USA W vs Canada W Prediction & Picks - Int. Friendly Games, Women

International - Int. Friendly Games, Women

USA W
7/2/25 19:30
Canada W

Prediction:

 

USA to win and over 3.5 goals

+388
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 by Simon Day in Soccer Picks

Old rivals the USA and Canada lock horns once again, as they face off in a prestigious women's international friendly in Washington this Wednesday. Both teams come into this matchup on the back of convincing victories in their last games. The US dismantled the Republic of Ireland 4-0, thanks to goals from Lynn Biyendolo, Emma Sears, Yazmeen Ryan, and Alyssa Thompson. Meanwhile, Canada eased to a comfortable 4-1 success over Costa Rica with Shelina Zadorsky, Holly Ward, Zara Chavoshi and Emma Regan all scoring in the final twenty minutes. 

The last two contests between the two sides have ended all square, but overall the USA have a huge 54-4 lead in the head-to-head. Canada's last victory over the US was at the 2021 Olympics, when they defeated their rivals 1-0 in the semi-finals. 

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USA W vs Canada W Form

USA W and Canada W Latest Matches

USA W
USA W Latest matches
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
17% BTTS
3 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Jun 29, 2025 - Int. Friendly Games, Women

USA W
4 :  0
Ireland W

Jun 26, 2025 - Int. Friendly Games, Women

USA W
4 :  0
Ireland W

Jun 3, 2025 - Int. Friendly Games, Women

USA W
4 :  0
Jamaica W

May 31, 2025 - Int. Friendly Games, Women

USA W
3 :  0
China W

Apr 8, 2025 - Int. Friendly Games, Women

USA W
1 :  2
Brazil W

Apr 5, 2025 - Int. Friendly Games, Women

USA W
2 :  0
Brazil W
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
17% BTTS
3 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Jun 29, 2025 - Int. Friendly Games, Women

USA W
4 :  0
Ireland W

Jun 26, 2025 - Int. Friendly Games, Women

USA W
4 :  0
Ireland W

Jun 3, 2025 - Int. Friendly Games, Women

USA W
4 :  0
Jamaica W

May 31, 2025 - Int. Friendly Games, Women

USA W
3 :  0
China W

Apr 8, 2025 - Int. Friendly Games, Women

USA W
1 :  2
Brazil W

Apr 5, 2025 - Int. Friendly Games, Women

USA W
2 :  0
Brazil W
W D W W D W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Dec 3, 2024 - Int. Friendly Games, Women

Netherlands W
1 :  2
USA W

Nov 30, 2024 - Int. Friendly Games, Women

England W
0 :  0
USA W

Aug 10, 2024 - Women's Olympic Tournament

Brazil W
0 :  1
USA W

Jul 31, 2024 - Women's Olympic Tournament

Australia W
1 :  2
USA W

Mar 6, 2024 - Women's Gold Cup

Canada W
2 :  2
USA W

Feb 23, 2024 - Women's Gold Cup

Argentina W
0 :  4
USA W
Canada W
Canada W Latest matches
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
3.5 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Jun 27, 2025 - Int. Friendly Games, Women

Canada W
4 :  1
Costa Rica W

Jun 3, 2025 - Int. Friendly Games, Women

Canada W
3 :  1
Haiti W

May 31, 2025 - Int. Friendly Games, Women

Canada W
4 :  1
Haiti W

Apr 8, 2025 - Int. Friendly Games, Women

Canada W
0 :  1
Argentina W

Apr 4, 2025 - Int. Friendly Games, Women

Canada W
3 :  0
Argentina W

Feb 25, 2025 - Pinatar Cup, Women

Canada W
7 :  0
Taiwan
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
3.5 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Jun 27, 2025 - Int. Friendly Games, Women

Canada W
4 :  1
Costa Rica W

Jun 3, 2025 - Int. Friendly Games, Women

Canada W
3 :  1
Haiti W

May 31, 2025 - Int. Friendly Games, Women

Canada W
4 :  1
Haiti W

Apr 8, 2025 - Int. Friendly Games, Women

Canada W
0 :  1
Argentina W

Apr 4, 2025 - Int. Friendly Games, Women

Canada W
3 :  0
Argentina W

Feb 25, 2025 - Pinatar Cup, Women

Canada W
7 :  0
Taiwan
D D W W W D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Oct 25, 2024 - Int. Friendly Games, Women

Spain W
1 :  1
Canada W

Jul 31, 2024 - Women's Olympic Tournament

Colombia
0 :  1
Canada W

Jul 28, 2024 - Women's Olympic Tournament

France W
1 :  2
Canada W

Jul 13, 2024 - Int. Friendly Games, Women

Australia W
1 :  2
Canada W

Apr 9, 2024 - SheBelieves Cup, Women

USA W
2 :  2
Canada W

Apr 6, 2024 - SheBelieves Cup, Women

Brazil W
1 :  1
Canada W

USA W against Canada W : Head to Head (H2H)

USA W

25 %

Draw

50 %

Canada W

25 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.5
Total goals
50%
BTTS
1.25
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.25
Goals scored (Team 2)
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

Apr 9, 2024 - SheBelieves Cup, Women

USA W
2 :  2
Canada W

Mar 6, 2024 - Women's Gold Cup

Canada W
2 :  2
USA W

Jul 18, 2022 - CONCACAF Women's Championship, Group B

USA W
1 :  0
Canada W

Aug 2, 2021 - Women's Olympic Tournament

USA W
0 :  1
Canada W

USA W - Canada W: Form Analysis

After shock defeats to Japan and Brazil in the early part of 2025, the USWNT have gone on a four game winning run, scoring 15 goals without reply. Since Emma Hayes took over as head coach last year, the US have won 11 of their 13 matches. That run includes a 100% record at the 2024 Olympics, as the US swept to their first gold medal since 2012. 

Canada hitting their stride

Since losing on penalties to Germany in the quarter finals of last year's Olympics, Canada have put together an impressive run of seven wins, three draws and just one defeat. However, it is worth bearing in mind that the majority of their games over the last 12 months have been against relatively weak opponents such as Haiti, Chinese Taipei and Costa Rica. Wednesday's match in Washington will easily be the toughest test of the year for Casey Stoney's side. 

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USA W & Canada W Squad Analysis

Emma Hayes is likely to field a full strength starting eleven after resting several key players for the victory over the Republic of Ireland. Defender Izzy Rodriguez and central midfielder Sam Meza made their debuts in that game, but are likely to be on the bench on Wednesday evening. That game against Ireland saw Lynn Biyendolo captain the side for the first time, an occasion that the forward marked with a goal and a fine all round display. 

Canada to ring the changes

Despite winning 4-1, coach Casey Stoney was unimpressed with Canada's overall performance against Costa Rica. As such, she will probably make wholesale changes to her starting lineup as the team builds towards the 2027 World Cup. Mimi Alidou was one player who emerged from the Costa Rica game with credit and is likely to earn a start against the US.  The midfielder won a penalty after coming off the bench and caused plenty of problems with her direct running. 

USA W - Canada W Key Points

  1. USA have won their last 4 games without conceding a goal
  2. Canada have gone 4 games without a clean sheet
  3. USA have lost just 1 of their last 18 games against Canada
  4. USA have scored in 20 of their last 21 matches against Canada
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Our USA W vs Canada W Prediction

The USA are purring at the minute, and whilst Canada have produced some solid results in recent games, we've not been overly convinced by their performances. They were very fortunate to defeat Costa Rica 4-1, whilst their two victories over a very weak Haiti side were also less than impressive. Wednesday's game represents a huge step up in class, and we simply can't see the Canadians being able to cope with the pace and flair of the US team. Not only do we think the US will win this one, we also think they will score plenty of goals in the process. Our prediction for USA vs Canada is: USA to win and over 3.5 goals.

Prediction:

 

USA to win and over 3.5 goals

+388
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USA W vs Canada W - Other Interesting Picks

Alyssa Thompson first goalscorer

Odds +600
Attacking midfielder Alyssa Thompson got on the scoresheet against Ireland and produced a hugely impressive all round display. She is playing some excellent football at the moment and is widely expected to get a starting spot against Canada. If that happens, we really like her chances of opening the scoring.
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$150 available for USA W vs Canada W

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

USA W vs Canada W Picks
Up to $150 to bet on USA W - Canada W! 

Limited Offer. Currently at FanDuel