Alex De Minaur vs Tommy Paul Prediction & Picks - ATP Hamburg Open

Prediction published on 5/22/26, 8:58 AM  by Tyler Doty | Modified on 5/22/26 at 2:00 PM in Tennis Picks

After a disappointing start to his European tour, Tommy Paul is back on track at the Hamburg tournament. Paul has made a strong start to the tournament in Germany with three convincing victories. He first defeated his compatriot Ethan Quinn in straight sets (6-1, 6-3), before securing a landmark victory over Tomas Martin Etcheverry after a grueling battle lasting over 3 hours and 30 minutes (6-7, 7-6, 7-6). In the quarterfinals, the world No. 26 confirmed his resurgence by dominating Germany’s Daniel Altmaier (6-2, 7-5) with a performance consistent with his previous ones. Now it’s on to the semifinals and a showdown against one of the tournament favorites in Germany.

Alex De Minaur came to Germany to regain his confidence after several disappointing outings. It was a decision that paid off for the world No. 9, who had to fight his way through a tough half of the draw and raise his level of play. He first dominated Francisco Cerundolo to kick off his tournament in Hamburg (3-6, 6-4, 6-3), before getting the better of Spain’s Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the second round (6-2, 4-6, 6-4). He further solidified his form in the quarterfinals with a victory over recent Rome semifinalist Luciano Darderi, dispatching him in just two sets (6-0, 6-3). With Roland Garros approaching, Alex De Minaur is on the upswing, and this semifinal against Tommy Paul could confirm it.