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AC Milan vs Sassuolo Prediction & Picks - Serie A

Italy - Serie A

AC Milan
12/14/25 06:30
Sassuolo

Prediction:

 

Andrea Pinamonti 1+ Shots on Target

-120
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 by Bradley Gibbs in Serie A Picks

Kicking off a busy Sunday of Serie A action will be a game at the iconic San Siro, where AC Milan and Sassuolo lock horns. Leading the way in the title race, perhaps thanks to a lack of continental soccer, the hosts will be hoping to keep themselves at the top of the tree, but to do that, they'll likely need to pick up all three points, which may not be quite as easy as the early odds suggest. 

Sure, the hosts are strong, and they did win last time out, but they didn't exactly make light work of beating a lowly Torino team, which is not exactly ideal preparation for a game against a Sassuolo team that built confidence by defeating Fiorentina 3-1. After that win against La Viola, the visitors, who are a decent counter-attacking team, should fancy themselves to make some headway in Milan. 

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AC Milan vs Sassuolo Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1
AC Milan
AC Milan
31 14 9 4 1 11
8
Sassuolo
Sassuolo
20 14 6 2 6 2

AC Milan and Sassuolo Latest Matches

AC Milan
AC Milan Latest matches
W D W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Dec 8, 2025 - Serie A

Torino FC
2 :  3
AC Milan

Dec 4, 2025 - Coppa Italia

Lazio
1 :  0
AC Milan

Nov 29, 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  0
Lazio

Nov 23, 2025 - Serie A

Inter Milan
0 :  1
AC Milan

Nov 8, 2025 - Serie A

Parma
2 :  2
AC Milan

Nov 2, 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  0
Roma
W W W D W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Nov 29, 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  0
Lazio

Nov 2, 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  0
Roma

Oct 24, 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  2
Pisa SC

Oct 19, 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  1
Fiorentina

Sep 28, 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  1
Napoli

Sep 23, 2025 - Coppa Italia

AC Milan
3 :  0
Lecce
D D D W L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Dec 8, 2025 - Serie A

Torino FC
2 :  3
AC Milan

Dec 4, 2025 - Coppa Italia

Lazio
1 :  0
AC Milan

Nov 23, 2025 - Serie A

Inter Milan
0 :  1
AC Milan

Nov 8, 2025 - Serie A

Parma
2 :  2
AC Milan

Oct 28, 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
1 :  1
AC Milan

Oct 5, 2025 - Serie A

Juventus
0 :  0
AC Milan
Sassuolo
Sassuolo Latest matches
W L W D L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Dec 6, 2025 - Serie A

Sassuolo
3 :  1
Fiorentina

Nov 28, 2025 - Serie A

Como 1907
2 :  0
Sassuolo

Nov 24, 2025 - Serie A

Sassuolo
2 :  2
Pisa SC

Nov 9, 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
0 :  3
Sassuolo

Nov 3, 2025 - Serie A

Sassuolo
1 :  2
Genoa

Oct 30, 2025 - Serie A

Cagliari
1 :  2
Sassuolo
W W L L D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Dec 6, 2025 - Serie A

Sassuolo
3 :  1
Fiorentina

Nov 24, 2025 - Serie A

Sassuolo
2 :  2
Pisa SC

Nov 3, 2025 - Serie A

Sassuolo
1 :  2
Genoa

Oct 26, 2025 - Serie A

Sassuolo
0 :  1
Roma

Sep 28, 2025 - Serie A

Sassuolo
3 :  1
Udinese

Sep 14, 2025 - Serie A

Sassuolo
1 :  0
Lazio
L W D W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
17% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Nov 28, 2025 - Serie A

Como 1907
2 :  0
Sassuolo

Nov 9, 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
0 :  3
Sassuolo

Oct 30, 2025 - Serie A

Cagliari
1 :  2
Sassuolo

Oct 18, 2025 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  0
Sassuolo

Oct 3, 2025 - Serie A

Hellas Verona
0 :  1
Sassuolo

Sep 24, 2025 - Coppa Italia

Como 1907
3 :  0
Sassuolo

AC Milan against Sassuolo : Head to Head (H2H)

AC Milan

50 %

Draw

33 %

Sassuolo

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

4
Total goals
50%
BTTS
2.5
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.5
Goals scored (Team 2)
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5

Dec 3, 2024 - Coppa Italia

AC Milan
6 :  1
Sassuolo

Apr 14, 2024 - Serie A

Sassuolo
3 :  3
AC Milan

Dec 30, 2023 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  0
Sassuolo

Jan 29, 2023 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  5
Sassuolo

Aug 30, 2022 - Serie A

Sassuolo
0 :  0
AC Milan

May 22, 2022 - Serie A

Sassuolo
0 :  3
AC Milan

Sassuolo v AC Milan last Lineups

AC Milan

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

16
M. Maignan
23
F. Tomori
46
M. Gabbia
31
S. Pavlovic
56
A. Saelemaekers
8
R. Loftus-Cheek
14
L. Modric
12
A. Rabiot
33
D. Bartesaghi
18
C. Nkunku
10
R. Leao
45
A. Lauriente
99
A. Pinamonti
7
C. Volpato
90
I. Kone
18
N. Matic
42
K. Thorstvedt
3
J. Doig
80
T. Muharemovic
21
J. Idzes
6
S. Walukiewicz
49
A. Muric

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Sassuolo

Missing players

AC Milan
AC Milan
Goalkeeper

L. Torriani

Defender

Z. Athekame

Midfielder

Y. Fofana

Forward

C. Balentien

S. Gimenez

R. Leao

Sassuolo
Sassuolo
Goalkeeper

S. Turati

Defender

E. Pieragnolo

F. Romagna

Midfielder

A. Vranckx

D. Boloca

Forward

L. Skjellerup

D. Berardi

A. Pinamonti

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato AC Milan
CD Huachipato Sassuolo
Top Goalscorer
USA C. Pulisic (7 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Italy A. Pinamonti (4 Goals) ,  Italy D. Berardi (4 Goals)
Best assists
Belgium A. Saelemaekers (2 Assists) , 
Croatia L. Modric (2 Assists) , 
England F. Tomori (2 Assists) , 
Italy S. Ricci (2 Assists) , 
USA C. Pulisic (2 Assists)
Best assists
Italy C. Volpato (4 Assists)

AC Milan and Sassuolo Stats in Serie A

AC Milan
AC Milan
Sassuolo
Sassuolo
64%
Victories
43%
29%
Draw
14%
7%
Defeats
43%
2.36
Total goals per match
2.57
1.57
Goals scored per match
1.36
0.79
Goals conceded per match
1.21
50%
Over 2.5
57%
50%
Under 2.5
43%
50%
BTTS
50%
50%
No goals conceded
29%

AC Milan - Sassuolo Key Points

  1. No Sassuolo player has taken more shots than Andrea Pinamonti in Serie this season.
  2. Andrea Pinamonti has registered a shot on target in five of his last six Serie A appearances.
  3. In Serie A this term, Andrea Pinamonti averages 1.28 shots on target per 90 minutes.
  4. Andrea Pinamonti has registered a shot on target in six out of seven away games this season.
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Our AC Milan vs Sassuolo Prediction

Andrea Pinamonti really likes playing in games of this nature, while the visitors love to play on the break, as they did to devastating effect away against Atalanta recently, when Pinamonti notched. The Italian forward takes up great positions, while he's shooting lots, taking more shots than any other Sassuolo player this season. 

During the current campaign, Pinamonti has taken 35 Serie A shots, averaging 1.28 shots on target per 90 minutes. Following at least one shot on target in five of his last six, the 26-year-old is not easy to ignore when odds of -120 are available. Quite simply, if he starts following a precautionary substitution last weekend, such odds should be taken. 

Our AC Milan vs Sassuolo Pick: Andrea Pinamonti 1+ Shots on Target. 

Prediction:

 

Andrea Pinamonti 1+ Shots on Target

-120
$200 offered for betting!

AC Milan vs Sassuolo - Other Interesting Picks

Andrea Pinamonti to Score

Odds +475
As a secondary pick, I'm also going to bet on Andrea Pinamonti to find the net. As touched on above, the visitors do offer a threat on the break, and Pinamonti loves to score goals in big games, while the forward, who simply gets himself into so many promising positions, is going up against a Milan team that doesn't keep too many clean sheets. All in all, for a player Pinamonti, odds of +475 look too big.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

AC Milan vs Sassuolo Picks
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