UEFA Nations League: Germany vs. Portugal and Spain vs. France Battle for a Spot in the Final: Who Are the Favorites?
by Tyler Doty
Germany vs. Portugal: The Hosts Look to Win in Front of Their Fans
Germany has the home-field advantage, as the country was selected to host this edition of the Nations League. That could give them a boost, but it might also bring pressure, just like in Euro 2024, when the “Die Mannschaft” were knocked out by Spain in the quarterfinals.
This is Germany’s first time reaching the Nations League semifinals, and they have a shot at claiming the title under head coach Julian Nagelsmann. The team’s form has been steadily improving throughout the tournament, and they remain unbeaten so far with five wins and three draws.
Portugal and CR7 Eye a Second Nations League Title
In what could be one of Cristiano Ronaldo’s final appearances for Portugal as he nears 40, the mission is clear: lead his country to the top once again, just as he did at Euro 2016 and in the inaugural Nations League in 2018,19.
Despite his age, CR7 is the tournament’s top scorer with six goals, making him the most impactful player in the competition so far. The Al Nassr striker, whose future remains uncertain, is just one goal away from reaching 120 career goals with the Portuguese national team, another milestone in his legendary career.
Who’s the Betting Favorite in Germany vs. Portugal?
Thanks to their home-field advantage, Germany is listed as the favorite by most sportsbooks to win this matchup and book their spot in Sunday’s final. Their unbeaten run also plays a key role; Germany hasn't lost a single game so far, while Portugal did suffer a defeat against Denmark earlier in the tournament.
For more stats and insights, our full Germany vs. Portugal prediction is already available. Below are the latest odds for Wednesday’s match:
| Market | Germany | Portugal |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -115 | +270 |
| HT Result | +135 | +310 |
| To Qualify | -220 | +176 |
Spain vs. France: A Clash Between In-Form Giants
These two teams recently met in the semifinals of Euro 2024, a match Spain won 2-1 with goals from Lamine Yamal and Dani Olmo, while Kolo Muani scored for France. Spain went on to win that tournament under head coach Luis de la Fuente.
Given their recent history and attacking talent, this semifinal promises to be an exciting, high-scoring matchup, one that fans are eagerly anticipating. Our full Spain vs. France prediction is now available with all the key details.
Real Madrid vs. Barcelona: Kylian Mbappé vs. Lamine Yamal
Two of La Liga’s biggest stars will go head-to-head once again in this semifinal matchup. It’s been a standout year for Lamine Yamal, who has won all four Clásicos across La Liga, the Copa del Rey, and the Spanish Super Cup, giving the young Spaniard the edge in this season’s head-to-head record.
But when it comes to experience, Kylian Mbappé brings plenty to the table. He’s already won a World Cup (2018) and finished as a runner-up (2022) with France. Mbappé also ranks third on France’s all-time scoring list with 48 goals, trailing only Thierry Henry (51) and Olivier Giroud (57). In his three appearances against Spain, he’s scored once and assisted twice, proving he can deliver in big moments.
Who’s Favored to Win Spain vs. France According to Betting Sites?
One major factor influencing the odds is Euro 2024, where Spain defeated France on their way to winning the tournament. As a result, sportsbooks have Spain listed as the favorite to reach the final.
Spain is currently priced at +135 to win in regular time and -150 to advance by any means (whether in 90 minutes, extra time, or penalties). France, meanwhile, sits at +210 to win outright and +122 to qualify for the final.
