Spain - LaLiga
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by Erik Gibbs in LaLiga Picks
Deportivo Alavés will welcome Atlético Madrid to the Estadio de Mendizorroza on Saturday in a La Liga clash that could have significant implications at both ends of the table. The home side sits precariously in 17th place with 34 points, fighting to stay clear of the relegation zone, while Atlético Madrid occupies a more comfortable 3rd place with 66 points, having little left to chase this season beyond maintaining their top-four status.
Alavés enters this match on the back of a crucial 1-0 victory over regional rivals Real Sociedad, a win that could serve as a turning point in their bid for survival. Nahuel Tenaglia's second-half strike sealed the three points in that Basque derby and lifted the squad’s confidence after a turbulent run.
Despite this recent boost, their overall home form remains a concern, with four losses in their last six matches at Mendizorroza. Their record at home — just five wins from 16 games — underscores the challenges they’ve faced in front of their supporters.
Atlético Madrid, on the other hand, have enjoyed a far more consistent campaign, albeit with setbacks in recent months. Having exited both the Champions League and Copa del Rey, and slipped out of the title race, Diego Simeone's men now focus on securing a strong finish in La Liga.
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Alavés vs Atletico Madrid Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
66 | 33 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 29 |
|
17
|
34 | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | -11 |
Alavés and Atletico Madrid Latest Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Apr 23, 2025 - LaLiga
Apr 20, 2025 - LaLiga
Apr 13, 2025 - LaLiga
Apr 5, 2025 - LaLiga
Mar 29, 2025 - LaLiga
Mar 14, 2025 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Apr 23, 2025 - LaLiga
Apr 13, 2025 - LaLiga
Mar 29, 2025 - LaLiga
Mar 8, 2025 - LaLiga
Feb 22, 2025 - LaLiga
Feb 9, 2025 - LaLiga
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Apr 20, 2025 - LaLiga
Apr 5, 2025 - LaLiga
Mar 14, 2025 - LaLiga
Mar 2, 2025 - LaLiga
Feb 15, 2025 - LaLiga
Feb 2, 2025 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Apr 24, 2025 - LaLiga
Apr 19, 2025 - LaLiga
Apr 14, 2025 - LaLiga
Apr 6, 2025 - LaLiga
Apr 2, 2025 - Copa del Rey
Mar 29, 2025 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Apr 24, 2025 - LaLiga
Apr 14, 2025 - LaLiga
Apr 2, 2025 - Copa del Rey
Mar 16, 2025 - LaLiga
Mar 12, 2025 - Champions League
Mar 1, 2025 - LaLiga
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Apr 19, 2025 - LaLiga
Apr 6, 2025 - LaLiga
Mar 29, 2025 - LaLiga
Mar 9, 2025 - LaLiga
Mar 4, 2025 - Champions League
Feb 25, 2025 - Copa del Rey
Alavés against Atletico Madrid : Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
0 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
Nov 23, 2024 - LaLiga
Apr 21, 2024 - LaLiga
Oct 29, 2023 - LaLiga
Apr 2, 2022 - LaLiga
Sep 25, 2021 - LaLiga
Mar 21, 2021 - LaLiga
Atletico Madrid v Alavés last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Missing players
A. Abqar
Most goals and assists
Alavés
Atletico Madrid
K. Garcia
(12 Goals)
J. Alvarez
(22 Goals)
C. Vicente
(5 Assists)
A. Griezmann
(8 Assists)
,
M. Llorente
(8 Assists)
,
G. Simeone
(8 Assists)
Alavés and Atletico Madrid Stats in LaLiga
Alavés - Atletico Madrid Key Points
- Both teams have scored in 3 of the last 5 HU games
- Atletico Madrid are 7-2-1 in their last 10 games vs. Alavés
- Alavés are 4-0 in their last 4 home games
- Atlético Madrid have only won 1 of their last 6 road games across all competitions
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Our Alavés vs Atletico Madrid Prediction
Atlético Madrid's recent domestic form has shown promise, with three wins in their last four outings. Their most recent league victory came against Rayo Vallecano, where goals from Sorloth, Gallagher, and Alvarez underlined the attacking depth at their disposal.
Historically, this matchup has been tightly contested but leaned slightly in Atlético’s favor. In their last five encounters, Atlético Madrid has claimed victory on three occasions, with Alavés winning twice. Notably, none of those meetings have ended in a draw, suggesting that both teams tend to play for all three points rather than settle for a share of them.
Given Alavés' inconsistency and Atlético’s superior squad quality and tactical discipline, the visitors are expected to edge this contest. Considering the hosts' struggles against elite defenses, it's also plausible that Atlético could keep a clean sheet in what may be a low-scoring but controlled away performance. Our prediction for Alavés vs. Atletico Madrid: Atletico Madrid to win.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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