Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev Prediction & Picks - Almaty Open
ATP - Almaty Open
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by Bradley Gibbs | in Tennis Picks
Facing off for the seventh time as top-tier professionals, Adrian Mannarino and Andrey Rublev will clash at the ATP event Almaty on Wednesday. This will be the first meeting between the pair in 2026. When they last met in 2025, Rublev won in five sets. As the higher-ranked player, the Russian is expected to win this, but his recent form hasn't been great, while his opponent has been tough to face, even for top players in recent weeks.
There's little to suggest that Andrey Rublev is in anything close to his best form at present, while Adrian Mannarino has been delivering some excellent efforts, even against higher-ranked players, so much so that the Frenchman looks a little generously priced to avoid losing this in straight sets. Let's not forget that Adrian Mannarino loves to get down to business in Almaty, where he has previously reached the final twice, lifting the trophy back in 2023.
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Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev Form
Adrian Mannarino and Andrey Rublev Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Oct 19, 2026 - Almaty Open
Oct 11, 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Oct 9, 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Sep 29, 2026 - ATP Beijing Open
Sep 28, 2026 - ATP Beijing Open
Sep 27, 2026 - ATP Chengdu Open
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Oct 9, 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Oct 4, 2026 - ATP Beijing Open
Oct 3, 2026 - ATP Beijing Open
Oct 1, 2026 - ATP Beijing Open
Sep 29, 2026 - ATP Hangzhou Open
Sep 28, 2026 - ATP Hangzhou Open
Adrian Mannarino against Andrey Rublev : Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
Jul 4, 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
Oct 9, 2023 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Oct 21, 2021 - Moscow, Russia
Adrian Mannarino - Andrey Rublev Key Points
- Last week, we saw Adrian Mannarino defeat the world number six.
- Last time out, Andrey Rublev lost to a much lower-ranked player.
- Andrey Rublev has not won any of his last five matches in straight sets.
- In each of his last three matches against lower-ranked players, Andrey Rublev has dropped at least one set.
- Adrian Mannarino won this event back in 2023.
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Our Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev Prediction
As a former winner of this event, Adrian Mannarino is not easy to dismiss here, especially as he's up against a hugely inconsistent Andrey Rublev. The Russian looked out of sorts when losing in straight sets last time out, while his recent form in general hasn't been great, with him struggling to dominate matches.
If we consider the fact that Mannarino clearly likes the conditions in Almaty and put this together with the fact that Rublev is out of form and likely low on confidence, a bet on the French player to, at the very least, win one set is hard to oppose at anything above -133.
Our Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev Pick: Adrian Mannarino +1.5 Set Handicap.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.