Alavés vs Atletico Madrid Prediction & Picks - LaLiga

Spain - LaLiga

Alavés
10/10/26 10:15
Atletico Madrid

Prediction:

 

Under 2.5 goals

+100
$250 offered for betting!

New customers only | Commercial content | 21+ age limit | T&Cs apply

 by Carlos Zabala | in LaLiga Picks

Atlético de Madrid went into the international break in high spirits after winning their last three La Liga matches, recovering from a slow start and moving into second place. On September 20th, they defeated Real Madrid 2-1 in the Madrid derby with goals from Grimaldo and David; now they travel to the Mendizorroza Stadium to face the current surprise of the season, Alavés.

The recent record of Atlético-Alavés matches offers some interesting insights: Los Colchoneros haven't lost any of their last four encounters against Alavés at any venue, but they also haven't managed to win any of their last four visits to them.

Quique Sánchez Flores is the current Alavés manager and has managed, at least for the first seven matches, to deploy a solid, well-organized defense, capable of holding opponents to fewer than two goals in five games. Meanwhile, in attack, the dynamic Lucas Boyé gives them the opportunity to launch counter-attacks at any moment.

Up to $250 to bet on Alavés - Atletico Madrid! 

Limited Offer. Currently at FanDuel

Alavés vs Atletico Madrid Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2 Atletico Madrid
16 7 5 1 1 +9
6 Alavés
11 7 3 2 2 +5

Alavés and Atletico Madrid Latest Matches

Alavés
Alavés Latest matches
D W W L L D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Sep 19, 2026 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
0 :  0
Alavés

Sep 15, 2026 - LaLiga

Alavés
0 :  1
Valencia

Sep 12, 2026 - LaLiga

Racing Santander
2 :  1
Alavés

Sep 6, 2026 - LaLiga

Alavés
5 :  2
Osasuna

Aug 28, 2026 - LaLiga

Alavés
1 :  0
Villarreal

Aug 20, 2026 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
1 :  1
Alavés
D W W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Sep 15, 2026 - LaLiga

Alavés
0 :  1
Valencia

Sep 6, 2026 - LaLiga

Alavés
5 :  2
Osasuna

Aug 28, 2026 - LaLiga

Alavés
1 :  0
Villarreal

Aug 15, 2026 - LaLiga

Alavés
3 :  0
Getafe

Jul 31, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Alavés
3 :  0
CD Castellon

Jul 18, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Alavés
1 :  1
Eibar
W W D D L D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

Sep 19, 2026 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
0 :  0
Alavés

Sep 12, 2026 - LaLiga

Racing Santander
2 :  1
Alavés

Aug 20, 2026 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
1 :  1
Alavés

Aug 7, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Racing Santander
1 :  1
Alavés

Jul 25, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Girona
0 :  1
Alavés

May 17, 2026 - LaLiga

Real Oviedo
0 :  1
Alavés
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid Latest matches
W L L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

Sep 20, 2026 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
2 :  1
Real Madrid

Sep 16, 2026 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
4 :  0
Osasuna

Sep 13, 2026 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
0 :  3
Atletico Madrid

Sep 9, 2026 - Champions League

Liverpool
2 :  1
Atletico Madrid

Sep 5, 2026 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
3 :  0
Atletico Madrid

Aug 29, 2026 - LaLiga

Sevilla
1 :  3
Atletico Madrid
W W W D W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Sep 20, 2026 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
2 :  1
Real Madrid

Sep 16, 2026 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
4 :  0
Osasuna

Aug 23, 2026 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
2 :  2
Villarreal

Aug 19, 2026 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
2 :  0
Málaga

Jul 29, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Atletico Madrid
4 :  1
Getafe

May 17, 2026 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
1 :  0
Girona
L W W L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

Sep 13, 2026 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
0 :  3
Atletico Madrid

Sep 9, 2026 - Champions League

Liverpool
2 :  1
Atletico Madrid

Sep 5, 2026 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
3 :  0
Atletico Madrid

Aug 29, 2026 - LaLiga

Sevilla
1 :  3
Atletico Madrid

Aug 14, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Marseille
1 :  2
Atletico Madrid

Aug 9, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Manchester City
3 :  1
Atletico Madrid

Alavés against Atletico Madrid : Head to Head (H2H)

Alavés

17 %

Draw

33 %

Atletico Madrid

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

1.83
Total goals
50%
BTTS
0.83
Goals scored
1
Goals conceded
33.33%
Over 2.5
66.67%
Under 2.5

Jan 18, 2026 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
1 :  0
Alavés

Aug 30, 2025 - LaLiga

Alavés
1 :  1
Atletico Madrid

May 3, 2025 - LaLiga

Alavés
0 :  0
Atletico Madrid

Nov 23, 2024 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
2 :  1
Alavés

Apr 21, 2024 - LaLiga

Alavés
2 :  0
Atletico Madrid

Oct 29, 2023 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
2 :  1
Alavés
Alavés vs Atletico Madrid Picks

Atletico Madrid v Alavés last Lineups

Alavés

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

1
A. Sivera
14
F. Tenaglia
16
V. Koski
2
N. Valentini
17
J. Otto
19
P. Ibáñez
6
A. Guevara
23
C. Benavidez
21
A. Rebbach
9
M. Diaz
15
L. Boye
15
J. David
7
L. Kang-in
22
A. Grimaldo
5
J. Cardoso
10
A. Baena
20
G. Simeone
17
D. Hancko
21
C. Romero
18
M. Pubill
14
M. Llorente
13
J. Oblak

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

Atletico Madrid

Substitutes

Alavés
Alavés
Goalkeeper

A. Rodriguez

Defender

X. Ibarzabal

Y. Enriquez

H. Novoa

Midfielder

S. Diallo

A. Hidalgo

I. Hernandez Canas

A. Blanco

C. Alena

M. Rodriguez

D. Suarez

Forward

T. Martinez

Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Goalkeeper

J. Musso

Defender

R. Le Normand

J. Dominguez

D. Martinez Moreno

Midfielder

J. Castillo

Koke

M. Hjulmand

O. Vargas

R. Martinez Moya

Forward

A. Ortiz

A. Lookman

J. Alvarez

Missing players

Alavés
Alavés
Defender

F. Garces

V. Koski

Midfielder

M. Rodriguez

Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Defender

A. Grimaldo

Midfielder

P. Barrios

Forward

A. Sorloth

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Alavés
CD Huachipato Atletico Madrid
Top Goalscorer
Argentina L. Boye (4 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Spain A. Baena (4 Goals)
Best assists
Dominican Republic M. Diaz (3 Assists) , 
Spain A. Hidalgo (3 Assists)
Best assists
Slovakia D. Hancko (2 Assists) , 
Argentina G. Simeone (2 Assists)

Alavés and Atletico Madrid Stats in LaLiga

Alavés
Alavés
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
43%
Wins
71%
29%
Losses
14%
29%
Draws
14%
2.43
Average goals per match
3.29
1.57
Goals scored per match
2.29
0.86
Goals conceded per match
1
57%
Under 2.5 goals
14%
43%
Over 2.5 goals
86%
43%
No goals conceded
43%
43%
Both score
43%

Alavés - Atletico Madrid Key Points

  1. The last three Atlético Madrid-Alavés matches have all had fewer than 2.5 goals
  2. Atlético Madrid generated an xG of 2.35 in their victory against Real Madrid
  3. Atlético Madrid limited Real Madrid to just one corner in the last derby
  4. Alavés completed only 75% of their passes in their last match
Up to $250 to bet on Alavés - Atletico Madrid! 

Limited Offer. Currently at FanDuel

Our Alavés vs Atletico Madrid Prediction

Before the international break, Alavés managed to keep a clean sheet at San Mamés against Athletic Club, in a match where their defense cleared the ball 36 times and intercepted 16, but their attack produced a meager 0.05 goals with no shots on target.

Perhaps the most likely Atlético player to score and break down Alavés' defense on Saturday is Giuliano Simeone, the manager's son, who has recorded two goals and two assists this season.

Our prediction for Alavés vs Atlético de Madrid is: Under 2.5 goals.

Prediction:

 

Under 2.5 goals

+100
$250 offered for betting!

Welcome Bonus for the Alavés vs Atletico Madrid match!

FanDuel Bonus Bets

FanDuel is offering some great promos for the beginning of football season, including their welcome offer of $250, which can be activated for this Alavés vs Atletico Madrid match! Simply sign up and place a first bet of at least $5. You can do this during your first 5 days with FanDuel, earning a total of $250 in bet reset tokens!

Remember, the offer is only open to new sign-ups!

$250 in bonus bets for Alavés vs Atletico Madrid!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.