AC Milan vs Napoli Prediction & Picks - Serie A

Italy - Serie A

AC Milan
9/28/25 14:45
Napoli

Prediction:

 

Napoli to win

+210
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 by Simon Day in Serie A Picks

Napoli's 100% Serie A record faces a seriously tough test on Sunday evening, as they visit the San Siro to take on an AC Milan side currently enjoying a three game winning run. 

Remarkably, Napoli are on a 15 match unbeaten run in Serie A, a record that goes all the way back to early March. However, Antonio Conte's side did come unstuck in the Champions League last week, falling to a 2-0 defeat at Manchester City. 

Milan have bounced back superbly from their shock opening day defeat at home to Cremonese, recording three wins on the spin to move up to third in the early season standings. After a dismal 2024/2025 campaign that saw them miss out on a place in Europe, the early signs are encouraging for Max Allegri's side as they attempt to mount a serious top four challenge. 

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AC Milan vs Napoli Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1
Napoli
Napoli
12 4 4 0 0 6
3
AC Milan
AC Milan
9 4 3 0 1 5

AC Milan and Napoli Latest Matches

AC Milan
AC Milan Latest matches
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
17% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Sep 23, 2025 - Coppa Italia

AC Milan
3 :  0
Lecce

Sep 20, 2025 - Serie A

Udinese
0 :  3
AC Milan

Sep 14, 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  0
Bologna

Aug 29, 2025 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  2
AC Milan

Aug 23, 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  2
Cremonese

Aug 17, 2025 - Coppa Italia

AC Milan
2 :  0
Bari
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Sep 23, 2025 - Coppa Italia

AC Milan
3 :  0
Lecce

Sep 14, 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  0
Bologna

Aug 23, 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  2
Cremonese

Aug 17, 2025 - Coppa Italia

AC Milan
2 :  0
Bari

May 24, 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  0
Monza

May 9, 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
3 :  1
Bologna
W W D L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
3.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Sep 20, 2025 - Serie A

Udinese
0 :  3
AC Milan

Aug 29, 2025 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  2
AC Milan

Aug 10, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Chelsea
4 :  1
AC Milan

Aug 9, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Leeds
1 :  1
AC Milan

Jul 31, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Perth Glory
0 :  9
AC Milan

Jul 26, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Liverpool
2 :  4
AC Milan
Napoli
Napoli Latest matches
W W W W L W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Sep 22, 2025 - Serie A

Napoli
3 :  2
Pisa SC

Sep 18, 2025 - Champions League

Manchester City
2 :  0
Napoli

Sep 13, 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  3
Napoli

Aug 30, 2025 - Serie A

Napoli
1 :  0
Cagliari

Aug 23, 2025 - Serie A

Sassuolo
0 :  2
Napoli

Aug 14, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Napoli
2 :  1
Olympiacos
D W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Sep 22, 2025 - Serie A

Napoli
3 :  2
Pisa SC

Aug 30, 2025 - Serie A

Napoli
1 :  0
Cagliari

Aug 14, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Napoli
2 :  1
Olympiacos

Aug 10, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Napoli
4 :  0
ASD Sorrento 1945

Aug 9, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Napoli
3 :  2
Girona

Aug 4, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Napoli
1 :  1
Casertana
W W D W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

Sep 18, 2025 - Champions League

Manchester City
2 :  0
Napoli

Sep 13, 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  3
Napoli

Aug 23, 2025 - Serie A

Sassuolo
0 :  2
Napoli

May 18, 2025 - Serie A

Parma
0 :  0
Napoli

May 3, 2025 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  1
Napoli

Apr 19, 2025 - Serie A

Monza
0 :  1
Napoli

AC Milan against Napoli : Head to Head (H2H)

AC Milan

33 %

Draw

33 %

Napoli

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.17
Total goals
50%
BTTS
1
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.17
Goals scored (Team 2)
33%
Over 2.5
67%
Under 2.5

Mar 30, 2025 - Serie A

Napoli
2 :  1
AC Milan

Oct 29, 2024 - Serie A

AC Milan
0 :  2
Napoli

Feb 11, 2024 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  0
Napoli

Oct 29, 2023 - Serie A

Napoli
2 :  2
AC Milan

Apr 18, 2023 - Champions League

Napoli
1 :  1
AC Milan

Apr 12, 2023 - Champions League

AC Milan
1 :  0
Napoli

AC Milan - Napoli: Form Analysis

Milan are on a four game winning run, thanks to Serie A victories over Lecce, Bologna and Udinese, plus a comfortable 3-0 win over Lecce in the Coppa Italia.

That excellent run of results has largely been down to a rock solid backline that has now gone over 360 minutes without conceding a goal. At the other end of the field, US forward Christian Pulisic enjoyed a fine start to the campaign, notching up three goals in his first four appearances. 

Napoli in the groove

Napoli came close to losing their 100% record last week, but a late goal from Lorenzo Lucca helped them edge out a resilient Pisa team. 

Before that, the Serie A champions had been in imperious form during comfortable victories over Sassuolo, Fiorentina and Cagliari. If Conte's side can maintain their current level of performance, they will have every chance of winning their third Scudetto in four seasons. 

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Napoli v AC Milan last Lineups

AC Milan

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

1
P. Terracciano
23
F. Tomori
46
M. Gabbia
31
S. Pavlovic
56
A. Saelemaekers
14
L. Modric
12
A. Rabiot
19
Y. Fofana
2
P. Estupinan
11
C. Pulisic
7
S. Gimenez
19
R. Hojlund
8
S. McTominay
11
K. De Bruyne
20
E. Elmas
21
M. Politano
6
B. Gilmour
37
L. Spinazzola
4
A. Buongiorno
31
S. Beukema
22
G. Di Lorenzo
1
A. Meret

Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1

Napoli

Missing players

AC Milan
AC Milan
Goalkeeper

M. Maignan

Defender

S. Pavlovic

Midfielder

A. Jashari

Forward

R. Leao

Napoli
Napoli
Goalkeeper

N. Contini

Midfielder

L. Hasa

C. Saco

Forward

R. Lukaku

AC Milan & Napoli Squad Analysis

The big news coming out of the AC Milan camp this week is that exciting winger Rafael Leao has returned to full training is expected to be available on Sunday.

Goalkeeper Mike Maignan made a successful return from injury during the midweek cup victory over Lecce, leaving Milan boss Max Allegri with a virtually full strength squad to choose from. 

Injury problems increasing for Napoli

Alessandro Buongiorno is the latest name on the Napoli injury list. The big center half suffered a muscle injury last week and is expected to miss at least three games. 

With Romelu Lukaku (thigh) and Pasquale Mazzocchi (muscle) also on the sidelines, Napoli boss Antonio Conte will be keen for his side not to pick up any more injuries ahead of a brutal run of fixtures. 

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato AC Milan
CD Huachipato Napoli
Top Goalscorer
USA C. Pulisic (3 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Belgium K. De Bruyne (2 Goals)
Best assists
France A. Rabiot (1 Assists)
Belgium A. Saelemaekers (1 Assists)
Croatia L. Modric (1 Assists)
Ecuador P. Estupinan (1 Assists)
USA C. Pulisic (1 Assists)
Best assists
Scotland S. McTominay (1 Assists)
Slovakia S. Lobotka (1 Assists)
Cameroon F. Anguissa (1 Assists)
Italy L. Spinazzola (1 Assists)
Italy A. Buongiorno (1 Assists)
Italy M. Politano (1 Assists)

AC Milan and Napoli Stats in Serie A

AC Milan
AC Milan
Napoli
Napoli
75%
Victories
100%
0%
Draw
0%
25%
Defeats
0%
2.25
Total goals per match
3
1.75
Goals scored per match
2.25
0.5
Goals conceded per match
0.75
50%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
Under 2.5
50%
25%
BTTS
50%
75%
No goals conceded
50%

AC Milan - Napoli Key Points

  1. Napoli are unbeaten in 15 Serie A matches
  2. Milan lost both games against Napoli last season
  3. Napoli have scored in 21 of their last 22 Serie A games
  4. Milan have gone 15 games without a draw
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Our AC Milan vs Napoli Prediction

Milan look much improved from the side that finished in eighth last season, but they still look a level below Napoli, and we are backing the champions to pick up all three points from Sunday's trip to the San Siro.

Surprisingly, Milan are reasonably strong favorites with the bookies, but given Napoli's current form, plus their excellent recent record against Milan, we think the odds of 3.10 on an away win represent fantastic value. 

Our prediction for AC Milan vs Napoli  is: Napoli to win.

Prediction:

 

Napoli to win

+210
$250 offered for betting!

AC Milan vs Napoli - Other Interesting Picks

Rasmus Højlund first goalscorer

Odds +850

Danish striker Rasmus Højlund has looked sharp up front for Napoli since his Summer move from Manchester United.

He got off the mark with a fine strike against Fiorentina and despite not scoring against Pisa last weekend, he caused the visitors' defense plenty of problems with his sharp movement. We really like the odds of almost 10.00 on Højlund opening the scoring at the San Siro.

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AC Milan vs Napoli match : Frequently asked questions

The AC Milan vs Napoli Serie A game is taking place at the San Siro Stadium in Milan.
The AC Milan vs Napoli Serie A fixture kicks off at 20:45 CET on the 28th of September.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

AC Milan vs Napoli Picks
Up to $250 to bet on AC Milan - Napoli! 

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