AC Milan vs Atalanta Prediction & Picks - Serie A

Italy - Serie A

AC Milan
10/18/26 12:00
Atalanta

Prediction:

 

BTTS/Over 2.5 Goals

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 by Sarah Lou Jones | in Serie A Picks

AC Milan welcome Atalanta to the San Siro for their Serie A match looking to continue their unbeaten league run. I Rossoneri have won three and drawn three of their opening six league games and a win in this match could see them jump into third place in the table. Atalanta's start to their 26/27 campaign hasn't been as impressive, losing three and winning three of their opening games.

La Dea do have an excellent record against AC Milan, though. In the past six head-to-heads, Atalanta have drawn two and won four of them, including the last time these two sides met in Milan. They also head into this game on the back of two successive victories in all comps, putting an end to their three game losing streak. Despite this, Atalanta are yet to win away in Serie A this season and they face a side who've won both of their league home games.

This is quite the toughie in terms of predicting the full time result. While AC are favorites to win, it's still difficult to rule La Dea out of getting something from this match. Instead, our prediction is focusing on the Goals market, we think both teams will score in a game that features over 2.5 goals.

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AC Milan vs Atalanta Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
5 AC Milan
12 6 3 3 0 +6
10 Atalanta
9 6 3 0 3 0

AC Milan and Atalanta Latest Matches

AC Milan
AC Milan Latest matches
D D L W D W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Oct 15, 2026 - Europa League

Salzburg
0 :  4
AC Milan

Oct 11, 2026 - Serie A

Sassuolo
1 :  1
AC Milan

Sep 20, 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan
3 :  0
Lecce

Sep 16, 2026 - Europa League

AC Milan
0 :  2
Benfica Lisbon

Sep 12, 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
2 :  2
AC Milan

Sep 6, 2026 - Serie A

Juventus
1 :  1
AC Milan
L D W W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Sep 20, 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan
3 :  0
Lecce

Sep 16, 2026 - Europa League

AC Milan
0 :  2
Benfica Lisbon

Aug 28, 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  0
Venezia

Aug 15, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

AC Milan
4 :  2
Manchester United

Aug 5, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

AC Milan
1 :  1
Inter Milan

May 24, 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  2
Cagliari
L W D D D W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Oct 15, 2026 - Europa League

Salzburg
0 :  4
AC Milan

Oct 11, 2026 - Serie A

Sassuolo
1 :  1
AC Milan

Sep 12, 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
2 :  2
AC Milan

Sep 6, 2026 - Serie A

Juventus
1 :  1
AC Milan

Aug 23, 2026 - Serie A

Torino FC
1 :  2
AC Milan

Aug 8, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Chelsea
3 :  0
AC Milan
Atalanta
Atalanta Latest matches
W L L L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Oct 15, 2026 - Conference League

Atalanta
3 :  1
Pafos FC

Oct 12, 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
3 :  1
Venezia

Sep 20, 2026 - Serie A

Juventus
2 :  0
Atalanta

Sep 12, 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
1 :  2
Cagliari

Sep 5, 2026 - Serie A

Roma
2 :  1
Atalanta

Aug 31, 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
1 :  0
Bologna
D W W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Oct 15, 2026 - Conference League

Atalanta
3 :  1
Pafos FC

Oct 12, 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
3 :  1
Venezia

Sep 12, 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
1 :  2
Cagliari

Aug 31, 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
1 :  0
Bologna

Aug 23, 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  1
Sassuolo

Aug 20, 2026 - Conference League

Atalanta
0 :  0
Hapoel Tel Aviv FC
D L W W L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Sep 20, 2026 - Serie A

Juventus
2 :  0
Atalanta

Sep 5, 2026 - Serie A

Roma
2 :  1
Atalanta

Aug 27, 2026 - Conference League

Hapoel Tel Aviv FC
0 :  1
Atalanta

Aug 8, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Schalke 04
0 :  3
Atalanta

Aug 2, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Feyenoord
2 :  1
Atalanta

May 22, 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  1
Atalanta

AC Milan against Atalanta : Head to Head (H2H)

AC Milan

0 %

Draw

33 %

Atalanta

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.67
Total goals
83.33%
BTTS
1
Goals scored
1.67
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

May 10, 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  3
Atalanta

Oct 28, 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
1 :  1
AC Milan

Apr 20, 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
0 :  1
Atalanta

Dec 6, 2024 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  1
AC Milan

Feb 25, 2024 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  1
Atalanta

Jan 10, 2024 - Coppa Italia

AC Milan
1 :  2
Atalanta
AC Milan vs Atalanta Picks

Atalanta v AC Milan last Lineups

AC Milan

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

16
M. Maignan
23
F. Tomori
5
K. De Winter
31
S. Pavlovic
20
O. Hutchinson
30
A. Jashari
12
A. Rabiot
33
D. Bartesaghi
8
R. Loftus-Cheek
70
A. Cisse
73
F. Camarda
9
G. Scamacca
59
N. Zalewski
18
G. Raspadori
99
E. Elmas
70
G. Gaetano
8
M. Pasalic
47
L. Bernasconi
23
S. Kolasinac
31
T. Kristensen
77
D. Zappacosta
29
M. Carnesecchi

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Atalanta

Substitutes

AC Milan
AC Milan
Goalkeeper

L. Torriani

Defender

S. Diawara

P. Estupinan

M. Gila

Midfielder

D. Moreira

C. Comotto

F. Terracciano

S. Chukwueze

Y. Musah

L. Modric

Forward

G. Ramos

C. Pulisic

Atalanta
Atalanta
Goalkeeper

M. Sportiello

M. Sonzogni

Defender

R. Obric

Midfielder

J. Idele

L. Samardzic

E. Silva

Forward

N. Krstovic

C. De Ketelaere

J. Rowe

Missing players

AC Milan
AC Milan
Defender

M. Gabbia

Midfielder

A. Saelemaekers

Atalanta
Atalanta
Goalkeeper

T. Pompei

Defender

I. Hien

O. Kossounou

G. Scalvini

Midfielder

F. Kessie

E. Elmas

Forward

K. Sulemana

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato AC Milan
CD Huachipato Atalanta
Top Goalscorer
France A. Rabiot (3 Goals) , 
Belgium D. Moreira (3 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Montenegro N. Krstovic (3 Goals)
Best assists
France A. Rabiot (2 Assists) , 
Nigeria S. Chukwueze (2 Assists)
Best assists
Italy G. Gaetano (1 Assists) , 
Poland N. Zalewski (1 Assists) , 
Macedonia E. Elmas (1 Assists) , 
Montenegro N. Krstovic (1 Assists)

AC Milan and Atalanta Stats in Serie A

AC Milan
AC Milan
Atalanta
Atalanta
50%
Wins
50%
0%
Losses
50%
50%
Draws
0%
2.67
Average goals per match
2.67
1.83
Goals scored per match
1.33
0.83
Goals conceded per match
1.33
50%
Under 2.5 goals
33%
50%
Over 2.5 goals
67%
33%
No goals conceded
17%
67%
Both score
67%

AC Milan - Atalanta Key Points

  1. Both teams have scored in four of Atalanta's last five matches
  2. Both teams have scored in three of AC's last six games
  3. There's been over 2.5 goals scored in three of AC's last five
  4. There's been over 2.5 goals scored in four of Atalanta's last five
Up to $200 to bet on AC Milan - Atalanta! 

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Our AC Milan vs Atalanta Prediction

While we'd probably edge towards the home win, we think calling a result in this one is difficult. Instead, we think both sides will find the net with at least three goals shared between the two sides. 

Our prediction for AC Milan vs Atalanta is: BTTS/Over 2.5 Goals

Prediction:

 

BTTS/Over 2.5 Goals

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.