Alex De Minaur vs Denis Shapovalov Prediction & Picks - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

ATP - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

ATP 7 Australia
Alex De Minaur
4/29/25 06:00
ATP 30 Canada
Denis Shapovalov

Prediction:

 

Alex De Minaur will cover -4.5 Games

+100
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 by Lou Aguila | in ATP Mutua Madrid Open Picks

Alex De Minaur of Australia will take on Denis Shapovalov of Canada in a fascinating third-round clash at the 2025 Mutua Madrid Masters on Tuesday.

De Minuar looks to establish consistency throughout his clay court season campaign as he targets another deep run in Madrid. The Australia has had a pair of strong results in his last clay-court tournaments, reaching the semis of the Monte Carlo Masters and the quarterfinals of the Barcelona Open. De Minaur breezed through Lorenzo Sonego 6-2 6-3 in their second-round match.

Shapovalov halted his three-match losing streak with a 6-1, 6-4 win over Kei Nishikori of Japan in the second round. The former top-10 player launched an all-out attack on Nishikori in the first set before coming through with the clutch points in the second to pull off a sweep against the former Japan’s No.1.

Alex De Minaur vs Denis Shapovalov Form

Alex De Minaur and Denis Shapovalov Latest Matches

Alex De Minaur Latest matches
W L W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Apr 26, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Alex De Minaur
2 :  0
Lorenzo Sonego

Apr 18, 2025 - ATP Barcelona

Carlos Alcaraz
2 :  0
Alex De Minaur

Apr 17, 2025 - ATP Barcelona

Jacob Fearnley
0 :  2
Alex De Minaur

Apr 15, 2025 - ATP Barcelona

Tomas Martin Etcheverry
0 :  2
Alex De Minaur

Apr 12, 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Lorenzo Musetti
2 :  1
Alex De Minaur

Apr 11, 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Grigor Dimitrov
0 :  2
Alex De Minaur
Denis Shapovalov Latest matches
L W L L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Apr 26, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Kei Nishikori
0 :  2
Denis Shapovalov

Apr 15, 2025 - ATP Munich Open

Diego Dedura-Palomero
abort
Denis Shapovalov

Apr 7, 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Marcos Giron
2 :  0
Denis Shapovalov

Mar 24, 2025 - ATP Miami

Taylor Fritz
2 :  0
Denis Shapovalov

Mar 22, 2025 - ATP Miami

Thiago Agustin Tirante
1 :  2
Denis Shapovalov

Mar 10, 2025 - ATP Indian Wells

Denis Shapovalov
0 :  2
Carlos Alcaraz
Compare Alex De Minaur and Denis Shapovalov with our comparison tool.

Alex De Minaur - Denis Shapovalov Key Points

  1. Alex De Minaur defeated Lorenzo Sonego 6-2, 6-3 in the second round of the 2025 Madrid Open.
  2. Alex De Minaur is 23-8 in the 2026 ATP season
  3. Denis Shapovalov defeated Kei Nishikori 6-1, 6-4 in the second round of the 2025 Madrid Open.
  4. Denis Shapovalov is 13-8 in the 2025 ATP season.

Our Alex De Minaur vs Denis Shapovalov Prediction

Fearless Forecast: Alex De Minaur still too strong, too good for Denis Shapovalov

Alex De Minaur is easy to win and cover in this match, mainly because he has had strong campaigns in his last two clay-court tournaments. The Australian is also 4-1 head-to-head with Denis Shapovalov, winning the last four meetings. And although Tuesday’s match will be the first time the two play each on the dirt, De Minaur still stands out as a stronger player if you compare their win tally this season (23-13) and performance this clay-court season. Our betting prediction for Alex De Minaur vs. Denis Shapovalov: Alex De Minaur will cover -4.5 Games

Prediction:

 

Alex De Minaur will cover -4.5 Games

+100
$1500 offered for betting!

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Alex De Minaur vs Denis Shapovalov Picks