Alan Magadan vs Yunchaokete Bu Prediction & Picks - ATP Los Cabos Open

ATP - ATP Los Cabos Open

Mexico
Alan Magadan
7/15/25 21:00
ATP 73 China
Yunchaokete Bu

Prediction:

 

Alan Magadan +1.5 Set Handicap

+250
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 by Bradley Gibbs in Tennis Picks

With Wimbledon now a thing of the past, we switch surfaces once again. For many, the next few months are once again all about the hard-court game, while there are a few grass-court and clay-court tournaments too, but mainly, all roads now lead to the second hard-court Grand Slam of the year, which is the US Open. This week, there's an interesting hard-court tournament in Los Cabos, Mexico, where late on Tuesday evening (for those in the US), there's a super interesting match between Alan Magadan and Yunchaokete Bu. These two are separated by lots in the rankings, with the Chinese player ranked 73rd. His opponents ranks down at 921nd. However, as a Mexican, Magadan has home advantage here, while he has also has the advantage of having had a couple of matches to warm up on these courts. Bu hasn't played on this surface for several months, so could there be less between the pair than the rankings suggest?

Alan Magadan vs Yunchaokete Bu Form

Alan Magadan and Yunchaokete Bu Latest Matches

Alan Magadan Latest matches
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Jul 13, 2025 - ATP Los Cabos Open

Mark Lajal
0 :  2
Alan Magadan

Jul 13, 2025 - ATP Los Cabos Open

Alan Magadan
2 :  1
Moerani Bouzige

Jun 28, 2025 - UTR PTT Norman Men 02

Alan Magadan
2 :  1
Ilias Hirani Worthington

Jun 27, 2025 - UTR PTT Norman Men 02

Alan Magadan
2 :  0
James Quattro

Jun 26, 2025 - UTR PTT Norman Men 02

Ashton Adesoro
0 :  2
Alan Magadan

Jun 25, 2025 - UTR PTT Norman Men 02

Sawyer Severance
0 :  2
Alan Magadan
Yunchaokete Bu Latest matches
L L L L L L
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

6/6 (100%)

Jul 1, 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Brandon Nakashima
3 :  1
Yunchaokete Bu

Jun 22, 2025 - ATP Mallorca Open

Yunchaokete Bu
0 :  2
Laslo Djere

Jun 14, 2025 - ATP London - Queen's

Yunchaokete Bu
0 :  2
Henry Searle

May 26, 2025 - ATP French Open

Filip Misolic
3 :  1
Yunchaokete Bu

May 20, 2025 - ATP Hamburg Open

Yunchaokete Bu
0 :  2
Frances Tiafoe

May 18, 2025 - Turin, Italy

Alexander Bublik
2 :  0
Yunchaokete Bu

Alan Magadan - Yunchaokete Bu Key Points

  1. Alan Magadan has already played twice in Los Cabos.
  2. This will be Yunchaokete Bu's first match on a hard court since March.
  3. Alan Magadan will have no problem with the conditions in his home country.
  4. Alan Magadan has avoided a straight-set defeat in each of his last five matches against higher-ranked players.

Our Alan Magadan vs Yunchaokete Bu Prediction

I'll get right to it here and say that I really do feel like the early market is underestimating Alan Magadan's chances here. At the time of writing (the day before the match), he's a big price, available at around +800 to win this match. I expect that to shorten and shorten a fair bit by the time this match starts, and the same can be said for his '+1.5 Set Handicap' price, so there's value to be had there. The Mexican is ranked significantly lower than his opponent, but he has the benefit of playing on home soil, where the conditions may not suit Bu, who hasn't yet had a competitive match to get used to things. In contrast, Magalan has already played two matches at this tournament, beating a much higher-ranked opponent last time out. Factor in that Bu hasn't played on a hard surface since March and the odds available just look to generous. Magadan can get more competitive than the early market thinks. Our Alan Magadan vs Yunchaokete Bu Pick: Alan Magadan +1.5 Set Handicap. 

Prediction:

 

Alan Magadan +1.5 Set Handicap

+250
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