Miami Marlins vs New York Mets Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

Miami Marlins
8/29/25 19:10
New York Mets

Prediction:

 

Marlins +1.5.

-154
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 by Carlos Zabala in MLB Picks

In one of those rare occurrences that only happens to the Mets, they were able to sweep the division-leading Phillies in their previous series, only to lose the first game of the next series against the Marlins 4-7, a game they were -265 favorites in.

The Mets lost that game, which they only led by one inning when Nimmo hit a two-run double in the bottom of the first inning. With the Mets trailing 2-4, Pete Alonso came through with a home run, his 30th of his season, to tie the score.

However, Mets manager Mendoza had little luck with his relievers. Each one ended up getting into more trouble, which was further aggravated by defensive errors. One of them came in a key moment when Pete Alonso didn't get an out on a ball leading into a clear double play. That happened in the seventh inning and was lethal to the Mets' hopes.

Despite having a .228 batting average, Marlins catcher and cleanup hitter Agustín Ramírez has proven to be competent in clutch situations. On Thursday, he drove in the key run that put Miami ahead.

Miami Marlins vs New York Mets Form

Table

Teams % P W L
11
New York Mets
New York Mets
0.537 134 72 62
21
Miami Marlins
Miami Marlins
0.47 134 63 71

Miami Marlins and New York Mets Latest Matches

Miami Marlins
Miami Marlins Latest matches
L W W L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Aug 28, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
7 :  4
New York Mets

Aug 27, 2025 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
12 :  1
Miami Marlins

Aug 26, 2025 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
11 :  2
Miami Marlins

Aug 25, 2025 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
1 :  2
Miami Marlins

Aug 24, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
3 :  5
Miami Marlins

Aug 23, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
7 :  6
Miami Marlins
L L W W L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Aug 27, 2025 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
12 :  1
Miami Marlins

Aug 26, 2025 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
11 :  2
Miami Marlins

Aug 25, 2025 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
1 :  2
Miami Marlins

Aug 24, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
3 :  5
Miami Marlins

Aug 23, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
7 :  6
Miami Marlins

Aug 22, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
5 :  2
Miami Marlins
W L L L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Aug 28, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
7 :  4
New York Mets

Aug 17, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
5 :  3
Boston Red Sox

Aug 16, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
5 :  7
Boston Red Sox

Aug 15, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
1 :  2
Boston Red Sox

Aug 14, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
4 :  9
Cleveland Guardians

Aug 13, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
13 :  4
Cleveland Guardians
New York Mets
New York Mets Latest matches
W L W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Aug 28, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
7 :  4
New York Mets

Aug 27, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
0 :  6
New York Mets

Aug 26, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
5 :  6
New York Mets

Aug 25, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
3 :  13
New York Mets

Aug 24, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
3 :  4
Atlanta Braves

Aug 23, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
9 :  2
Atlanta Braves
W W W W W L
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Aug 28, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
7 :  4
New York Mets

Aug 27, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
0 :  6
New York Mets

Aug 26, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
5 :  6
New York Mets

Aug 25, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
3 :  13
New York Mets

Aug 17, 2025 - MLB

Seattle Mariners
3 :  7
New York Mets

Aug 16, 2025 - MLB

Seattle Mariners
1 :  3
New York Mets
W L L W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Aug 24, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
3 :  4
Atlanta Braves

Aug 23, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
9 :  2
Atlanta Braves

Aug 22, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
12 :  7
Atlanta Braves

Aug 21, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
3 :  9
Washington Nationals

Aug 20, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
4 :  5
Washington Nationals

Aug 19, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
8 :  1
Washington Nationals

Miami Marlins against New York Mets : Head to Head (H2H)

Miami Marlins

50 %

New York Mets

50 %

Aug 28, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
7 :  4
New York Mets

Apr 9, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
5 :  0
New York Mets

Apr 8, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
5 :  10
New York Mets

Apr 7, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
0 :  2
New York Mets

Apr 2, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
6 :  5
Miami Marlins

Apr 1, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
2 :  4
Miami Marlins

Miami Marlins - New York Mets Key Points

  1. Three Marlins players each had two hits on Thursday
  2. 15-18, Marlins division record
  3. Mets pitching: second-fewest HRs allowed in 2025
  4. 44-25, Mets record this season at City Field

Our Miami Marlins vs New York Mets Prediction

The Marlins, due to injuries, are without two of their most influential players, Stowers and Norby, but even without them, they were able to win Thursday's game.

The Marlins team is as young as it is dynamic, with a very respectable road record of 32-34 this season. Interestingly, no team debuted more rookies this season.

Another promising young pitcher, Eury Pérez, will start Wednesday's game. Although his ERA increased in August, his numbers are quite good for a pitcher of just 22 years old. For example, his WHIP is 0.98.

Our prediction for Marlins vs Mets is: Marlins +1.5.

Prediction:

 

Marlins +1.5.

-154
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Miami Marlins vs New York Mets Picks