Alex De Minaur vs Flavio Cobolli Prediction & Picks - ATP Wimbledon Championships

ATP - ATP Wimbledon Championships

ATP 6 Australia
Alex De Minaur
7/6/26 08:00
ATP 10 Italy
Flavio Cobolli

Prediction:

 

Flavio Cobolli +5.5 Games

-120
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 by Lou Aguila | in ATP Wimbledon Championships Picks

After dropping one set in three matches at the 2026 Wimbledon Open, Alex De Minaur expects a big test from Roland Garros runner-up Flavio Cobolli in the fourth round on Monday.

Current Form:

Alex De Minaur dropped a set for the first time in this tournament, but that would not stop Australia’s No.1 men’s singles player from cruising to a 6-2, 5-7, 6-2, 6-4 win over Zachary Svajda. The No.6 ranked De Minaur is now 8-2 on grass, having reached the final at 's-Hertogenbosch, made to the quarterfinals at Queens and swept his first two opponents at Wimbledon.

Roland Garros finalist Flavio Cobolli is on the brink of another deep Grand Slam campaign as he punched his ticket to the round of 16 with a five-set squeaker over Karen Khachanov 0-6, 7-6, 6-7, 6-2, 6-2. The world’s No.10 is 3-1 on grass this year.

The Matchup: Alex De Minaur is 2-0 head-to-head vs. Flavio Cobolli. However, the Italian has won 9 of his last 11 matches, making him a very dangerous player for the Aussie in their first showdown on grass.

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Alex De Minaur vs Flavio Cobolli Form

Alex De Minaur and Flavio Cobolli Latest Matches

Alex De Minaur Latest matches
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Jul 4, 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Alex De Minaur
3 :  1
Zachary Svajda

Jul 2, 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Alex De Minaur
3 :  0
Adrian Mannarino

Jun 30, 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Alex De Minaur
3 :  0
Roman Andres Burruchaga

Jun 19, 2026 - ATP London - Queen's

Alex De Minaur
0 :  2
Brandon Nakashima

Jun 17, 2026 - ATP London - Queen's

Alex De Minaur
2 :  0
Denis Shapovalov

Jun 16, 2026 - ATP London - Queen's

Alex De Minaur
2 :  0
Gabriel Diallo
Flavio Cobolli Latest matches
W L L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jul 4, 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Karen Khachanov
2 :  3
Flavio Cobolli

Jul 2, 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

James Duckworth
1 :  3
Flavio Cobolli

Jun 30, 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Mariano Navone
1 :  3
Flavio Cobolli

Jun 15, 2026 - ATP Halle Open

Flavio Cobolli
0 :  2
Frances Tiafoe

Jun 7, 2026 - ATP French Open

Flavio Cobolli
2 :  3
Alexander Zverev

Jun 3, 2026 - ATP French Open

Felix Auger Aliassime
1 :  3
Flavio Cobolli

Alex De Minaur against Flavio Cobolli : Head to Head (H2H)

Alex De Minaur

100 %

Flavio Cobolli

0 %

Jan 19, 2024 - ATP Australian Open

Alex De Minaur
3 :  0
Flavio Cobolli
Alex De Minaur vs Flavio Cobolli Picks

Alex De Minaur - Flavio Cobolli Key Points

  1. Alex De Minaur is 8-2 on grass in 2026.
  2. Alex De Minaur is 2-1 vs. top-10 players in 2026.
  3. Flavio Cobolli is 3-3 vs. top-10 players in 2026.
  4. Flavio Cobolli is 12-10 on grass.
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Our Alex De Minaur vs Flavio Cobolli Prediction

Fearless Forecast: Alex De Minaur fends off Flavio Cobolli 4-6, 6-4, 5-7, 7-5, 7-6

Key Stats: De Minaur has saved 21 of 28 breakpoints and converted 21 of 40 break chances after three rounds at the 2026 Wimbledon Open.

De Minaur would be in very good shape if he could sustain this fine play on both sides of the ball.

But Cobolli is a type of player who will not give his opponent an easy win. In this tournament, Cobolli has won 5 of 6 tiebreaks, which underscores his ability to perform at a high level in pressurized situations.

What to Expect: Alex De Minaur relies on his footwork and experience to edge Cobolli in an entertaining match from start to finish. Cobolli also easily destroys the spread set at +5.5 games.

Our betting prediction for Alex De Minaur vs. Flavio Cobolli: Flavio Cobolli +5.5 Games

Prediction:

 

Flavio Cobolli +5.5 Games

-120
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.