Alex De Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz Prediction & Picks - ATP Beijing Open
ATP - ATP Beijing Open
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by Lou Aguila | in Tennis Picks
Alex De Minaur and Hubert Hurkacz clash for a spot in the final of the 2026 China Open.
Over 2.5 sets presents itself as a valuable pick at +105, as both players will attempt to produce the quality of tennis they displayed in a three-set classic at the 2026 United Cup.
Current Form:
Alex De Minaur eked out a three-set win for the second straight day to reach the semifinals of the 2026 China Open. The Aussie bounced back from a listless first set to dispatch Andrey Rublev 1-6, 6-2, 6-3 in the quarterfinals. De Minaur swept maRiano Navone 7-6, 6-2 in the first round and edged Quentin Halys 3-6, 7-6, 7-5 in the second round.
Hubert Hurkacz blasted Karen Khachanov 7-6, 6-2 to secure his spot in the final four at the China Open. Hurkacz, who reached the final of the 2026 Chengdu Open, has now won 7 of 8 matches in the Asian swing of the ATP Tour.
The Matchup: De Minaur is 3-1 vs. Hurkacz in their head-to-head series.
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Alex De Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz Form
Alex De Minaur and Hubert Hurkacz Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Oct 4, 2026 - ATP Beijing Open
Oct 2, 2026 - ATP Beijing Open
Sep 30, 2026 - ATP Beijing Open
Sep 3, 2026 - ATP US Open
Sep 2, 2026 - ATP US Open
Aug 19, 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Oct 4, 2026 - ATP Beijing Open
Oct 2, 2026 - ATP Beijing Open
Oct 1, 2026 - ATP Beijing Open
Sep 29, 2026 - ATP Chengdu Open
Sep 28, 2026 - ATP Chengdu Open
Sep 27, 2026 - ATP Chengdu Open
Alex De Minaur against Hubert Hurkacz : Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
Jan 9, 2026 - United Cup
Mar 10, 2025 - ATP Indian Wells
Alex De Minaur - Hubert Hurkacz Key Points
- Alex De Minaur is 18-9 on hard courts in 2026.
- Alex De Minaur is 39-18 overall in 2026.
- Hubert Hurkacz reached the final of the 2026 Chengdu Open last week.
- Hubert Hurkacz is 7-1 in his last 8 matches
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Our Alex De Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz Prediction
Key Stats: Hubert Hurkacz has won 78.9 percent of his first serves and faced 11 break points across three matches in Beijing.
Meanwhile, De Minaur has already created 25 break chances in this tournament, converting 10. He has also saved 75 percent of break points so far.
What to Expect: This match will need three full sets to decide the winner. The last time they faced each other across the net, De Minaur gutted out a three-set win over Hurkacz 6-4, 4-6, 6-4.
It won’t be surprising at all if the same scenario happens again in this semifinal showdown. Hurkacz has steamrolled his way to the semis with his massive serves, while De Minaur has baffled everybody with counterpunching and tactics.
80% of the bets at DraftKings have gone to De Minaur, but that doesn’t change the fact that Hurkacz is a legitimate upset threat with the way he has played in the past two weeks.
Fearless Forecast: Alex De Minaur wins 7-6, 5-7, 6-4
Our betting prediction for Alex De Minaur vs. Hubert Hurkacz: Over 2.5 Sets
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
