Alex De Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Prediction & Picks - ATP Washington Citi Open

ATP - ATP Washington Citi Open

ATP 6 Australia
Alex De Minaur
7/28/26 18:00
ATP 51 Greece
Stefanos Tsitsipas

Prediction:

 

Stefanos Tsitsipas to Win

+115
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 by Bradley Gibbs | in Tennis Picks

Two players who have very few secrets will clash again on Tuesday evening, when Alex De Minaur and Stefanos Tsitsipas meet for the 16th time as professionals. De Minaur is the current world number six, so he's never a player that can be dismissed, though we shouldn't write Tsitsipas off, especially after he refound the form of old to win a clay-court tournament just a few weeks ago. 

If we're going by rankings alone, then this is very much Alex De Minaur's match to lose. However if we take everything into consideration, it's much less clear-cut. In fact, if we really think about it, there's more to suggest that Stefanos Tsitsipas is the most likely winner of this contest. After all, the Greek player is not only full of confidence following that tournament in Gstaad, but he has a fantastic hard-court record against the Aussie. 

Alex De Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Form

Alex De Minaur and Stefanos Tsitsipas Latest Matches

Alex De Minaur Latest matches
W L W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jul 6, 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Alex De Minaur
0 :  3
Flavio Cobolli

Jul 4, 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Alex De Minaur
3 :  1
Zachary Svajda

Jul 2, 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Alex De Minaur
3 :  0
Adrian Mannarino

Jun 30, 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Alex De Minaur
3 :  0
Roman Andres Burruchaga

Jun 19, 2026 - ATP London - Queen's

Alex De Minaur
0 :  2
Brandon Nakashima

Jun 17, 2026 - ATP London - Queen's

Alex De Minaur
2 :  0
Denis Shapovalov
Stefanos Tsitsipas Latest matches
L W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Jul 19, 2026 - ATP Swiss Open Gstaad

Stefanos Tsitsipas
2 :  1
Raphael Collignon

Jul 18, 2026 - ATP Swiss Open Gstaad

Aleksandr Shevchenko
1 :  2
Stefanos Tsitsipas

Jul 17, 2026 - ATP Swiss Open Gstaad

Arthur Rinderknech
1 :  2
Stefanos Tsitsipas

Jul 15, 2026 - ATP Swiss Open Gstaad

Jerome Kym
1 :  2
Stefanos Tsitsipas

Jul 14, 2026 - ATP Swiss Open Gstaad

Stefanos Tsitsipas
2 :  0
Ignacio Buse

Jul 1, 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Stefanos Tsitsipas
0 :  3
Novak Djokovic

Alex De Minaur against Stefanos Tsitsipas : Head to Head (H2H)

Alex De Minaur

17 %

Stefanos Tsitsipas

83 %

Mar 20, 2026 - ATP Miami

Stefanos Tsitsipas
2 :  0
Alex De Minaur

May 14, 2024 - ATP Italian Open

Stefanos Tsitsipas
2 :  0
Alex De Minaur

Feb 29, 2024 - ATP Acapulco Open

Alex De Minaur
2 :  1
Stefanos Tsitsipas

Aug 5, 2023 - ATP Los Cabos Open

Stefanos Tsitsipas
2 :  0
Alex De Minaur

Apr 21, 2023 - ATP Barcelona

Alex De Minaur
0 :  2
Stefanos Tsitsipas

Oct 13, 2021 - ATP Indian Wells

Alex De Minaur
1 :  2
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Alex De Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Picks

Alex De Minaur - Stefanos Tsitsipas Key Points

  1. Stefanos Tsitsipas defeated Alex De Minaur when the pair met on a hard court earlier this season.
  2. Stefanos Tsitsipas has won four of his last five hard-court matches against Alex De Minaur in straight sets.
  3. Stefanos Tsitsipas has a fantastic hard-court record against Alex De Minaur, winning all but one of his previous 11 matches against the Aussie.
  4. Stefanos Tsitsipas has never lost to Alex De Minaur on a US hard court.

Our Alex De Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Prediction

When these two players meet on a hard surface, invariably, Stefanos Tsitsipas comes out on top. As the stats above prove, Alex De Minaur really struggles to cope with the Greek player on this type of surface. If we consider that Tsitsipas should be full of confidence, then it really is hard to see why the Aussie is the narrow favorite. Frankly, the early betting looks to be wrong, so there's definitely value on offer for those who seek it. 

Taking Tsitsipas to win at +115 is a smart move, though don't wait too long as the market will likely correct, leaving Tsitsipas as the favorite before long. 

Our Alex De Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Pick: Stefanos Tsitsipas to Win.

Prediction:

 

Stefanos Tsitsipas to Win

+115
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.