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by Lou Aguila in MLB Picks
The Philadelphia Phillies will try to get two wins in a row against the Pittsburgh Pirates on Saturday at Citizens Ball Park.
The Phillies are 3-2 in their last five games and won Friday’s series-opener against the Pirates 8-4. Batting .258 with 210 total runs this season, Philadelphia built an 8-3 lead at the end of the 8th inning before fending off a comeback attempt from the Pirates in the 9th inning.
The Pirates, last in the NL Central with a 15-30 record, stormed to a 3-1ead following 3-run blast by Alexander Canario in the 6nd inning. Unfortunately, Pittsburgh’s bullpen messed things up again as the relief pitchers gave up seven unanswered runs between the 7th and 8th inning, putting them in an 1-8 hole entering the final inning. The Pirates made a last gasp of attempt to make a comeback by loading up the bases in the 9th inning, in which they managed to get a run off a walk by Jared Triolo, but Jose Alvarado shut the door by getting the final outs of the match.
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Pittsburgh Pirates vs Philadelphia Phillies Form
Table
| Teams | % | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
0.591 | 44 | 26 | 18 |
|
28
|
0.333 | 45 | 15 | 30 |
Pittsburgh Pirates and Philadelphia Phillies Latest Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
May 16, 2025 - MLB
May 14, 2025 - MLB
May 13, 2025 - MLB
May 12, 2025 - MLB
May 11, 2025 - MLB
May 10, 2025 - MLB
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
May 11, 2025 - MLB
May 10, 2025 - MLB
May 9, 2025 - MLB
May 4, 2025 - MLB
May 3, 2025 - MLB
May 2, 2025 - MLB
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
May 16, 2025 - MLB
May 14, 2025 - MLB
May 13, 2025 - MLB
May 12, 2025 - MLB
May 7, 2025 - MLB
May 6, 2025 - MLB
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
May 16, 2025 - MLB
May 14, 2025 - MLB
May 14, 2025 - MLB
May 12, 2025 - MLB
May 11, 2025 - MLB
May 10, 2025 - MLB
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
May 16, 2025 - MLB
May 14, 2025 - MLB
May 14, 2025 - MLB
May 12, 2025 - MLB
May 4, 2025 - MLB
May 3, 2025 - MLB
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
May 11, 2025 - MLB
May 10, 2025 - MLB
May 9, 2025 - MLB
May 8, 2025 - MLB
May 7, 2025 - MLB
May 6, 2025 - MLB
Pittsburgh Pirates against Philadelphia Phillies : Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
May 16, 2025 - MLB
Mar 18, 2025 - MLB Spring Training
Mar 7, 2025 - MLB Spring Training
Jul 21, 2024 - MLB
Jul 20, 2024 - MLB
Jul 19, 2024 - MLB
Pittsburgh Pirates - Philadelphia Phillies Key Points
- Pittsburgh is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games.
- Pittsburgh is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games on the road.
- Philadelphia is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games.
- Philadelphia is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games against an opponent in the National League.
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Our Pittsburgh Pirates vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction
Fearless Forecast: With Zach Wheeler on the mound, Phillies gets another convincing win over the Pirates.
Why you should bet on the Phillies to cover -1.5 runs: Zach Wheeler (2.14 ERA) is set to start on Saturday for the Phillies. Wheeler has led his team to victory in 4 of his last 5 starts, giving up an average of 1.60 earned runs per game. Although he has lost his last two starts vs. the Pirates, Wheeler still torched the team with 16 strikeouts across 3 games or an average of 8.7 strikeouts.
Why you should NOT bet on the Pirates to cover +1.5 spread: The Pirates are 6-17 on the road and 9-14 against the spread in road games this season. Starter Carmen Mlodzinski posted a shutout in a 5.2-inning stint against the Braves on May 11. But I highly doubt if the Pirates starter can pull off such a feat against a Phillies’ offense, which averages 4.6 runs per game over their last five games. Moreover, Pittsburgh will have to score more than their 2.7 runs per road game this season to match the Phillies fire with fire.
Our betting prediction for the Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies: Phillies -1.5 runs
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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