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by Lou Aguila in MLB Picks
The Boston Red Sox will try to continue their mastery over the Tampa Bay Rays in Sunday’s series finale at Fenway Park.
The Red Sox seek a four-game sweep of the Rays after outpitching them in the first three games. Leaning on their terrific pitching that merited them a 1.60 ERA in their last five games, Boston has limited a top-10 offense to only seven runs in 27 innings pitched in the series so far. Outfielder Ceddanne Rafaela also came out clutch, driving in the game-winning run in both Game 1 and Game 2.
The Rays have lost 9 of their first 11 games in July, causing them to fall to the No.4 spot in the brutally competitive American League East standings with a 50-46 record. Averaging 4.8 runs per game in the season, Tampa Bay’s offensive numbers have dropped to 3.2 runs per game in their last five games. Although the Rays are still pitching a respectable 3.70 ERA, home runs have been rare for Tampa Bay in this stretch, as they only average 0.8 homers per game.
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Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox Form
Table
| Teams | % | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
12
|
0.536 | 97 | 52 | 45 |
|
14
|
0.521 | 96 | 50 | 46 |
Tampa Bay Rays and Boston Red Sox Latest Matches
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Jul 12, 2025 - MLB
Jul 11, 2025 - MLB
Jul 10, 2025 - MLB
Jul 9, 2025 - MLB
Jul 8, 2025 - MLB
Jul 7, 2025 - MLB
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Jul 2, 2025 - MLB
Jul 1, 2025 - MLB
Jun 30, 2025 - MLB
Jun 22, 2025 - MLB
Jun 21, 2025 - MLB
Jun 20, 2025 - MLB
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Jul 12, 2025 - MLB
Jul 11, 2025 - MLB
Jul 10, 2025 - MLB
Jul 9, 2025 - MLB
Jul 8, 2025 - MLB
Jul 7, 2025 - MLB
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
Jul 12, 2025 - MLB
Jul 11, 2025 - MLB
Jul 10, 2025 - MLB
Jul 9, 2025 - MLB
Jul 8, 2025 - MLB
Jul 7, 2025 - MLB
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
Jul 12, 2025 - MLB
Jul 11, 2025 - MLB
Jul 10, 2025 - MLB
Jul 9, 2025 - MLB
Jul 8, 2025 - MLB
Jul 7, 2025 - MLB
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Jul 6, 2025 - MLB
Jul 5, 2025 - MLB
Jul 4, 2025 - MLB
Jun 25, 2025 - MLB
Jun 24, 2025 - MLB
Jun 23, 2025 - MLB
Tampa Bay Rays against Boston Red Sox : Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
83 %
Jul 12, 2025 - MLB
Jul 11, 2025 - MLB
Jul 10, 2025 - MLB
Jun 11, 2025 - MLB
Jun 10, 2025 - MLB
Jun 9, 2025 - MLB
Tampa Bay Rays - Boston Red Sox Key Points
- Boston is 6-0 SU in its last 6 games at home.
- Boston is 9-0 SU in its last 9 games.
- Tampa Bay is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games.
- Tampa Bay is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road.
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Our Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction
Why should you pick the Red Sox to win? – Boston is heavily favored to sweep the series based on the trends ahead of Sunday’s finale. Boston is 9-0 SU in its last 9 games and 6-0 SU in its last 6 games at home. They have also been undefeated in the last 5 home games against the Rays. The Red Sox tap Brayan Bello to start in Game 4. Bello is coming off a terrific start, striking out 10 batters and allowing 2 earned runs over 9 innings in a 10-2 win against the Rockies on July 8. He will face off against Rays starter Ryan Pepiot, who has lost two of his last three starts. Tampa Bay is 0-3 in Pepiot’s last 3 starts versus the Red Sox.
Our betting prediction for the Boston Red Sox vs. the Tampa Bay Rays: the Red Sox will win.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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