Phoenix Open Best Bets and Outrights
by Bradley Gibbs | by Bradley Gibbs
Phoenix Open tournament info
The Phoenix Open will begin on Thursday, February 5th, ending on Sunday, February 8th. If you’re looking to watch the action, you can do so by tuning into ESPN+.
For many years, the Phoenix Open has been a fixture on the PGA Tour calendar, and for many, this is where the season really starts. Having previously been played at Phoenix Country Club, the event now takes place at TPC Scottsdale, which has been the host course since 1987.
To win at TPC Scottsdale you need to do two things: 1. Be very accurate on approach. 2. Be a super solid putter. Being long off the tee isn’t as big of an advantage as it is at some other venues, while scrambling isn’t too critical either. Gaining strokes on approach to set up the scoring opportunities and then being hot with the putter is the recipe for success in Phoenix, little else matters.
What does the betting market say?
In a hugely unsurprising turn of events, the main man Scottie Scheffler, who so far has a 100% record in 2026, is a heavy favorite to get the job done in Phoenix. We’ve well and truly reached the point where if Scottie is in the field, then you can guarantee that he’s a huge favorite.
Phoenix Open pre-tournament betting market from our top sportsbooks:
Scottie Scheffler +250
Xander Schauffele +1600
Cameron Young +2000
Si Woo Kim +2200
Hideki Matsuyama +2500
Maverick McNealy +3300
Sam Burns +3300
Ben Griffin +3300
Viktor Hovland +3300
All other players +4000 or bigger.
Having looked at the odds on offer and dived into some data, it’s time to highlight my idea of value bets ahead of this week’s action. For more betting suggestions, check out all our upcoming sports betting picks.
Rickie Fowler to Win/Top 10 Finish: +4500 & +320 with FanDuel
Listen, if Scheffler turns up, he probably wins this, let’s be honest. However, his inclusion in this field leaves some very decent players to be priced bigger than they would be otherwise, so in the hope that the world number one has a rare poor week, I’m looking elsewhere, starting with Ricky Fowler.
It’s absolutely fair to say that Ricky Fowler never really lived up to the lofty standards that he set very early on during his career, but on his day, the Californian is still a serious player.
The 37-year-old also knows all about raising his game at TPC Scottsdale, winning this event back in 2019. He also has three additional top-five finishes at this event, finishing in a tie for 10th back in 2023 too.
I also must conclude that Fowler has his game in decent shape, rounding off the 2025 season with T6 and T5 finishes at the Fedex St. Jude Championship and BMW Championship, before returning for 2026 with a decent T18 finish at the American Express at the end of January.
Better still, in recent times, Fowler has been something of an approach demon, ranking third in the field for strokes gained: approach across the last eight events. I like that stat.
An in-form Fowler can quite simply be a bigger danger than the early odds suggest, so he’s top of my list of bigger-priced players to take a swing at, both for the win and top-ten finish.
Place PGA Tour bets with FanDuel
Daniel Berger to Win/Top 10 Finish: +5500 & +450 with FanDuel
For my money, Daniel Berger can easily do much better than the early odds suggest this week. After all, this is a player who finished second at this event last year, and that was no fluke, with Berger posting four top-tens at this event since 2015.
The 32-year-old hasn’t made a bad start to the year either, making the cut in two out of two, finishing T6 at the Sony Open just a few weeks ago.
This part of the season is usually quite fruitful for Berger, while we know he enjoys the conditions at TPC Scottsdale, with the four-time PGA Tour winner posting some solid strokes gained stats at the Arizona course over the years.
Sahith Theegala Top 10 Finish/Top 20 Finish: +360 & +150 with FanDuel
At odds of +360 and +150, it’s well worth betting on Sahith Theegala to have a strong week at TPC Scottsdale.
Theegala knows how to putt, and that’s key. Some fine performances on the greens at this venue saw Theegala finish third back in 2022, while he finished fifth in 2024, so he knows how to make the flatstick work for him on these greens.
Of those in the field to have previously played more than four rounds at TPC Scottsdale since 2016, Theegala ranks as the sixth best in terms of strokes gained: putting, as well as the fifth-best for strokes gained: total. Those are some eye-catching stats.
Throw into the mix that the 28-year-old arrives in form following back-to-back top-ten finishes at the American Express and the Farmers Insurance Open and he’s well worth supporting to have a strong week.
