1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction & Picks - Bundesliga

Germany - Bundesliga

1 Fsv Mainz 05
10/10/26 09:30
Bayer Leverkusen

Prediction:

 

1 Fsv Mainz 05 or X

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 by Tyler Doty | in Bundesliga Picks

On Saturday, Mainz 05 will host Bayer Leverkusen for Matchday 5 of the Bundesliga. The current standings suggest a closely contested matchup: both teams have 7 points after 4 games. Leverkusen sits in fifth place thanks to a better goal difference, with Mainz right behind in sixth.

Mainz’s recent form, in particular, makes this match interesting. The FSV has lost only one of their last 15 games and has proven to be an extremely tough opponent. Their high work rate, intense tackles, and relentless pressing make it difficult for opponents to establish a controlled rhythm against Mainz. Especially at home, this style of play is likely to be a key factor once again.

Leverkusen has a slightly stronger squad in terms of individual talent and has been among Germany’s elite for years. At the same time, the Werkself has had to cope with significant roster changes over the past two years. The new team still needs time for all their tactical routines to click. The current standings underscore just how closely matched these two teams are: both teams have 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss. Mainz has a goal difference of 10–6, while Leverkusen’s is 10–5.

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1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
5 Bayer Leverkusen
7 4 2 1 1 +5
6 1 Fsv Mainz 05
7 4 2 1 1 +4

1 Fsv Mainz 05 and Bayer Leverkusen Latest Matches

1 Fsv Mainz 05
1 Fsv Mainz 05 Latest matches
W W D W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
3.5 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Sep 19, 2026 - Bundesliga

Mönchengladbach
3 :  4
1 Fsv Mainz 05

Sep 12, 2026 - Bundesliga

1 Fsv Mainz 05
1 :  3
Eintracht Frankfurt

Sep 6, 2026 - Bundesliga

Hamburg
0 :  5
1 Fsv Mainz 05

Aug 29, 2026 - Bundesliga

1 Fsv Mainz 05
0 :  0
Paderborn

Aug 23, 2026 - DFB Pokal

VfB 1921 Krieschow
0 :  9
1 Fsv Mainz 05

Aug 15, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

1 Fsv Mainz 05
2 :  1
Bournemouth
W D W W D L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Sep 12, 2026 - Bundesliga

1 Fsv Mainz 05
1 :  3
Eintracht Frankfurt

Aug 29, 2026 - Bundesliga

1 Fsv Mainz 05
0 :  0
Paderborn

Aug 15, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

1 Fsv Mainz 05
2 :  1
Bournemouth

Aug 8, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

1 Fsv Mainz 05
4 :  0
Paris FC

Aug 1, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

1 Fsv Mainz 05
3 :  3
Udinese

Jul 31, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

1 Fsv Mainz 05
1 :  0
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

6.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
5.5 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Sep 19, 2026 - Bundesliga

Mönchengladbach
3 :  4
1 Fsv Mainz 05

Sep 6, 2026 - Bundesliga

Hamburg
0 :  5
1 Fsv Mainz 05

Aug 23, 2026 - DFB Pokal

VfB 1921 Krieschow
0 :  9
1 Fsv Mainz 05

Jul 4, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

TSG Pfeddersheim
0 :  11
1 Fsv Mainz 05

May 16, 2026 - Bundesliga

Heidenheim
0 :  2
1 Fsv Mainz 05

May 3, 2026 - Bundesliga

St. Pauli
1 :  2
1 Fsv Mainz 05
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen Latest matches
W L W D W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Sep 20, 2026 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen
2 :  0
Leipzig

Sep 16, 2026 - Europa League

Bayer Leverkusen
2 :  0
NK Celje

Sep 12, 2026 - Bundesliga

Augsburg
2 :  2
Bayer Leverkusen

Sep 5, 2026 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen
4 :  0
Union Berlin

Aug 29, 2026 - Bundesliga

Spvgg Elversberg
3 :  2
Bayer Leverkusen

Aug 22, 2026 - DFB Pokal

Wehen Wiesbaden
0 :  4
Bayer Leverkusen
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
17% BTTS
2.83 Goals scored
0.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Sep 20, 2026 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen
2 :  0
Leipzig

Sep 16, 2026 - Europa League

Bayer Leverkusen
2 :  0
NK Celje

Sep 5, 2026 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen
4 :  0
Union Berlin

Aug 8, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Bayer Leverkusen
2 :  1
Sevilla

Aug 1, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Bayer Leverkusen
3 :  0
Rot-Weiss Essen

Jul 29, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Bayer Leverkusen
4 :  0
Genk
W L W W L D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

Sep 12, 2026 - Bundesliga

Augsburg
2 :  2
Bayer Leverkusen

Aug 29, 2026 - Bundesliga

Spvgg Elversberg
3 :  2
Bayer Leverkusen

Aug 22, 2026 - DFB Pokal

Wehen Wiesbaden
0 :  4
Bayer Leverkusen

Aug 15, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Newcastle
1 :  2
Bayer Leverkusen

Aug 12, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Nottingham Forest
2 :  1
Bayer Leverkusen

Jul 25, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Offenbacher FC Kickers 1901
1 :  3
Bayer Leverkusen

1 Fsv Mainz 05 against Bayer Leverkusen : Head to Head (H2H)

1 Fsv Mainz 05

0 %

Draw

33 %

Bayer Leverkusen

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.33
Total goals
66.67%
BTTS
1.17
Goals scored
2.17
Goals conceded
66.67%
Over 2.5
33.33%
Under 2.5

Feb 28, 2026 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen
1 :  1
1 Fsv Mainz 05

Oct 18, 2025 - Bundesliga

1 Fsv Mainz 05
3 :  4
Bayer Leverkusen

May 17, 2025 - Bundesliga

1 Fsv Mainz 05
2 :  2
Bayer Leverkusen

Jan 14, 2025 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen
1 :  0
1 Fsv Mainz 05

Feb 23, 2024 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen
2 :  1
1 Fsv Mainz 05

Sep 30, 2023 - Bundesliga

1 Fsv Mainz 05
0 :  3
Bayer Leverkusen
1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen Picks

Bayer Leverkusen v 1 Fsv Mainz 05 last Lineups

1 Fsv Mainz 05

Formation : 3 - 3 - 2 - 2

1
A. Schwolow
4
S. Posch
3
F. Gruber
48
K. Potulski
19
A. Caci
6
K. Sano
2
P. Mwene
10
N. Amiri
7
L. Jae-sung
23
S. Becker
9
P. Tietz
14
P. Schick
9
A. Moreira
30
I. Maza
19
M. Diaby
24
A. Garcia
6
E. Fernandez
3
M. Gutierrez
2
F. Medina
12
E. Tapsoba
4
J. Quansah
1
M. Flekken

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Bayer Leverkusen

Substitutes

1 Fsv Mainz 05
1 Fsv Mainz 05
Goalkeeper

M. Kinzig

Defender

D. da Costa

S. Bell

R. Nakuzola

Midfielder

L. Maloney

E. Martel

O. Ruoppi

Forward

B. Hollerbach

R. Konigsdorffer

Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
Goalkeeper

J. Blaswich

Defender

L. Bade

L. Vazquez

Midfielder

M. Tillman

J. Hofmann

R. Andrich

Forward

C. Kofane

V. Boniface

M. Terrier

Missing players

1 Fsv Mainz 05
1 Fsv Mainz 05
Goalkeeper

R. Zentner

Defender

S. Widmer

A. Caci

F. Gruber

Midfielder

D. Kohr

P. Nebel

O. Ruoppi

Forward

S. Katompa Mvumpa

Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
Defender

G. Doue

Midfielder

K. Eichhorn

Forward

M. Culbreath

C. Kofane

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato 1 Fsv Mainz 05
CD Huachipato Bayer Leverkusen
Top Goalscorer
Germany P. Tietz (4 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Czech Republic P. Schick (4 Goals)
Best assists
Suriname S. Becker (3 Assists)
Best assists
Spain M. Gutierrez (3 Assists)

1 Fsv Mainz 05 and Bayer Leverkusen Stats in Bundesliga

1 Fsv Mainz 05
1 Fsv Mainz 05
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
50%
Wins
50%
25%
Losses
25%
25%
Draws
25%
4
Average goals per match
3.75
2.5
Goals scored per match
2.5
1.5
Goals conceded per match
1.25
25%
Under 2.5 goals
25%
75%
Over 2.5 goals
75%
50%
No goals conceded
50%
50%
Both score
50%

1 Fsv Mainz 05 - Bayer Leverkusen Key Points

  1. Mainz 05 have lost only 1 of their last 15 games
  2. Both teams have 7 points after 4 Bundesliga matchdays
  3. Their last head-to-head match ended in a 1-1 draw
  4. Bayer Leverkusen continues to undergo a major roster shakeup
Up to $250 to bet on 1 Fsv Mainz 05 - Bayer Leverkusen! 

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Our 1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction

We’re expecting a close and intense Bundesliga match in which both teams have a realistic chance of earning 3 points. The stats  so far show just how little separates Mainz and Leverkusen.

On paper, Leverkusen has the stronger roster and boasts outstanding individual talent in many positions. If the Werkself plays to their full potential, they'll be among the most dangerous teams in the Bundesliga. But that’s precisely where the challenge lies: Mainz is extremely difficult to beat right now. The hosts will try to disrupt Leverkusen’s build-up play through hard work, tackles, and aggressive pressing. At the same time, we expect chances for both sides, as both teams have already shown their scoring threat in the first few weeks.

Given the home-field advantage, Mainz’s strong long-term record, and their resilience, we consider it unlikely that the home side will lose this match.

Our Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction: Double Chance: Mainz/Draw

Prediction:

 

1 Fsv Mainz 05 or X

-150
$250 offered for betting!

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.