Spain vs. Germany: Women’s Euro 2025 Semifinal Preview, Odds & Prediction

Spain and Germany clash today, July 23 in the Women's Euro 2025 second semifinal in Zurich. The hotly-awaited game brings together the current world champions in Spain against a side from Germany with unbeatable European credentials. While Germany has the early advantage from the past, form dictates Spain at the moment as they head into the meeting as the clear favourite in the bookies.

Spain's Form: Unstoppable Momentum

Spain have been the most dominant team in the championship thus far by winning the four games by a 16-3 cumulative score. Their most recent success was in the quarterfinals in the form of a 2-0 triumph over Switzerland by which they dominated ball possession and set the rhythm. The Spanish team has scored four times on average in every game and conceded a mere three in the entire lot in providing depth on the offensive side and strength on the defense side.

Alexia Putellas has been the catalyst in the Spanish assault. She has scored three times and has had four assists in the tournament and has been a threat at large from open play and set pieces. Esther González has provided finishing punch up front, and midfield players Aitana Bonmatí and Clàudia Pina have created more chances at the back.

Spanish play by pressing and ball movement at lightning speed has been intimidating all the opponents till now. They have covered the -1 goal spread in all the games played and won all the games by two or more goals.

Germany's Challenge: Underdogs with Grit

Germany's passage into the semifinal has been more tumultuous. Having finished up second in the group after losing 4-1 against Sweden, they went through a pulsating quarterfinal against France which ended 1-1 after extra time and was won on penalties. With ten players on the field from the 13th minute as a red card was shown, the grit demonstrated by Germany was appreciated but at the same time spoke volumes about weaknesses as well.

Defensively, Germany are short-handed. Center-back Kathrin Hendrich is suspended, while key fullbacks Giulia Gwinn and Sarai Linder are unavailable due to injuries. Their back line will rely heavily on untested options against one of the most potent attacks in the tournament.

In attack, Lea Schüller and Klara Bühl are Germany's most likely scoring threats, but service has been inconsistent. The midfield pairing of Sara Däbritz and Janina Minge must absorb pressure and transition quickly to generate chances.

Head-to-Head

Germany have historically dominated Spain in women's competition, with five wins and three draws in eight meetings. However, Spain's rapid rise in recent years has closed the gap. This will be the first time these teams face off in a knockout Euro match, and the stakes could not be higher.

Betting Odds (via Caesars Sportsbook)

• Moneyline: Spain -200, Germany +500, Draw +340
• Spread: Spain -1 (-110), Germany +1 (-110)
• Over/Under (2.5 goals): Over -175, Under +135
• To Advance: Spain -450, Germany +333

Spain are heavy favorites to win in regulation, and even more so to advance. The goal spread reflects expectations of at least a one-goal margin for Spain, who have comfortably covered that in every game so far. The Over 2.5 goals market is juiced, suggesting confidence in a high-scoring affair.

Find more odds and lines with Caesars

Player Props

• First Goal Scorer: Esther González +450, Aitana Bonmatí +550, Alexia Putellas +700, Lea Schüller (Germany) +800
• Anytime Goal Scorer: Putellas +200, Pina +225, Schüller +300

One popular prop is Putellas to either score or assist, which is trading near even money. González, as Spain's central forward, remains the most likely candidate to break the deadlock, while Bonmatí's dynamic midfield play makes her a strong secondary option.

For Germany, Schüller leads their scoring market but will need better service to be a factor. Bühl and Däbritz are longer shots with potential value if Germany can counter effectively or find set-piece opportunities.

Prediction

Spain enter this match with superior form, tactical cohesion, and squad health. Their midfield should control possession, and their attacking depth is likely to break down a weakened German defense. Germany may keep it close early, but will struggle to maintain their shape over 90 minutes without key starters.

Prediction: Spain 2, Germany 0.

Spain -1 at -110 is a strong play, and their -200 moneyline is likely to close even shorter. Total goals lean Over, but given Spain's tendency to shut down games once ahead, the Under 3.5 may offer better value at adjusted odds. For props, González to score first and Putellas to record a goal or assist are well-priced options.

Spain are expected to control the pace, capitalize on Germany's defensive gaps, and secure a spot in the final without needing extra time or penalties.