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by Lou Aguila in Tennis Picks
Jannik Sinner of Italy will go for another final appearance on Saturday against Alex De Minaur of Australia in the semifinal of the 2025 Erste Bank Vienna Open.
Current Form:
Sinner extended his win streak to six matches, including three wins at the 2025 Six Kings Slam, after downing Alexander Bublik in straight sets 6-4, 6-4. Sinner played efficiently throughout the match, winning 93 percent of his first serves to hold all his service games and breaking the Kazakh twice on 27 return points. Sinner has upped his career win rate in indoor matches to 79.8 percent.
De Minaur improved to 10-1 in indoor hard-court matches this year following a 6-1, 7-6 win over Matteo Berrettini of Italy in the quarterfinals. Despite some late-match hiccups, De Minaur got the job done by winning 73 percent of his first serves and breaking the Italian four times. The Aussie gets another chance to crack the Sinner code after falling to the Italian in their last 11 head-to-head matches. De Minaur lost to Sinner in three sets 6-3, 4-6, 6-2 in the semifinal of the 2025 China Open three weeks ago.
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Jannik Sinner vs Alex De Minaur Form
Jannik Sinner and Alex De Minaur Latest Matches
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
Oct 24, 2025 - ATP Vienna
Oct 23, 2025 - ATP Vienna
Oct 22, 2025 - ATP Vienna
Oct 18, 2025 - Six King Slam
Oct 16, 2025 - Six King Slam
Oct 15, 2025 - Six King Slam
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Oct 24, 2025 - ATP Vienna
Oct 22, 2025 - ATP Vienna
Oct 20, 2025 - ATP Vienna
Oct 10, 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Oct 8, 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Oct 6, 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Jannik Sinner against Alex De Minaur : Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
Sep 30, 2025 - ATP Beijing Open
Jan 22, 2025 - ATP Australian Open
Nov 23, 2024 - Davis Cup
Nov 10, 2024 - ATP Finals
Feb 18, 2024 - ATP Rotterdam
Nov 26, 2023 - Davis Cup
Jannik Sinner - Alex De Minaur Key Points
- Alex De Minaur defeated Matteo Berrettini 6-1, 7-6 in the quarterfinals of the 2025 Erste Bank Open.
- Alex De Minaur is 10-1 in indoor matches in 2025.
- Jannik Sinner is 11-0 head-to-head against Alex De Minaur.
- Jannik Sinner defeated Alexander Bublik 6-4, 6-4 in the quarterfinals of the 2025 Erste Bank Open.
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Our Jannik Sinner vs Alex De Minaur Prediction
Fearless Forecast: Jannik Sinner will still win this duel, but I expect Alex De Minaur to push him to the limit once again. Sinner defeated Bublik in straight sets on Friday, yet Bublik managed to win 8 games against the Italian. De Minaur is a lot better player than Bublik, and his 10-1 record in indoor matches this year makes him a formidable opponent even for the former world’s No.1. Like what happened in Shanghai, Sinner starts strong before De Minaur counters with an inspired effort in the second set. In the end, Sinner’s big-game experience will make all the difference. I have Sinner winning 6-4, 4-6, 7-5.
Our betting prediction for Jannik Sinner vs. Alex De Minaur: Alex De Minaur +3.5 Games
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