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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