San Diego Padres vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

San Diego Padres
5/3/25 16:05
Pittsburgh Pirates

Prediction:

 

Over 8.5

-122
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 by Carlos Zabala in MLB Picks

The Padres and Pirates kicked off a weekend series with San Diego earning their 20th win of the season. The Padres had a minor offensive lapse weeks ago, which was corrected, among other things, with the return of Arraez from his injury. The Venezuelan Padres first baseman went 3-for-5 with 3 RBIs in Friday's win at PNC Park.

In Game 1, the Padres went 14-for-38 to win 9-4 over the Pirates. It was a game the Padres had been favored by the betting teams at -135 odds. The game ended up being an OVER Game Total, just like eight of the last ten games between San Diego and Pittsburgh.

Randy Vazquez is certainly the weakest link in the Padres' starting rotation. He's 1-3 this season and has lost his last two starts. But he'll have a close pitching duel Saturday as Pirates pitcher Falter puts up similar numbers, with a higher ERA of 5.93.

San Diego Padres vs Pittsburgh Pirates Form

Table

Teams % P W L
3
San Diego Padres
San Diego Padres
0.645 31 20 11
28
Pittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh Pirates
0.364 33 12 21

San Diego Padres and Pittsburgh Pirates Latest Matches

San Diego Padres
San Diego Padres Latest matches
L L L W W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

May 2, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
9 :  4
Pittsburgh Pirates

Apr 30, 2025 - MLB

San Francisco Giants
3 :  5
San Diego Padres

Apr 29, 2025 - MLB

San Francisco Giants
4 :  7
San Diego Padres

Apr 27, 2025 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
4 :  2
San Diego Padres

Apr 26, 2025 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
4 :  1
San Diego Padres

Apr 25, 2025 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
1 :  0
San Diego Padres
L L L L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Apr 30, 2025 - MLB

San Francisco Giants
3 :  5
San Diego Padres

Apr 29, 2025 - MLB

San Francisco Giants
4 :  7
San Diego Padres

Apr 27, 2025 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
4 :  2
San Diego Padres

Apr 26, 2025 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
4 :  1
San Diego Padres

Apr 25, 2025 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
1 :  0
San Diego Padres

Apr 16, 2025 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
2 :  4
San Diego Padres
L W L W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

May 2, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
9 :  4
Pittsburgh Pirates

Apr 23, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
0 :  6
Detroit Tigers

Apr 22, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
2 :  0
Detroit Tigers

Apr 21, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
4 :  6
Detroit Tigers

Apr 20, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
3 :  2
Houston Astros

Apr 19, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
2 :  3
Houston Astros
Pittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh Pirates Latest matches
L L L W L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

May 2, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
9 :  4
Pittsburgh Pirates

May 1, 2025 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
8 :  3
Pittsburgh Pirates

Apr 30, 2025 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
3 :  4
Pittsburgh Pirates

Apr 29, 2025 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
9 :  0
Pittsburgh Pirates

Apr 27, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
2 :  9
Los Angeles Dodgers

Apr 26, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
4 :  8
Los Angeles Dodgers
L L L W L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

May 2, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
9 :  4
Pittsburgh Pirates

May 1, 2025 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
8 :  3
Pittsburgh Pirates

Apr 30, 2025 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
3 :  4
Pittsburgh Pirates

Apr 29, 2025 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
9 :  0
Pittsburgh Pirates

Apr 20, 2025 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
5 :  4
Pittsburgh Pirates

Apr 19, 2025 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
3 :  0
Pittsburgh Pirates
W W L W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Apr 27, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
2 :  9
Los Angeles Dodgers

Apr 26, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
4 :  8
Los Angeles Dodgers

Apr 25, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
3 :  0
Los Angeles Dodgers

Apr 24, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
3 :  4
Los Angeles Angels

Apr 23, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
3 :  0
Los Angeles Angels

Apr 22, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
9 :  3
Los Angeles Angels

San Diego Padres against Pittsburgh Pirates : Head to Head (H2H)

San Diego Padres

100 %

Pittsburgh Pirates

0 %

May 2, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
9 :  4
Pittsburgh Pirates

Aug 14, 2024 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
2 :  8
San Diego Padres

Aug 13, 2024 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
0 :  3
San Diego Padres

Aug 12, 2024 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
1 :  2
San Diego Padres

Aug 8, 2024 - MLB

San Diego Padres
7 :  6
Pittsburgh Pirates

Aug 7, 2024 - MLB

San Diego Padres
9 :  8
Pittsburgh Pirates

San Diego Padres - Pittsburgh Pirates Key Points

  1. Tatis and Arraez both hitting over .300 this season
  2. Pirates' 3-7 record in Game 2 of the series this season
  3. Pirates' collective pitching ERA is 4.23
  4. Pirates have the 5th-worst FLD% in MLB at .980

Our San Diego Padres vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction

The Padres seem to be seeing the ball very clearly at PNC Park. Left-hander Bailey Falter has had some trouble keeping the ball in the park. In his last 5 outings, he has only been able to avoid giving up a home run against the Nationals. The Dodgers pounded him in Los Angeles, allowing 5 earned runs off Falter without him reaching the fifth inning. Our prediction for Pirates vs Padres is: Over 8.5 runs.

Prediction:

 

Over 8.5

-122
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San Diego Padres vs Pittsburgh Pirates Picks