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by Lou Aguila in Tennis Picks
Alex De Minaur of Australia and Matteo Berrettini of Italy will lock horns on Friday in the quarterfinals of the 2025 Erste Bank Open.
De Minaur is the favorite here at -300, but Berrettini is coming in with momentum after scoring wins over his opponent, Cameron Norrie, and Alexei Popyrin in the past rounds.
Current Form:
De Minaur eliminated two Austrians on his way to the quarterfinals of the 2025 Erste Bank Open. De Minaur topped Jurij Rodionov 6-4, 6-1, and Filip Misolic 6-4, 6-4 to keep his slate clean ahead of what will surely be his toughest challenge in this tournament in Berrettini. De Minaur is 6-1 in indoor matches this year.
Berrettini advanced to the quarterfinals with a 7-6, 6-7, 6-4 win over Cameron Norrie of Great Britain on Thursday. The Italian fired 16 aces and captured 63 points behind the first serves to win 16 out of 17 service games. He also scored two breakpoints, including a break in the 9th game that put him ahead at 5-4 and the serve in the second set. Berrettini is 3-2 in indoor matches in 2025.
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Alex De Minaur vs Matteo Berrettini Form
Alex De Minaur and Matteo Berrettini Latest Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Oct 22, 2025 - ATP Vienna
Oct 20, 2025 - ATP Vienna
Oct 10, 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Oct 8, 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Oct 6, 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Oct 4, 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Oct 23, 2025 - ATP Vienna
Oct 22, 2025 - ATP Vienna
Oct 16, 2025 - Stockholm Open
Oct 14, 2025 - Stockholm Open
Oct 1, 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Sep 26, 2025 - ATP Japan Open
Alex De Minaur against Matteo Berrettini : Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
Mar 25, 2025 - ATP Miami
Jul 7, 2023 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
Jun 19, 2021 - ATP London - Queen's
Alex De Minaur - Matteo Berrettini Key Points
- Matteo Berrettini defeated Cameron Norrie 7-6, 6-7, 6-4 in the second round of the 2025 Erste Bank Open.
- Matteo Berrettini is 3-2 in indoor matches in 2025.
- Alex De Minaur defeated Filip Misolic 6-4, 6-4 in the second round of the 2025 Erste Bank Open.
- Alex De Minaur is 6-1 in indoor matches in 2025.
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Our Alex De Minaur vs Matteo Berrettini Prediction
Fearless Forecast: Alex De Minaur is facing a tough challenge from Matteo Berrettini in their sixth career duel on Friday. Berrettini is coming in with a 3-2 head-to-head lead over the Aussie and won the last two matches of their series, including this year’s encounter in the round of 16 at the 2025 Miami Open 6-3, 7-6. De Minaur remains the favorite because he has put together a better record this year, but don’t sleep on Berrettini, who can certainly pull off an upset if he finds his go-to shot in this match.
Our betting prediction for Alex De Minaur vs. Matteo Berrettini: Matteo Berrettini +3.5 Games
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