New York Mets vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

New York Mets
7/10/25 12:05
Baltimore Orioles

Prediction:

 

Under 9 runs.

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 by Carlos Zabala in MLB Picks

With the help of Juan Soto, the Mets defeated the Orioles 7-6 in Game 1. The Dominican drove in the winning run, Edwin Díaz earned the W, and Brazobán earned the save, both pitching one scoreless inning. The following day, rain prevented Game 2 from taking place. A doubleheader will be played on Thursday, but Game 3 scheduled for noon in Baltimore between the Orioles and Mets will maintain its original schedule, and, for now, the pitchers scheduled for it will be Peterson for the Mets and Morton for the Orioles.

The Mets are coming off a losing streak by winning consecutive series against the Brewers and the Subway Series against the Yankees. Soto has improved his numbers significantly, but the story of the week for the Queens team has been Soto's absence from the All-Star Game. The Dominican said he will remain focused on the Mets but admitted that he would have preferred to activate his All-Star bonus rather than have a few days off. Soto is hitting 269 AVG and has already reached 21 home runs, tying Alonso for the most HRs for the Mets in 2025.

The Orioles have two series remaining before the All-Star break. In their last narrow loss to the Mets, Holliday went 2-for-4 with two RBIs.

New York Mets vs Baltimore Orioles Form

Table

Teams % P W L
8
New York Mets
New York Mets
0.564 94 53 41
23
Baltimore Orioles
Baltimore Orioles
0.462 93 43 50

New York Mets and Baltimore Orioles Latest Matches

New York Mets
New York Mets Latest matches
L W W W L W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Jul 8, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
7 :  6
Baltimore Orioles

Jul 6, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
6 :  4
New York Mets

Jul 5, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
6 :  12
New York Mets

Jul 4, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
5 :  6
New York Mets

Jul 3, 2025 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
2 :  3
New York Mets

Jul 2, 2025 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
3 :  7
New York Mets
W L W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jul 6, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
6 :  4
New York Mets

Jul 5, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
6 :  12
New York Mets

Jul 4, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
5 :  6
New York Mets

Jul 3, 2025 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
2 :  3
New York Mets

Jul 2, 2025 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
3 :  7
New York Mets

Jul 2, 2025 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
7 :  2
New York Mets
W L L L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Jul 8, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
7 :  6
Baltimore Orioles

Jun 29, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
1 :  12
Pittsburgh Pirates

Jun 28, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
2 :  9
Pittsburgh Pirates

Jun 27, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
1 :  9
Pittsburgh Pirates

Jun 22, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
1 :  7
Philadelphia Phillies

Jun 21, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
11 :  4
Philadelphia Phillies
Baltimore Orioles
Baltimore Orioles Latest matches
L L W W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jul 8, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
7 :  6
Baltimore Orioles

Jul 6, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
2 :  1
Atlanta Braves

Jul 5, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
9 :  6
Atlanta Braves

Jul 4, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
3 :  2
Atlanta Braves

Jul 2, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
0 :  6
Texas Rangers

Jul 1, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
2 :  10
Texas Rangers
L L W L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Jul 8, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
7 :  6
Baltimore Orioles

Jun 29, 2025 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
1 :  5
Baltimore Orioles

Jun 28, 2025 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
11 :  3
Baltimore Orioles

Jun 27, 2025 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
8 :  22
Baltimore Orioles

Jun 25, 2025 - MLB

Texas Rangers
7 :  0
Baltimore Orioles

Jun 24, 2025 - MLB

Texas Rangers
6 :  5
Baltimore Orioles
W L L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jul 6, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
2 :  1
Atlanta Braves

Jul 5, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
9 :  6
Atlanta Braves

Jul 4, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
3 :  2
Atlanta Braves

Jul 2, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
0 :  6
Texas Rangers

Jul 1, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
2 :  10
Texas Rangers

Jun 30, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
10 :  6
Texas Rangers

New York Mets against Baltimore Orioles : Head to Head (H2H)

New York Mets

67 %

Baltimore Orioles

33 %

Jul 8, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
7 :  6
Baltimore Orioles

Aug 21, 2024 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
3 :  4
New York Mets

Aug 20, 2024 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
9 :  5
New York Mets

Aug 19, 2024 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
3 :  4
New York Mets

Aug 6, 2023 - MLB

New York Mets
0 :  2
Baltimore Orioles

Sep 9, 2020 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
6 :  7
New York Mets

New York Mets - Baltimore Orioles Key Points

  1. 2-6 is the Orioles record as home underdogs
  2. The Mets' pitching is third in MLB in terms of allowing the fewest HRs this season
  3. Adley Rutschman on the 10-Day IL list for the Orioles
  4. The Mets' David Peterson has already pitched over 100 innings this season

Our New York Mets vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction

Veteran Charlie Morton will be starting again for the Orioles. He has a high ERA of 5.47 but has managed to significantly reduce his home runs allowed in his last five outings. Morton also has an impressive 84 strikeouts for having pitched 77 innings in 2025, three fewer than Peterson had in 102 innings, although the Mets left-hander is accustomed to challenging players and seeking contact. Our prediction for Orioles vs Mets is: Under 9 runs.

Prediction:

 

Under 9 runs.

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New York Mets vs Baltimore Orioles Picks