Italy - Serie A
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by Carlos Zabala in Serie A Picks
AC Milan, exempt from European competition this season, has a clear path to focus on Serie A. Napoli also did not play in Europe when they won the Scudetto the previous year. Because of this, along with new signings and the defensive style already imprinted by Allegri, AC Milan is listed at odds of around 4.5 as the third favorite in the betting circles to win this Serie A. If they do so, it would be their first since the 2021/2022 season.
In Turin, AC Milan once again resolutely held off their opponents' attacks. Juventus managed just three shots on target against Milan, but the Rossoneri had to settle for a goalless draw. Pulisic was unable to convert the penalty he had in the 53rd minute.
Allegri's team returns to San Siro to prepare for the match against Fiorentina, a team managed by former Milan manager Stefano Pioli. Although Fiorentina has had a forgettable start to the season, winless in the first six matches, it's encouraging that Pioli, in one-on-one matches against Milan coach Allegri, beat him as many as 15 times.
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AC Milan vs Fiorentina Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
16 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 7 |
|
18
|
3 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -5 |
AC Milan and Fiorentina Latest Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Oct 5, 2025 - Serie A
Sep 28, 2025 - Serie A
Sep 23, 2025 - Coppa Italia
Sep 20, 2025 - Serie A
Sep 14, 2025 - Serie A
Aug 29, 2025 - Serie A
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Sep 28, 2025 - Serie A
Sep 23, 2025 - Coppa Italia
Sep 14, 2025 - Serie A
Aug 23, 2025 - Serie A
Aug 17, 2025 - Coppa Italia
May 24, 2025 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Oct 5, 2025 - Serie A
Sep 20, 2025 - Serie A
Aug 29, 2025 - Serie A
Aug 10, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Aug 9, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Jul 31, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Oct 5, 2025 - Serie A
Oct 2, 2025 - Conference League
Sep 28, 2025 - Serie A
Sep 21, 2025 - Serie A
Sep 13, 2025 - Serie A
Aug 31, 2025 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Oct 5, 2025 - Serie A
Oct 2, 2025 - Conference League
Sep 21, 2025 - Serie A
Sep 13, 2025 - Serie A
Aug 28, 2025 - Conference League
Jul 25, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Sep 28, 2025 - Serie A
Aug 31, 2025 - Serie A
Aug 24, 2025 - Serie A
Aug 21, 2025 - Conference League
Aug 9, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Aug 5, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
AC Milan against Fiorentina : Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
17 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
Apr 5, 2025 - Serie A
Oct 6, 2024 - Serie A
Mar 30, 2024 - Serie A
Nov 25, 2023 - Serie A
Mar 4, 2023 - Serie A
Nov 13, 2022 - Serie A
AC Milan against Fiorentina Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 5 - 1 - 1
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Missing players
L. Torriani
DefenderP. Estupinan
MidfielderA. Jashari
A. Rabiot
ForwardC. Pulisic
T. Lamptey
ForwardC. Kouame
Most goals and assists
AC Milan
Fiorentina
C. Pulisic
(4 Goals)
R. Mandragora
(2 Goals)
C. Pulisic
(2 Assists)
H. Caviglia
(1 Assists)
,
C. Ndour
(1 Assists)
, 
A. Gudmundsson
(1 Assists)
AC Milan - Fiorentina Key Points
- Fiorentina failed to complete 80% of their attempted passes in their last match against Roma
- AC Milan only conceded three goals in two matches, the second-best defense in Serie A
- In four of the last five AC Milan-Fiorentina matches, both teams scored
- Milan recorded three great chances in a goalless draw against Juventus
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Our AC Milan vs Fiorentina Prediction
Due to a minor injury, Milan will have to face Fiorentina without Frenchman Christopher Nkunku. The Rossoneri's attacking force is therefore expected to be primarily Rafael Leao along with Santiago Gimenez. Leao scored four goals against Fiorentina last season.
Since August 29, Milan has led or been tied for over 540 minutes of football, and they have also kept five clean sheets. Milan should win this match.
Our prediction for AC Milan vs Fiorentina is: AC Milan -1.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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