Toronto Blue Jays vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
8/20/25 12:35
Pittsburgh Pirates

Prediction:

 

The Blue Jays -1.5 Runs

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 by Lou Aguila in MLB Picks

The Pittsburgh Pirates and the Toronto Blue Jays are set for a rubber match on Wednesday after going 1-1 in the first two games of their series at PNC Park.

The Blue Jays evened the series at 1-1 as Max Scherzer dominated his duel with Max Keller, surrendering one earned run over six innings to help his team secure a 7-3 win on Tuesday. Toronto (74-53) nabbed its third win in five games, but more importantly, this victory has given them a five-game cushion on the trailing New York Yankees (68-57) in the AL East title race.

Meanwhile, the Pirates suffered their third loss in four games following another subpar stint by Mitch Keller. Keller, who surrendered six earned runs in a 5-12 loss to the Brewers several days ago, gave up five earned runs in 3.1 innings against the Blue Jays. The Pirates are 53-76 this season – last in the NL Central.

Toronto Blue Jays vs Pittsburgh Pirates Form

Table

Teams % P W L
3
Toronto Blue Jays
Toronto Blue Jays
0.583 127 74 53
27
Pittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh Pirates
0.417 127 53 74

Toronto Blue Jays and Pittsburgh Pirates Latest Matches

Toronto Blue Jays
Toronto Blue Jays Latest matches
W W W L L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Aug 19, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
7 :  3
Pittsburgh Pirates

Aug 18, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
2 :  5
Pittsburgh Pirates

Aug 17, 2025 - MLB

Texas Rangers
10 :  4
Toronto Blue Jays

Aug 16, 2025 - MLB

Texas Rangers
2 :  14
Toronto Blue Jays

Aug 15, 2025 - MLB

Texas Rangers
5 :  6
Toronto Blue Jays

Aug 14, 2025 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
1 :  2
Toronto Blue Jays
W L W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Aug 17, 2025 - MLB

Texas Rangers
10 :  4
Toronto Blue Jays

Aug 16, 2025 - MLB

Texas Rangers
2 :  14
Toronto Blue Jays

Aug 15, 2025 - MLB

Texas Rangers
5 :  6
Toronto Blue Jays

Aug 14, 2025 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
1 :  2
Toronto Blue Jays

Aug 13, 2025 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
4 :  1
Toronto Blue Jays

Aug 12, 2025 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
1 :  5
Toronto Blue Jays
W L L W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Aug 19, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
7 :  3
Pittsburgh Pirates

Aug 18, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
2 :  5
Pittsburgh Pirates

Aug 10, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
5 :  4
Los Angeles Dodgers

Aug 9, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
1 :  9
Los Angeles Dodgers

Aug 8, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
1 :  5
Los Angeles Dodgers

Aug 6, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
20 :  1
Colorado Rockies
Pittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh Pirates Latest matches
L W L L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Aug 19, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
7 :  3
Pittsburgh Pirates

Aug 18, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
2 :  5
Pittsburgh Pirates

Aug 17, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
3 :  4
Chicago Cubs

Aug 16, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
1 :  3
Chicago Cubs

Aug 15, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
3 :  2
Chicago Cubs

Aug 13, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
5 :  12
Milwaukee Brewers
W W L L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Aug 19, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
7 :  3
Pittsburgh Pirates

Aug 18, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
2 :  5
Pittsburgh Pirates

Aug 10, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
14 :  8
Pittsburgh Pirates

Aug 9, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
2 :  1
Pittsburgh Pirates

Aug 8, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
2 :  3
Pittsburgh Pirates

Aug 7, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
0 :  7
Pittsburgh Pirates
L L L W L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Aug 17, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
3 :  4
Chicago Cubs

Aug 16, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
1 :  3
Chicago Cubs

Aug 15, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
3 :  2
Chicago Cubs

Aug 13, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
5 :  12
Milwaukee Brewers

Aug 12, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
0 :  14
Milwaukee Brewers

Aug 11, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
1 :  7
Milwaukee Brewers

Toronto Blue Jays against Pittsburgh Pirates : Head to Head (H2H)

Toronto Blue Jays

50 %

Pittsburgh Pirates

50 %

Aug 19, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
7 :  3
Pittsburgh Pirates

Aug 18, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
2 :  5
Pittsburgh Pirates

Mar 23, 2025 - MLB Spring Training

Pittsburgh Pirates
1 :  2
Toronto Blue Jays

Mar 5, 2025 - MLB Spring Training

Toronto Blue Jays
6 :  7
Pittsburgh Pirates

Jun 1, 2024 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
8 :  1
Toronto Blue Jays

Feb 26, 2024 - MLB Spring Training

Pittsburgh Pirates
4 :  8
Toronto Blue Jays

Toronto Blue Jays - Pittsburgh Pirates Key Points

  1. Toronto is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games against Pittsburgh.
  2. Toronto is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh.
  3. Pittsburgh is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games.
  4. Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games against an opponent in the American League.

Our Toronto Blue Jays vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction

Forecast: The Blue Jays take the series with another offensive explosion in Game 3.

The Blue Jays are averaging almost seven runs a game (6.9 runs per contest) in their last five games. On Tuesday, Toronto showed how deadly they can be, especially if they get hot early. Chris Bassitt, the scheduled starter on Wednesday, is only 2-3 with a 5.68 ERA in his last five starts, though he has won his last three starts against the Pirates, yielding an average of 1.0 runs per start.

The Pirates will be starting a solid hurler in Braxton Aschcraft, who sports a 2-1 record with a 1.59 ERA in his three starts with the Pirates this season. But no matter how good Aschcraft would pitch in Game 3, it all boils down to how many runs they can score against the Blue Jays. In that case, it looks like the Pirates may not have that much chance to win this series because of their erratic offense. Pittsburgh only averaged 3.1 runs per game in their last five games. At PNC Park, the Pirates are also scoring 3.1 runs per game on a .214 BA this season.

Our betting prediction for the Pittsburgh Pirates vs. the Toronto Blue Jays: Blue Jays will cover -1.5 Runs.

Prediction:

 

The Blue Jays -1.5 Runs

+112
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Toronto Blue Jays vs Pittsburgh Pirates Picks