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by Lou Aguila in MLB Picks
In Sunday's series finale at Petco Park, the San Diego Padres look to complete a three-game sweep of the Philadelphia Phillies.
The Padres have gone 4-1 in their last five assignments, raising their record to 52-43. Although they are still 4.5 games behind the 57-39 Dodgers, San Diego will have entered the All-Star break with momentum if they can pull off a sweep of the Phillies on their home field. Despite being hampered by a lethargic offense (3.5 runs per game), the Padres have found ways to gut out wins through strong pitching and some clutch hitting from Manny Machado. San Diego has carried a 3.40 ERA in their last five games, while Machado delivered the game-winning hits in both Game 1 (4-2) and Game 2 (5-4) against the Phillies.
The Phillies have conceded the No.1 spot in the NL East after a rocky week that saw them lose four of their last five games. Philadelphia is still putting up elite numbers on the mound, posting a 3.40 ERA in the five-game stretch. Their offense isn’t bad either, with an average of 4.6 points per game on a .266 BA in the stretch. Even with above-average numbers in offense and defense, the Phillies still experienced a bad week because of their incompetent bullpen, which gave up a 5.91 ERA in 5 games.
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Philadelphia Phillies vs San Diego Padres Form
Table
Teams | % | P | W | L |
---|---|---|---|---|
8
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0.568 | 95 | 54 | 41 |
10
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0.547 | 95 | 52 | 43 |
Philadelphia Phillies and San Diego Padres Latest Matches

2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Jul 12, 2025 - MLB
Jul 11, 2025 - MLB
Jul 9, 2025 - MLB
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Jul 7, 2025 - MLB
Jul 6, 2025 - MLB
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Jul 6, 2025 - MLB
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Jul 2, 2025 - MLB
Jul 2, 2025 - MLB
Jun 30, 2025 - MLB
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Jul 12, 2025 - MLB
Jul 11, 2025 - MLB
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Jul 8, 2025 - MLB
Jul 7, 2025 - MLB
Jun 29, 2025 - MLB

4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Jul 12, 2025 - MLB
Jul 11, 2025 - MLB
Jul 10, 2025 - MLB
Jul 9, 2025 - MLB
Jul 8, 2025 - MLB
Jul 7, 2025 - MLB
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Jul 12, 2025 - MLB
Jul 11, 2025 - MLB
Jul 10, 2025 - MLB
Jul 9, 2025 - MLB
Jul 8, 2025 - MLB
Jul 7, 2025 - MLB
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Jul 2, 2025 - MLB
Jul 2, 2025 - MLB
Jun 30, 2025 - MLB
Jun 29, 2025 - MLB
Jun 28, 2025 - MLB
Jun 27, 2025 - MLB
Philadelphia Phillies against San Diego Padres : Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
Jul 12, 2025 - MLB
Jul 11, 2025 - MLB
Jul 2, 2025 - MLB
Jul 2, 2025 - MLB
Jun 30, 2025 - MLB
Jun 19, 2024 - MLB
Philadelphia Phillies - San Diego Padres Key Points
- Philadelphia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games.
- Philadelphia is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games against San Diego.
- San Diego is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games.
- San Diego is 6-13 SU in its last 19 games when playing at home against Philadelphia.
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Our Philadelphia Phillies vs San Diego Padres Prediction
Why should you pick the Padres to cover -1.5 Runs? – First of all, San Diego has been nearly unbeatable at home in the past 3 weeks. The Padres are 8-3 SU in their last 11 games at home. Another reason you should bet on the Padres to win is Nick Pivetta, who is scheduled to start on Sunday. Pivetta has been on a roll, compiling a 4-1 record with a 2.08 ERA in his last five starts. Pivetta has also won his last two starts against the Phillies, including a recent outing on July 2, where the Padres starter stifled Philadelphia to only one run in 6.0 innings. Christopher Sanchez has also been impressive for the Phillies with a 1.54 ERA in his last five starts, but despite his stellar numbers, Philadelphia still lost in two of his last three starts because the bullpen failed to protect the lead. In short, the Phillies may enjoy a good offensive night and another stellar mound appearance from Sanchez, but could still lose the game because of their underperforming bullpen.
Our betting prediction for the Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres: the Padres -1.5 Runs.
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