Alex De Minaur vs Adrian Mannarino Prediction & Picks - ATP Wimbledon Championships

ATP - ATP Wimbledon Championships

ATP 6 Australia
Alex De Minaur
7/2/26 06:00
ATP 40 France
Adrian Mannarino

Prediction:

 

Adrian Mannarino +2.5 Set Handicap

-152
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 by Bradley Gibbs | in ATP Wimbledon Championships Picks

We've reached the second round of the 2026 edition of Wimbledon. On Thursday, Alex De Minaur and Adrian Mannarino will clash. The Aussie, who is now the world number six and clearly capable of going far at Grand Slams, will be hoping to continue building momentum after a convincing first-round win, though he's up against a player who has previously caused him a few problems. 

Sure, this is very much Alex De Minaur's match to lose, and it will indeed be surprising if the Aussie fails to find a way through to the next round. However, he's rarely beaten Adrian Mannarino in straight sets, so we should not be shocked if the French player gets a little more competitive than the early odds suggest that he might. In other words, it's worth betting that Mannarino can, at the very least, avoid a straight-set defeat. 

Alex De Minaur vs Adrian Mannarino Form

Alex De Minaur and Adrian Mannarino Latest Matches

Alex De Minaur Latest matches
W L W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jun 30, 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Alex De Minaur
3 :  0
Roman Andres Burruchaga

Jun 19, 2026 - ATP London - Queen's

Alex De Minaur
0 :  2
Brandon Nakashima

Jun 17, 2026 - ATP London - Queen's

Alex De Minaur
2 :  0
Denis Shapovalov

Jun 16, 2026 - ATP London - Queen's

Alex De Minaur
2 :  0
Gabriel Diallo

Jun 14, 2026 - ATP Libema Open

Kamil Majchrzak
2 :  1
Alex De Minaur

Jun 13, 2026 - ATP Libema Open

Adrian Mannarino
0 :  2
Alex De Minaur
Adrian Mannarino Latest matches
W L W L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jun 30, 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Adrian Mannarino
3 :  0
Titouan Droguet

Jun 21, 2026 - ATP Mallorca Open

Nuno Borges
2 :  0
Adrian Mannarino

Jun 17, 2026 - ATP London - Queen's

Adrian Mannarino
0 :  2
Arthur Fery

Jun 16, 2026 - ATP London - Queen's

Jakub Mensik
1 :  2
Adrian Mannarino

Jun 13, 2026 - ATP Libema Open

Adrian Mannarino
0 :  2
Alex De Minaur

Jun 12, 2026 - ATP Libema Open

Zhizhen Zhang
0 :  2
Adrian Mannarino

Alex De Minaur against Adrian Mannarino : Head to Head (H2H)

Alex De Minaur

67 %

Adrian Mannarino

33 %

Jun 13, 2026 - ATP Libema Open

Adrian Mannarino
0 :  2
Alex De Minaur

Jun 23, 2023 - ATP London - Queen's

Alex De Minaur
2 :  1
Adrian Mannarino

Jun 9, 2022 - ATP Libema Open

Alex De Minaur
0 :  2
Adrian Mannarino
Alex De Minaur vs Adrian Mannarino Picks

Alex De Minaur - Adrian Mannarino Key Points

  1. Alex De Minaur has only won one of his last six matches against Adrian Mannarino in straight sets.
  2. In two of the previous three grass-court renewals of this match, Adrian Mannarino has avoided a straight-set defeat.
  3. When the pair last met in a best-of-five-sets match, Adrian Mannarino avoided a straight-set defeat.
  4. Adrian Mannarino has only lost one of his last seven matches at Wimbledon in straight sets.

Our Alex De Minaur vs Adrian Mannarino Prediction

As mentioned above, it will be a shame if Alex De Minaur fails to flex his muscles enough to win this match, but that doesn't mean that he will have it all his own way. For starters, Adrian Mannarino has not made a habit of losing matches at Wimbledon in straight sets, while he's previously faced De Minaur many times and has regularly avoided a straight-set defeat. 

Given that the Aussie has only beaten the Frenchman in straight sets in one of the last five renewals of this match, the odds on Mannarino winning at least one set here are too generous to ignore. 

Our Alex De Minaur vs Adrian Mannarino Pick: Adrian Mannarino +2.5 Set Handicap.

Prediction:

 

Adrian Mannarino +2.5 Set Handicap

-152
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.