Alabama Crimson Tide vs Florida State Seminoles Prediction & Picks - NCAA

USA - NCAA

Alabama Crimson Tide
8/30/25 15:30
Florida State Seminoles

Prediction:

 

UNDER 50.5

-110
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 by Travis Pulver in NCAA Picks

The No. 8 Alabama Crimson Tide will get the 2025 college football season started with a trip to Florida to play the Florida State Seminoles at Doak Walker Stadium in Tallahassee. Kickoff for this ACC-SEC battle is scheduled for 3:30 pm EST, Saturday, Aug. 30, on ABC.

Year One in life after Nick Saban wasn't exactly a bust for the Tide with a 9-4 finish. But for the first time in years, Alabama wasn't a part of the national championship picture or the SEC championship. But with a veteran-laden team with 14 returning starters and a deep roster, Yeat Two post-Saban could see the Tide back where they belong. Transfer Ty Simpson is set to start at quarterback with a talented group of receivers and running backs at his disposal. As for Florida State, the Seminoles have just six returning starters, with only one on offense. But after a disastrous 2-10 season last year, that may be a good thing. Former Boston College QB Thomas Castellanos is set to lead an offense designed by new OC Gus Malzahn. The offense will have a ton of new parts and a lot of players who were on different teams last year. Expecting them to all be on the same page and ready to compete against a veteran Alabama defense may be asking a bit much.

Alabama Crimson Tide vs Florida State Seminoles Form

Table

Teams % P W D L
17
Florida State Seminoles
Florida State Seminoles
0 0 0 0 0
17
Alabama Crimson Tide
Alabama Crimson Tide
0 0 0 0 0

Alabama Crimson Tide and Florida State Seminoles Latest Matches

Alabama Crimson Tide
Alabama Crimson Tide Latest matches
W W W L W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Dec 31, 2024 - NCAA Division I, FBS, Playoffs

Alabama Crimson Tide
13 :  19
Michigan Wolverines

Nov 30, 2024 - NCAA

Auburn Tigers
14 :  28
Alabama Crimson Tide

Nov 23, 2024 - NCAA

Alabama Crimson Tide
3 :  24
Oklahoma Sooners

Nov 16, 2024 - NCAA

Mercer Bears
7 :  52
Alabama Crimson Tide

Nov 9, 2024 - NCAA

Alabama Crimson Tide
42 :  13
LSU Tigers

Oct 26, 2024 - NCAA

Missouri Tigers
0 :  34
Alabama Crimson Tide
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Nov 30, 2024 - NCAA

Auburn Tigers
14 :  28
Alabama Crimson Tide

Nov 16, 2024 - NCAA

Mercer Bears
7 :  52
Alabama Crimson Tide

Oct 26, 2024 - NCAA

Missouri Tigers
0 :  34
Alabama Crimson Tide

Oct 12, 2024 - NCAA

South Carolina Gamecocks
25 :  27
Alabama Crimson Tide

Sep 28, 2024 - NCAA

Georgia Bulldogs
34 :  41
Alabama Crimson Tide

Sep 7, 2024 - NCAA

South Florida Bulls
16 :  42
Alabama Crimson Tide
W L L W L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Dec 31, 2024 - NCAA Division I, FBS, Playoffs

Alabama Crimson Tide
13 :  19
Michigan Wolverines

Nov 23, 2024 - NCAA

Alabama Crimson Tide
3 :  24
Oklahoma Sooners

Nov 9, 2024 - NCAA

Alabama Crimson Tide
42 :  13
LSU Tigers

Oct 19, 2024 - NCAA

Alabama Crimson Tide
17 :  24
Tennessee Volunteers

Oct 5, 2024 - NCAA

Alabama Crimson Tide
35 :  40
Vanderbilt Commodores

Sep 14, 2024 - NCAA

Alabama Crimson Tide
42 :  10
Wisconsin Badgers
Florida State Seminoles
Florida State Seminoles Latest matches
L L L L W L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Nov 30, 2024 - NCAA

Florida Gators
31 :  11
Florida State Seminoles

Nov 23, 2024 - NCAA

Charleston Southern Buccaneers
7 :  41
Florida State Seminoles

Nov 9, 2024 - NCAA

Florida State Seminoles
3 :  52
Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Nov 2, 2024 - NCAA

North Carolina Tar Heels
35 :  11
Florida State Seminoles

Oct 26, 2024 - NCAA

Florida State Seminoles
14 :  36
Miami (FL) Hurricanes

Oct 18, 2024 - NCAA

Florida State Seminoles
16 :  23
Duke Blue Devils
L W L L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Nov 30, 2024 - NCAA

Florida Gators
31 :  11
Florida State Seminoles

Nov 23, 2024 - NCAA

Charleston Southern Buccaneers
7 :  41
Florida State Seminoles

Nov 2, 2024 - NCAA

North Carolina Tar Heels
35 :  11
Florida State Seminoles

Oct 5, 2024 - NCAA

Clemson Tigers
29 :  13
Florida State Seminoles

Sep 21, 2024 - NCAA

California Golden Bears
9 :  14
Florida State Seminoles

Sep 14, 2024 - NCAA

Memphis Tigers
20 :  12
Florida State Seminoles
L L L L L
Victories

0/5 (0%)

Draw

0/5 (0%)

Defeats

5/5 (100%)

Nov 9, 2024 - NCAA

Florida State Seminoles
3 :  52
Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Oct 26, 2024 - NCAA

Florida State Seminoles
14 :  36
Miami (FL) Hurricanes

Oct 18, 2024 - NCAA

Florida State Seminoles
16 :  23
Duke Blue Devils

Sep 28, 2024 - NCAA

Florida State Seminoles
16 :  42
SMU Mustangs

Aug 24, 2024 - NCAA

Florida State Seminoles
21 :  24
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

Alabama Crimson Tide - Florida State Seminoles Key Points

  1. Alabama leads the all-time series vs. Florida State 3-1-1; the two teams last played in 2017, the Crimson Tide won, 24-7.
  2. Alabama was 9-4 SU and 7-6 ATS; the OVER was 6-7.
  3. Florida State was 2-10 SU and 2-8-2 ATS; the OVER was 3-9.
  4. Betting Public: 27% of TOTAL tickets and 37% of the handle are on the UNDER (50.5).

Our Alabama Crimson Tide vs Florida State Seminoles Prediction

Alabama is going to win this game. They have too much talent coming back to lose against a rebuilt FSU team. The Seminoles' offense could be good in time, but with a new OC and so many new players, it will not be ready to take on what might be the best defense in the country in Week 1. That being said, double-digit spreads make me nervous, and there is no value in the moneyline. However, if the Bama defense is as good as I think it may be, the TOTAL will not get anywhere close to 50.

Our Alabama vs. FSU Pick : UNDER 50.5

Prediction:

 

UNDER 50.5

-110
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Alabama Crimson Tide vs Florida State Seminoles Picks