AC Milan vs Lecce Prediction & Picks - Serie A

Italy - Serie A

AC Milan
1/18/26 14:45
Lecce

Prediction:

 

AC Milan to Win & Under 3.5 Goals

-135
$300 offered for betting!

New customers only | Commercial content | 21+ age limit | T&Cs apply

 by Bradley Gibbs | in Serie A Picks

Closing out Sunday's Serie A menu we have a game between AC Milan and Lecce. After their city rivals secured a narrow win on Saturday, the Milan boys are looking to keep themselves in the title race. If the hosts come out on top, they'll be only three points behind Inter, who currently top their Serie A standings. Last time out, Massimiliano Allegri's men got the better of Como, coming out on top by three goals to one, securing their first win in three league games. Having beaten what is a very decent side, the hosts should fancy themselves to get the better of a Lecce team that continues to struggle for results. 

While the hosts are unbeaten in five, Sunday's visitors have failed to win any of their last five Serie A fixtures, four of which they've lost. During that time, they've struggled to score goals, notching in only one of their last three, scoring in only two of their last five. Such form does not suggest that they'll head to San Siro and make any significant headway, let's be honest. 

Up to $300 to bet on AC Milan - Lecce! 

Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings

AC Milan vs Lecce Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2
AC Milan
AC Milan
46 21 13 7 1 +18
18
Lecce
Lecce
17 21 4 5 12 -16

AC Milan and Lecce Latest Matches

AC Milan
AC Milan Latest matches
L W W D D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Jan 15, 2026 - Serie A

Como 1907
1 :  3
AC Milan

Jan 11, 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  1
AC Milan

Jan 8, 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  1
Genoa

Jan 2, 2026 - Serie A

Cagliari
0 :  1
AC Milan

Dec 28, 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
3 :  0
Hellas Verona

Dec 18, 2025 - Italian Super Cup

Napoli
2 :  0
AC Milan
D W W D W D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Jan 8, 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  1
Genoa

Dec 28, 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
3 :  0
Hellas Verona

Dec 14, 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  2
Sassuolo

Nov 29, 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  0
Lazio

Nov 2, 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  0
Roma

Oct 24, 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  2
Pisa SC
L W L W D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Jan 15, 2026 - Serie A

Como 1907
1 :  3
AC Milan

Jan 11, 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  1
AC Milan

Jan 2, 2026 - Serie A

Cagliari
0 :  1
AC Milan

Dec 18, 2025 - Italian Super Cup

Napoli
2 :  0
AC Milan

Dec 8, 2025 - Serie A

Torino FC
2 :  3
AC Milan

Dec 4, 2025 - Coppa Italia

Lazio
1 :  0
AC Milan
Lecce
Lecce Latest matches
W L D L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Jan 14, 2026 - Serie A

Inter Milan
1 :  0
Lecce

Jan 11, 2026 - Serie A

Lecce
1 :  2
Parma

Jan 6, 2026 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  2
Roma

Jan 3, 2026 - Serie A

Juventus
1 :  1
Lecce

Dec 27, 2025 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  3
Como 1907

Dec 12, 2025 - Serie A

Lecce
1 :  0
Pisa SC
D W W L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Jan 11, 2026 - Serie A

Lecce
1 :  2
Parma

Jan 6, 2026 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  2
Roma

Dec 27, 2025 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  3
Como 1907

Dec 12, 2025 - Serie A

Lecce
1 :  0
Pisa SC

Nov 30, 2025 - Serie A

Lecce
2 :  1
Torino FC

Nov 8, 2025 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  0
Hellas Verona
L W L L D L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

Jan 14, 2026 - Serie A

Inter Milan
1 :  0
Lecce

Jan 3, 2026 - Serie A

Juventus
1 :  1
Lecce

Dec 7, 2025 - Serie A

Cremonese
2 :  0
Lecce

Nov 23, 2025 - Serie A

Lazio
2 :  0
Lecce

Nov 2, 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
0 :  1
Lecce

Oct 25, 2025 - Serie A

Udinese
3 :  2
Lecce

AC Milan against Lecce : Head to Head (H2H)

AC Milan

83 %

Draw

17 %

Lecce

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.33
Total goals
33.33%
BTTS
2.67
Goals scored
0.67
Goals conceded
83.33%
Over 2.5
16.67%
Under 2.5

Sep 23, 2025 - Coppa Italia

AC Milan
3 :  0
Lecce

Aug 29, 2025 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  2
AC Milan

Mar 8, 2025 - Serie A

Lecce
2 :  3
AC Milan

Sep 27, 2024 - Serie A

AC Milan
3 :  0
Lecce

Apr 6, 2024 - Serie A

AC Milan
3 :  0
Lecce

Nov 11, 2023 - Serie A

Lecce
2 :  2
AC Milan

AC Milan against Lecce Lineups: Starting 11

AC Milan

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

16
M. Maignan
23
F. Tomori
46
M. Gabbia
5
K. De Winter
56
A. Saelemaekers
4
S. Ricci
30
A. Jashari
12
A. Rabiot
2
P. Estupinan
11
C. Pulisic
10
R. Leao
50
S. Pierotti
9
N. Stulic
23
R. Sottil
29
L. Coulibaly
20
Y. Ramadani
16
O. Gandelman
25
A. Gallo
44
Tiago Gabriel
5
J. Siebert
3
C. Ndaba
30
W. Falcone

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Lecce

Substitutes

AC Milan
AC Milan
Goalkeeper

L. Torriani

P. Terracciano

Defender

S. Pavlovic

D. Bartesaghi

Z. Athekame

A. Saelemaekers 80'

D. Odogu

Midfielder

Y. Fofana

L. Modric

A. Jashari 87'

R. Loftus-Cheek

S. Ricci 73'

Forward

C. Nkunku

R. Leao 87'

N. Fullkrug

C. Pulisic 73'

Lecce
Lecce
Goalkeeper

J. Samooja

C. Fruchtl

Defender

M. Ignacio

G. Jean

C. Kouassi

S. Fofana

Midfielder

F. Marchwinski

A. Sala

K. N’Dri

A. Gallo 85'

M. Kaba

O. Ngom

T. Helgason

Y. Maleh

Y. Ramadani 85'

Forward

L. Banda

R. Sottil 54'

T. Morente

N. Stulic 69'

Missing players

AC Milan
AC Milan
Forward

S. Gimenez

Lecce
Lecce
Defender

K. Gaspar

Forward

M. Berisha

F. Camarda

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato AC Milan
CD Huachipato Lecce
Top Goalscorer
USA C. Pulisic (8 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Ivory Coast K. N’Dri (2 Goals) ,  Mali L. Coulibaly (2 Goals) ,  Albania M. Berisha (2 Goals) ,  Zambia L. Banda (2 Goals) ,  Serbia N. Stulic (2 Goals)
Best assists
Belgium A. Saelemaekers (3 Assists) , 
France A. Rabiot (3 Assists)
Best assists
Albania M. Berisha (3 Assists)

AC Milan - Lecce Key Points

  1. Only once this season have the hosts scored more than twice at home.
  2. Less than four goals have been scored in four of Milan's last five home games.
  3. Less than four goals have also been scored in each of Lecce's last five away games.
  4. When the teams met earlier in the season, AC Milan won by two goals to zero.
Up to $300 to bet on AC Milan - Lecce! 

Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings

Our AC Milan vs Lecce Prediction

The visitors have been struggling to score goals, which tells me that they'll find it tough at San Siro, but they've not exactly been receiving regular hammerings. Even on ther road, the Lecce boys have conceded no more than two goals in any of their last five, failing to score in three of those five. Combine this with the fact that the hosts have scored more than twice in just one of their home league games this season and a relatively low-scoring home win starts to look a little more likely than the early odds would have us believe. 

Our AC Milan vs Lecce Pick: AC Milan to Win & Under 3.5 Goals. 

Prediction:

 

AC Milan to Win & Under 3.5 Goals

-135
$300 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

AC Milan vs Lecce Picks