Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev Prediction & Picks - Almaty Open

ATP - Almaty Open

Adrian Mannarino France
Adrian Mannarino ATP 79
10/21/26 04:50
Andrey Rublev
Andrey Rublev ATP 22

Prediction:

 

Adrian Mannarino +1.5 Set Handicap

−105
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 by Bradley Gibbs | in Tennis Picks

Facing off for the seventh time as top-tier professionals, Adrian Mannarino and Andrey Rublev will clash at the ATP event Almaty on Wednesday. This will be the first meeting between the pair in 2026. When they last met in 2025, Rublev won in five sets. As the higher-ranked player, the Russian is expected to win this, but his recent form hasn't been great, while his opponent has been tough to face, even for top players in recent weeks. 

There's little to suggest that Andrey Rublev is in anything close to his best form at present, while Adrian Mannarino has been delivering some excellent efforts, even against higher-ranked players, so much so that the Frenchman looks a little generously priced to avoid losing this in straight sets. Let's not forget that Adrian Mannarino loves to get down to business in Almaty, where he has previously reached the final twice, lifting the trophy back in 2023.

Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev Form

Adrian Mannarino and Andrey Rublev Latest Matches

Adrian Mannarino Latest matches
L W L W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Oct 19, 2026 - Almaty Open

Adrian Mannarino
2 :  1
Aleksandar Vukic

Oct 11, 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Karen Khachanov
2 :  0
Adrian Mannarino

Oct 9, 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Adrian Mannarino
2 :  1
Flavio Cobolli

Sep 29, 2026 - ATP Beijing Open

Adrian Mannarino
0 :  2
Pablo Carreño-Busta

Sep 28, 2026 - ATP Beijing Open

Miomir Kecmanovic
1 :  2
Adrian Mannarino

Sep 27, 2026 - ATP Chengdu Open

Adrian Mannarino
1 :  2
Denis Shapovalov
Andrey Rublev Latest matches
W L W W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Oct 9, 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Rei Sakamoto
2 :  0
Andrey Rublev

Oct 4, 2026 - ATP Beijing Open

Alex De Minaur
2 :  1
Andrey Rublev

Oct 3, 2026 - ATP Beijing Open

Andrey Rublev
2 :  1
Roman Safiullin

Oct 1, 2026 - ATP Beijing Open

Tallon Griekspoor
1 :  2
Andrey Rublev

Sep 29, 2026 - ATP Hangzhou Open

Daniil Medvedev
2 :  0
Andrey Rublev

Sep 28, 2026 - ATP Hangzhou Open

Kyrian Jacquet
0 :  2
Andrey Rublev

Adrian Mannarino against Andrey Rublev : Head to Head (H2H)

Adrian Mannarino

33 %

Andrey Rublev

67 %

Jul 4, 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Andrey Rublev
3 :  0
Adrian Mannarino

Oct 9, 2023 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Adrian Mannarino
0 :  2
Andrey Rublev

Oct 21, 2021 - Moscow, Russia

Andrey Rublev
1 :  2
Adrian Mannarino
Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev Picks

Adrian Mannarino - Andrey Rublev Key Points

  1. Last week, we saw Adrian Mannarino defeat the world number six.
  2. Last time out, Andrey Rublev lost to a much lower-ranked player.
  3. Andrey Rublev has not won any of his last five matches in straight sets.
  4. In each of his last three matches against lower-ranked players, Andrey Rublev has dropped at least one set.
  5. Adrian Mannarino won this event back in 2023.

Our Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev Prediction

As a former winner of this event, Adrian Mannarino is not easy to dismiss here, especially as he's up against a hugely inconsistent Andrey Rublev. The Russian looked out of sorts when losing in straight sets last time out, while his recent form in general hasn't been great, with him struggling to dominate matches. 

If we consider the fact that Mannarino clearly likes the conditions in Almaty and put this together with the fact that Rublev is out of form and likely low on confidence, a bet on the French player to, at the very least, win one set is hard to oppose at anything above -133. 

Our Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev Pick: Adrian Mannarino +1.5 Set Handicap.

Prediction:

 

Adrian Mannarino +1.5 Set Handicap

−105
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.