Serghei Spivac vs Waldo Cortes Acosta Prediction & Picks - UFC #316

UFC - UFC #316

Serghei Spivac
6/7/25 21:00
Waldo Cortes Acosta

Prediction:

 

Waldo Cortes Acosta to win by decision.

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 by Stephen Abiola | in UFC Picks

Serghei Spivac (17-5-0) and Waldo Cortes-Acosta (13-1-0) will clash in a UFC heavyweight fight on Saturday at the Prudential Center in Newark, NJ. Spivac will enter the Octagon looking to bounce back from his painful loss against Jailton Almeida at UFC 311 in January this year. The "Polar Bear" wasn't at his usual best, losing the fight in the first round after a dangerous KO punch. He will be looking to engage his opponent much more this weekend and take the fight to the floor where he's most dangerous.

Waldo Cortes-Acosta, on the other hand, is the in-form fighter in this matchup. He will be fighting to make it five wins on the bounce, his longest winning streak since joining the UFC in May 2019. Most critics praise "Salsa Boy" for his fluid boxing skills, helping him maintain a safe distance while showing his opponents with dangerous strikes. Cortes-Acosta will know that he must stay on his feet and break away from Spivac's clinch to clinch the win on Saturday night.

Serghei Spivac - Waldo Cortes Acosta Key Points

  1. Serghei Spivac lost two of his last three assignments.
  2. Cortes-Acosta won four of his last five assignments.
  3. The total rounds went under 2.5 in the last seven Serghei Spivac fights.
  4. Cortes-Acosta has four decision wins in his seven UFC victories.

Our Serghei Spivac vs Waldo Cortes Acosta Prediction

Serghei Spivac is a takedown machine and can easily win if he imposes himself on Acosta. He averages 4.56 takedowns every 15 minutes, with an impressive success rate of 65%. This could help him neutralize Waldo's boxing prowess and close the distance early. However, Acosta is decent in his takedown defense (66%) and can complicate things for Serghei.

The Dominican will use this to stay on his feet and throw many punches. He averages 5.76 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 3.47. His opponent is an inferior striker, averaging 3.49 significant strikes per minute. Overall, the numbers favor Aldo if he avoids the mat.

Our prediction for Serghei Spivac vs Waldo Cortes Acosta: Waldo Cortes Acosta to win by decision.

Prediction:

 

Waldo Cortes Acosta to win by decision.

+600
$1500 offered for betting!

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Serghei Spivac vs Waldo Cortes Acosta Picks