AC Milan vs Fiorentina Prediction & Picks - Serie A

Italy - Serie A

AC Milan
10/19/25 14:45
Fiorentina

Prediction:

 

AC Milan -1.

-110
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 by Carlos Zabala in Serie A Picks

AC Milan, exempt from European competition this season, has a clear path to focus on Serie A. Napoli also did not play in Europe when they won the Scudetto the previous year. Because of this, along with new signings and the defensive style already imprinted by Allegri, AC Milan is listed at odds of around 4.5 as the third favorite in the betting circles to win this Serie A. If they do so, it would be their first since the 2021/2022 season.

In Turin, AC Milan once again resolutely held off their opponents' attacks. Juventus managed just three shots on target against Milan, but the Rossoneri had to settle for a goalless draw. Pulisic was unable to convert the penalty he had in the 53rd minute.

Allegri's team returns to San Siro to prepare for the match against Fiorentina, a team managed by former Milan manager Stefano Pioli. Although Fiorentina has had a forgettable start to the season, winless in the first six matches, it's encouraging that Pioli, in one-on-one matches against Milan coach Allegri, beat him as many as 15 times.

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AC Milan vs Fiorentina Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
5
AC Milan
AC Milan
13 6 4 1 1 6
18
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
3 6 0 3 3 -4

AC Milan and Fiorentina Latest Matches

AC Milan
AC Milan Latest matches
W W W W W D
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Oct 5, 2025 - Serie A

Juventus
0 :  0
AC Milan

Sep 28, 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  1
Napoli

Sep 23, 2025 - Coppa Italia

AC Milan
3 :  0
Lecce

Sep 20, 2025 - Serie A

Udinese
0 :  3
AC Milan

Sep 14, 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  0
Bologna

Aug 29, 2025 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  2
AC Milan
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Sep 28, 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  1
Napoli

Sep 23, 2025 - Coppa Italia

AC Milan
3 :  0
Lecce

Sep 14, 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  0
Bologna

Aug 23, 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  2
Cremonese

Aug 17, 2025 - Coppa Italia

AC Milan
2 :  0
Bari

May 24, 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  0
Monza
W D L W W D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Oct 5, 2025 - Serie A

Juventus
0 :  0
AC Milan

Sep 20, 2025 - Serie A

Udinese
0 :  3
AC Milan

Aug 29, 2025 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  2
AC Milan

Aug 10, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Chelsea
4 :  1
AC Milan

Aug 9, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Leeds
1 :  1
AC Milan

Jul 31, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Perth Glory
0 :  9
AC Milan
Fiorentina
Fiorentina Latest matches
D L L D W L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Oct 5, 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  2
Roma

Oct 2, 2025 - Conference League

Fiorentina
2 :  0
Sigma Olomouc

Sep 28, 2025 - Serie A

Pisa SC
0 :  0
Fiorentina

Sep 21, 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  2
Como 1907

Sep 13, 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  3
Napoli

Aug 31, 2025 - Serie A

Torino FC
0 :  0
Fiorentina
W W L L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Oct 5, 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  2
Roma

Oct 2, 2025 - Conference League

Fiorentina
2 :  0
Sigma Olomouc

Sep 21, 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  2
Como 1907

Sep 13, 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  3
Napoli

Aug 28, 2025 - Conference League

Fiorentina
3 :  2
FC Polissya Zhytomyr

Jul 25, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Fiorentina
2 :  0
Carrarese Calcio
D D W D D D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

Sep 28, 2025 - Serie A

Pisa SC
0 :  0
Fiorentina

Aug 31, 2025 - Serie A

Torino FC
0 :  0
Fiorentina

Aug 24, 2025 - Serie A

Cagliari
1 :  1
Fiorentina

Aug 21, 2025 - Conference League

FC Polissya Zhytomyr
0 :  3
Fiorentina

Aug 9, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Manchester United
1 :  1
Fiorentina

Aug 5, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Nottingham Forest
0 :  0
Fiorentina

AC Milan against Fiorentina : Head to Head (H2H)

AC Milan

50 %

Draw

17 %

Fiorentina

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.83
Total goals
83%
BTTS
1.5
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.33
Goals scored (Team 2)
83%
Over 2.5
17%
Under 2.5

Apr 5, 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  2
Fiorentina

Oct 6, 2024 - Serie A

Fiorentina
2 :  1
AC Milan

Mar 30, 2024 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  2
AC Milan

Nov 25, 2023 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  0
Fiorentina

Mar 4, 2023 - Serie A

Fiorentina
2 :  1
AC Milan

Nov 13, 2022 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  1
Fiorentina

AC Milan against Fiorentina Lineups: Starting 11

AC Milan

Formation : 3 - 5 - 1 - 1

16
M. Maignan
23
F. Tomori
46
M. Gabbia
31
S. Pavlovic
24
Z. Athekame
4
S. Ricci
14
L. Modric
19
Y. Fofana
33
D. Bartesaghi
56
A. Saelemaekers
10
R. Leao
20
M. Kean
22
J. Fazzini
21
R. Gosens
44
N. Fagioli
14
H. Caviglia
8
R. Mandragora
2
Dodo
6
L. Ranieri
18
P. Mari
5
M. Pongracic
43
D. De Gea

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

Fiorentina

Missing players

AC Milan
AC Milan
Goalkeeper

L. Torriani

Defender

P. Estupinan

Midfielder

A. Jashari

A. Rabiot

Forward

C. Pulisic

Fiorentina
Fiorentina
Defender

T. Lamptey

Forward

C. Kouame

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato AC Milan
CD Huachipato Fiorentina
Top Goalscorer
USA C. Pulisic (4 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Italy R. Mandragora (2 Goals)
Best assists
USA C. Pulisic (2 Assists)
Best assists
Italy H. Caviglia (1 Assists)
Italy C. Ndour (1 Assists)
Iceland A. Gudmundsson (1 Assists)

AC Milan and Fiorentina Stats in Serie A

AC Milan
AC Milan
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
67%
Victories
0%
17%
Draw
50%
17%
Defeats
50%
2
Total goals per match
2
1.5
Goals scored per match
0.67
0.5
Goals conceded per match
1.33
50%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
Under 2.5
50%
33%
BTTS
67%
67%
No goals conceded
33%

AC Milan - Fiorentina Key Points

  1. Fiorentina failed to complete 80% of their attempted passes in their last match against Roma
  2. AC Milan only conceded three goals in two matches, the second-best defense in Serie A
  3. In four of the last five AC Milan-Fiorentina matches, both teams scored
  4. Milan recorded three great chances in a goalless draw against Juventus
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Our AC Milan vs Fiorentina Prediction

Due to a minor injury, Milan will have to face Fiorentina without Frenchman Christopher Nkunku. The Rossoneri's attacking force is therefore expected to be primarily Rafael Leao along with Santiago Gimenez. Leao scored four goals against Fiorentina last season.

Since August 29, Milan has led or been tied for over 540 minutes of football, and they have also kept five clean sheets. Milan should win this match.

Our prediction for AC Milan vs Fiorentina is: AC Milan -1.

Prediction:

 

AC Milan -1.

-110
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

AC Milan vs Fiorentina Picks
Up to $300+ to bet on AC Milan - Fiorentina! 

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